Patrick Schneider @patricksecon
Macroeconomist, Assistant Professor at Imperial Business School Formerly @LSE, @bankofengland, @Uniofoxford, & @UNSW patrickmschneider.com London Joined January 2017-
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@johnjhorton Still a way to go to AGI
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That East of Eden, one of the greatest books ever written, has a chance of being read by tonnes of people again is so, so great
@oldbooksguy I'm not going to say 'fault,' but when I ask people what they're reading they say one of three things: 1. Theo of Golden (the hottest, pushed Tuesdays with Morrie book of the year) 2. East of Eden (the hottest, pushed classic because Netflix is making a series) 3. Colleen Hoover
@mysticflounder @GaryMarcus Hearing and learning aren’t the same thing though
@dannolan Also the growth slowdown coincides with a very jobful recovery in the uk that isn’t met with more production or wage growth. The latter suggests something on the labour supply side was important too
@dannolan It’s not this. Productivity growth stalled across the size distribution, and the top end matters so much more for the aggregate that the same channel (while def bad) just can’t matter
@DeRidderMaarten Fantastic news, congratulations Maarten!
Patrick Schneider retweeted
Would you now please change the history slides in your introductory macro class? theundercoverhistorian.substack.com/p/would-you-no…
Debt yields are up. Could be because of inflation expectations (war), higher r* (AI investment boom), fiscal sustainability concerns (higher govt risk premium)… Has anyone seen/done a good quantification of contributions from each? @R2Rsquared @ben_moll
Patrick Schneider retweeted
New paper! Automating entry-level jobs can shrink the economy in the long run by disrupting experience accumulation. Why? See below.. 🧵 “Immiserizing Automation,” w/ Vladimir Asriyan & @shelegia
IMO this was the motivating force behind MMT - fiscal response to the financial crisis was inappropriate. MMT’s message is cbs should do fiscal by the back door. (Not an endorsement)
Ok this isn’t quite right, but for fun reasons. General point stands though - debt forgiveness and helicopter drops by cbs do have an impact on fiscal policy, they’re not independent.
One other aspect of this is the basic accounting - forgiving debt erodes cb equity, at some point it needs to be replenished, and that can only be funded by taxes. Helicopter drops and cb debt forgiveness are still fiscal policy, the debt just sits in the future.
The new MMT. Default on public debt to the central bank. Costless! Print money during covid to buy government debt. Costless! Inflation? Oh, that was all war and supply chain shocks. (Too many good economists pass that one along too.)
@VincentGeloso Carney is playing chess here in at least two dimensions
@VincentGeloso Not at all my field, I’d be interested to hear how you adjust for Trump being the opponent, if at all
Imagine the relief they feel. Prompted from oblivion by user Terence Tao. wen prune apple tree
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