tony bianco @maidenguy
sportsbettor and playing the dogs. Age 60 Joined March 2011-
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Same here
It's a long season but definitely a rough start for Adam.
It's a long season but definitely a rough start for Adam.
Laid off 4 boosts yesterday and glad I did 0-4. Played the NHL one that did win(first goal in 10 minutes). I won't be posting any more plays but my advice is don't play all of them, only the ones you can find an edge on.
FD Boost-Thompson, Russell, Poole each make 2+threes at +175 a play. No play on the Devers 1+ hit and a Boston win.
DK Boost-James 20+, Davis 10reb, Curry 4+ threes made a play for me. Nice edge.
New MGM Boost-Tatum 30+ and a Boston win +150. A No Play. Only a .17% edge. Have it at +138. Too close.
FD Boost-Embid 20+ and McDavid score a goal +200. Has a 1.91% edge. Not going to put risk, just if it's a play. It is for me.
DK Boost-Tatum 25+-Brown 2+Three's made+100. Have it at -129 for a 1.60% edge. 1 unit play.
@walterfootballI I always wondered when you play the games. Are they after you post the last update or a few hours before gametime? Thank you
To me it shows they have the right favorite for the championship
To me it shows they have the right favorite for the championship
The first article talks about some common mistakes amateur sports bettors make, and why they make them. Some reasons are easily correctable, others are hard. I'm excited to help make the hard part easier.
I just subscribed to Betscope betscope.substack.com/?utm_medium=we…
@BudElliottOn the sheet you have USC at 3 but you played them at -1 1/2. Should the sheet read USC -3? Thanks
Here’s @BudElliott3 reading off all his action in week 2 #Locks #LockItUp #CFB #CollegeFootball @Cover3Podcast
Greg, Richmond just came out at all books at +2. Is your line that has them at -3 1/2 still stand. I ask because I believe Francis is questionable for the game. Thank you
Greg, Richmond just came out at all books at +2. Is your line that has them at -3 1/2 still stand. I ask because I believe Francis is questionable for the game. Thank you
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If you missed my bracket picks, they are here:
EAST REGION picks: Chalkiest region. Big gap between the top 4 seeds and everybody else, so don't get cute. 1st round upset: Drake 2nd weekend sleeper: BYU, I guess? Sweet 16: 1. UConn over 4. Auburn, 3. Illinois over 2. Iowa St Elite 8: UConn over Illinois
If I was an AP Poll voter 1 Michigan 2 Georgia 3 FSU 4 Ohio State 5 Oklahoma 6 Penn State 7 Oregon 8 Washington 9 Texas 10 Alabama 11 Louisville 12 North Carolina 13 Oregon State 14 Utah 15 LSU 16 Ole Miss 17 UCLA 18 USC 19 Washington State 20 Air Force 21 Clemson 22 JMU 23…
Let’s go
Y'all know what day it is... WE GOT LOCKS!!! We go LIVE at 11:00am ET with the only College Football betting advice you need! Come hang out with us! youtube.com/live/jFXYyacky…
Fake meetings on that calendar
Y'all know what day it is! We got LOCKS LIVE at 11:00am ET! Come hang out with us! youtube.com/live/YTLNwHuHX…
Perfect start to the season! Notre Dame -20.5 💰 Under 49 💰
This was a ton of fun. Glad to be back. youtube.com/watch?v=xeq3mT…
Not a fan of first quarter boosts. Also think +175 is awful value. Unless one player drops 12+ it’s essentially a 3 leg over parlay which should be in the +300 range.
You get killed... walk it off -Daily Boosts and Promos DK -F1 Profit Boost -Head 2 Head Jokic v Durant -18% Golf MGM -Do not be deceived FD -Darius Butler Boost - Tatum 25+ Pts, Embiid 25+ Pts, and Verstappen Podium Finish -Booker 30+ Pts, KD 25+ Pts, and Jokic 20+ Pts
Feel like this really ain’t much of a boost lol. After last game I really have no idea what to expect from Embiid.
Stop Wasting Your Fully Insured Bets
@maidenguy The crazyninjamike c-c-combobreaker I use in the videos allows us to combine alt point totals to come up with the fair value
After a lot of research, some help from @Pinnacle, and inspiration from @12Xpert, I have another option for you that works much like Kelly (but without having to know your exact edge). I call it the "root-unit" staking method: pinnacle.com/en/betting-art…
As our winter sports start to heat up again, a constant topic of hot debate spring forth again: when betting with an edge, how much should you stake? Should it just be a set "unit" amount no matter the odds? Or "to win" a unit? Or based on the more complicated Kelly criterion?
Also, this isn’t one of my top plays of the year or anything. Just had extra time to break down the matchup and since I had some thoughts I thought I’d share! Good luck fellow bettors, whichever side of the game you’re on!
@maidenguy @EgoSimmonds @HYFRitsJimmy Since 2021 playoffs began, teams with > play design +/- in regular season are 18-5 ATS. #Bills didn’t cover 3x. #Bengals covered opening -6.5 line vs. #Ravens but not closing line. +2 TO #Chiefs suffered bad beat on late #Jaguars field goal.
#FlyEaglesFly have faced only two positively designed teams so far this year, the #Cowboys and the #Saints. They were 1-2 vs. them and 13-1 vs. negatively designed teams. They will have to win back-to-back games against positively designed teams to win #SBLVII.
It's idiotic to declare how poorly talented the Giants' roster is and then simultaneously pontificate on how elite the Eagles are after last night's game. Let's see Philly face ONE elite team, just one, and then we can start passing judgement. #GamblingTwitter #NFL #NFLTwitter
@maidenguy Oops. Correction. #Jaguars design is a tiny bit negative too (-.0037).
@maidenguy There is only 1 team left with negative design +/- (#Giants). There is only 1 team left with a negative TO +/- (#Chiefs). Nos. 1, 2, 4, 5, 7 and 8 in design +/- are still alive. Teams better designed in regular season are 16-3 ATS in playoffs last 2 years.
@maidenguy My only thought is #Jaguars look frisky. They won’t get away with committing turnovers again. But if they avoid TOs and are solid on special teams I think they’ll battle to end and I will not be shocked if they win.
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