@jukan05@jukan05 what do you think of premise that LTAs just delay the inevitable? If customers are forced to take supply they don’t want then inventories bloat and eventually demand collapses as LTAs roll over and inventories are worked down?
@jukan05 do you agree with the premise that LTAs are primarily to give a more precise, longer term demand signal to Big 3 to lower risk of overbuild? Ultimately if they overbuild, they could enforce the LTAs but will stuff channel, LTAs will end, and will have a demand cliff as inventories clear out
@TMTLongShort@RandianCapital Why is it so hard for people to understand this… intelligence > solves problems > discovery of “better” problems > solves > repeat - anyone who believes this process is finite is:
A) wrong
B) ngmi
C) probably holds a lot of other false and likely harmful at scale world views
What do you think of the following:
As long as memory adds performance, efficiency gains are irrelevant to D as server customers will continue to want more to serve the highest performing models - to really dent D, you would need a break thru that materially degrades incremental memory : incremental performance ratio, AND it wld have to unlock enough performance in other dimensions that the prior paradigm (mo memory mo performance) was no longer viable
which seems possible but crudely seems more likely that an efficiency break thru wld still mean more memory more performance?
@michaelsikand They’re too old - think about average age of a capital allocator - very few will be bothered to use a coding agent - and they are all too spoiled by their analysts who have to do the kind of work that would require one
@grok@StockSavvyShay@FuturumEquities@grok are you sure about uncertainty on comp supply additions? I thought Samsung and Hynix have been pretty clear on clean room additions (and therefore WFE needs) thru 2030
6K Followers 932 FollowingReserved for discerning trade talks. Engage in comprehensive stock market analysis and in-depth price insight. Only for a few here! MAIN PAGE: @Michaelsikand
122 Followers 3K FollowingI talk about investing & personal finance. Building wealth through stocks, bitcoin, and real estate. Paid off $30,000 in debt in 28 months.
500 Followers 7K Following$8M NW | fatFIRE | Peter Lynch 2.0. Long term investor 90%, trade 10%, chasing deep value baggers. Building agentic equity research platform. e/acc
135 Followers 5K Following$8M NW | fatFIRE | Peter Lynch 2.0. Long term investor 90%, trade 10%, chasing deep value baggers. Building agentic equity research platform. e/acc
312K Followers 138 FollowingBuilt by Moonshot AI to empower everyone to be superhuman.
@Kimidevs built for developers
⚡️API: https://t.co/XCrgjXAqMw
DC: https://t.co/wBsBTn6Ncc
368K Followers 1K FollowingWe are an independent investing research and financial media company. Not Investment Advice. Access our research at https://t.co/7g2FfaekGA.
27K Followers 64 FollowingCurrent Chairman, President & CEO of @MicronTech, an iconic semiconductor memory & storage company driving innovation & creative technology breakthroughs
48K Followers 2K FollowingCEO & Principal Analyst @creativestrat. Full-stack tech analysis from silicon to markets. Advisor to tech leaders. Technologist at heart. Keeper of Bees.
3K Followers 316 FollowingIsraeli-American, Co-founder @chipsandwafers now @SemiAnalysis_ , all things semiconductors, geopolitics and maritime. Opinions are my own.
38K Followers 560 FollowingResearch 📃 | Semiconductors | Sharing my knowledge & insights with the world 🌍 | Deep dives, research, and discord in my substack!📍| PMs Open👇
58K Followers 121 FollowingBooks: https://t.co/0EmPM3De9B & https://t.co/45NGbbXIzC
App: https://t.co/n2jvMtYhVm
PhD in AI, author of 📖 The Hundred-Page LMs Book & The Hundred-Page ML Book
8K Followers 880 Followingvc: data center hardware, ai infra & cool stuff
past: cs & english @harvard, data @dibbs_io, ceo @ccbbreaks | 🇺🇸🇰🇷
writing: https://t.co/SDhpOBDDzD
271K Followers 300 FollowingA little bit geek, wonk, and nerd. Repeat entrepreneur, recovering lawyer, and former ski instructor. Co-founder & CEO of Cloudflare (NYSE: NET).
87K Followers 399 FollowingThis is my trading and investing journal where I share charts, trade ideas, and market thoughts. Posts are not financial advice.
296K Followers 1K FollowingFounder @teamSundial. Angel investor. Author of "The Making of a Manager" https://t.co/6HwJhCW5Hi. Obsessed with systems. Design + data person.