Gavin Hales @gmhales
Researching/discussing policing, crime and the CJS. Senior Associate Fellow @the_police_fdn. police-foundation.org.uk/author/gavin-h… London, UK Joined July 2014-
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As any parent of pre-teens doth know.
As any parent of pre-teens doth know.
Great thread pulling together a lot of data. #crimestats
Great thread pulling together a lot of data. #crimestats
Fascinating new @TheIFS paper finds that the closure of 70% of police stations in London was not cost effective and led to higher crime levels, with particularly negative impacts on the poor ifs.org.uk/sites/default/…
Congratulations @elisa_facchetti on the publication of your paper.
Congratulations @elisa_facchetti on the publication of your paper.
Willful misrepresentation to score political points is such a pervasive and tiring feature of this site.
And finally for now, the crude quarterly charge rate, calculated as the proportion of rape outcomes recorded each quarter that were charges. Reflecting increased charge volumes, now 7-8% and on an upward trajectory. #crimestats
Here's a key chart: the number of charges recorded each quarter. Now on a par with 2016 and just a shade below the 2015 peak. #opsoteria
Looking more closely at the rapes recorded in 2020/21, 5% of them are still open and the charge rate is still climbing: it started at 1.5% and is now 4.9%.
🚨Latest rape charge rate data for the last 5 years continue to show that each successive year's charge rate is tracking above previous ones and the big step up for rapes recorded in 2022/23 is being sustained. All heading for >5%. #crimestats
🚨Latest rape charge rate data for the last 5 years continue to show that each successive year's charge rate is tracking above previous ones and the big step up for rapes recorded in 2022/23 is being sustained. All heading for >5%. #crimestats https://t.co/OoemA0BGNT
Just happened across this again while looking for something else.
Just happened across this again while looking for something else.
There's some amazing data hidden away in ONS's user requested data section. Last year they quietly published death data by age, deprivation decile and cause, which means we can look at age patterns in alcohol deaths by IMD, with sadly predictably grim results:
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@gmhales @_criminologist @AndreasThinks @elisa_facchetti Added to my reading list. There will also be certain places that may have inflated records (not necessarily the actual incident venue - police stations, hospitals, medical care accommodation, schools, courts)
Yes, this highlights the need for proper segregated lanes but gosh, had my heart in my mouth with this one. This is how cyclists get killed, it’s not worth your life going for that gap. 🫣
@gmhales @AndreasThinks @elisa_facchetti @cvillallera Not yet I don't think might a working paper
@AndreasThinks @gmhales @elisa_facchetti @routineactivity probably has for fun
And that's it! My last day in SNT officially as DWO. Feeling a little nervous and excited about going back to the Night Time Economy. And also very proud of my achievements in the last two years. I still love my job so damn much. Got a lovely card from the team ☺️
@gmhales @elisa_facchetti @_criminologist agreed, doing this with stations is a pretty blunt tool (but probably best you can do with public data!) Someone internal could probably do a fair bit more with call distribution and other bits...
@_Kano_P @ONS @MicheleGraceBal @NMantl The proportion of crimes reported to police in England and Wales has stayed broadly the same over the time period we looked at:
Q: Have victims become more likely to report their victimisation to the police? A: No. Source: ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati… March 2023 version. #crimestats
@gmhales @MagistratesBlog Not uncommon to receive your warning on the day the hearing is taking place, or even the day or two after. Also not uncommon to be "Warned" via your work email, but while you are on rest days, so you don't check until it's too late. Or the hearing is so delayed your rota has…
@ReasonableCop @gmhales @MagistratesBlog Sometimes you are warned purely by your shift silently changing and you receive no notification. You'd only know if you manually went in and checked it.
@gmhales @comms_sherlock @MagistratesBlog Certainly the phrase ‘warned’ has a very broad definition. It could be that the prosecutor has personally informed you of the correct date. It might also mean you got an email yesterday whilst you were on rest days. Although I haven’t had to deal with that for a while
@gmhales Yes, recording is definitely a big issue when it comes to police-recorded crime in England and Wales. I think it’s the most-likely explanation for why we’ve seen an increase in recorded assaults with injury while other countries haven’t, for example.
@ONS And finally thanks to my co-authors @MicheleGraceBal, Gonzalo Croci, Ashly Fuller, @NMantl and Youngsub Lee for all their hard work on this project. Full disclosure: this analysis was funded by the Metropolitan Police, but they had no control over the results we produced.
Hey I am honoured that my article has been awarded the 2023 Radzinowicz Prize in #Criminology See link below for article. See link here for brief precis, statement of thanks, and comment by Prof. Eamonn Carrabine, editor of the BJC: crimeandjustice.org.uk/news/2024-04-1…
Congratulations to @WarrCriminology on winning the prestigious Radzinowicz Prize! The prize is awarded by the BJC to honour the greatest contribution to criminology published by the journal. Read all the Radzinowicz Prize-winning papers for free here: oxford.ly/3UrX9lO
@gmhales I always felt for our VOA's - road traffic accident analysts. Who would be called out to the worst accidents alone to photograph, investigate and then analyse (the scene of) the accident. No team to decompress with, just the one analyst.
@Brick_Cop @metpoliceuk Remembering when I had three child and one pregnant female casualties at a fatal collision, and then absolutely tore into a guy for using his phone to WATCH A VIDEO while driving after attending the scene for like 6 hours. I was surprised at how angry I was.
@gmhales I’ve simply forgotten the number I’ve attended. Each contact leaves a trace. So many, they all pale into one. 🙏
@gmhales I wonder what the ‘defund the police’ scholars would say to this?
@gmhales In 30yrs, I lost count of the number of dead bodies I saw, many soon after death, a few I tried to save but couldn’t, some, a long time after they had passed. In 2014, I was alone with my Father when he took his last breath. It was the first time I’d felt human in years.
Ok let’s talk about desensitisation…👀 I don’t know how many sudden deaths I’ve been to. I can’t tell you how many dead bodies I’ve seen. That’s not a normal thing to say is it? (⚠️ Health warning for the rest of this post. ⚠️) But that’s my job. As a Response Cop and now…
@robertcuffe @gmhales @UKStatsAuth Hope its OK to piggyback onto your convo - and not statistical but, having listened to it recently, fascinating and funny nonetheless for anyone interested in the subject: @alfiemoores latest bbc.co.uk/programmes/m00…
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