Iceberg @gigaiceberg
market musings New Jersey, USA Joined January 2019-
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I was thinking of taking profit on my ES at the open, seeing as last 3 days have seen vicious MOC to sell imbalances. As I was casually browsing my feed to see what my contras were saying, they were all going on about how $SPX Pension fund rebalancing was going to drop the…
I was thinking of taking profit on my ES at the open, seeing as last 3 days have seen vicious MOC to sell imbalances. As I was casually browsing my feed to see what my contras were saying, they were all going on about how $SPX Pension fund rebalancing was going to drop the… https://t.co/qpAugFD2A5
Literally no reason to be bullish at all this week. The data leans bearish unequivocally. Wrote this Sunday morning long before futures even opened. $SPX $SPY $QQQ
Thank you kindly for whoever received my $SPX bags. Even if we rally tomorrow I’m glad to be rid of these as crossing my fingers and praying for a good #cpi just ain’t my trading strategy.
Thank you kindly for whoever received my $SPX bags. Even if we rally tomorrow I’m glad to be rid of these as crossing my fingers and praying for a good #cpi just ain’t my trading strategy. https://t.co/Y8Q2qPq2TN
Wish you all an amazing 2024. Here's my thoughts on how 2024 might play out. 50ptmae.substack.com/p/2024-outlook In addition, I sent out my regular weekly trading plan with 3-4 trade ideas. Will be doing more cross-asset stuff rather than just $SPY. $SPX $QQQ $TLT $USDJPY
@TicTocTick US will support American chip manufacturers indefinitely. Love $AVGO
You dont need to know what Powell will say. All you need to know is, someone does know, and their activity will show up on the tape. They were buying 4600 resistance because they knew beforehand it was going to be a dovish dot-plot/presser. Focus on the PA. $spx $spy $qqq $iwm
You dont need to know what Powell will say. All you need to know is, someone does know, and their activity will show up on the tape. They were buying 4600 resistance because they knew beforehand it was going to be a dovish dot-plot/presser. Focus on the PA. $spx $spy $qqq $iwm
💀💀 boomers trading $spy like…
Goated $spx $spy $qqq
Followers and I long calls from 4160. Easy money. Getting bearish at the lows is a rookie mistake. $spx $spy $qqq
Followers and I long calls from 4160. Easy money. Getting bearish at the lows is a rookie mistake. $spx $spy $qqq
Tbh none of this shit matter when you bid 4250 on $ES and you are 150 points "in the money" so you can hold till kingdom come.
Tbh none of this shit matter when you bid 4250 on $ES and you are 150 points "in the money" so you can hold till kingdom come.
Goated $spx $spy $qqq $gme $iwm
Warning sent. $spx $spy
Those who shorted oil at 65, when they read the OPEC UAE news and watch the open today 👇 $CL #OOTT #SuddenDeath
Interesting how ANTIFA and other Far Left militant groups can take over a city without barely a wimpier from soft Do Nothing Democrat leadership, yet these same weak leaders become RADICAL when it comes to shutting down a state or city and its hard working, tax paying citizens!
Great work in the Republican Senate on some big nominees. Still 154 to go, hope they don’t adjourn until the job is done! @senatemajldr
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!
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13K Followers 8 Following Wharton PhD. Ex-Goldman Sachs Quant and Googler. Data Scientist. Indices Trader. #ES,#SPY,#SPX,#NQ,#QQQ,#CL,#GC,#SI,#BTC FB group: Index Trading$WMT CFO Furner seeing pockets of deflation. Only the biggest retailer in the entire world. The biggest consensus in markets now is inflation is here to stay. I wouldn't be so sure. Economists are notoriously bad at predicting.. the economy. Remember in Oct 2022, chances of a…
Very important tweet from October 2023. Forced selling eventually leads to forced buying.
This is clear forced selling. Across many segments in the market, originating from fixed income of course. Besides CTA you have vol control and risk parity derisking because they have no other choice. RP in particular. Idea behind those funds is to achieve a return close to 100%…
Funniest things I read on the weekend was a bunch of people saying they would go long on a Monday gap down. Market gave you a 9.5/10 long setup into the week and you said you'll sit on the sidelines and wait for the 10/10 setup. There's always a better setup. Keep waiting 😂 $SPY
When $SPX was at 2200-2400 in March 2020, everyone was getting ready to load the boat at 1800. No matter how low we go, there is always a lower target. If $SPY dropped to $1 tomorrow, people would sit on the sidelines and wait for $0.50.
I was thinking of taking profit on my ES at the open, seeing as last 3 days have seen vicious MOC to sell imbalances. As I was casually browsing my feed to see what my contras were saying, they were all going on about how $SPX Pension fund rebalancing was going to drop the…
Weeks like this you could stare at the screens for 8 hours a day catching 20 tick rotations... Or you could be patient and catch that one big move off demand. Have only taken 1 trade this entire week and im done. Happy Easter 🐣 $SPX $SPY $QQQ
Not surprised to see a gap up at futures open. Hardest part about shorting is you have to pick a great entry, then exit and re enter multiple times as the bounces can quickly erode any profits you made. You can’t just buy and close your eyes like when going long. $SPX $SPY $QQQ
Very odd coincidence that the market dropped like a rock after room and I went bot puts. $SPY $SPX $QQQ
$NVDA was top on my shopping list this week as everyone was quick to proclaim the death of the king on Friday over some 0DTE bullshit. Followers and I went long at 10:17 AM. $SPX $SPY $QQQ
Skate to where the puck is going, not to where it's already been. Last month the play was short #CPI, this month it was long it. Was obvious to me on Sunday morning. $SPX $SPY $QQQ
Just like last #CPI was clear risk-off, this one was clear risk-on. As always, positioning matters more than the print, and people were overly hedged for this one. Gap-up was a near certainty barring a 0.2%+ beat so going long with ITM options was easy $. $SPY $QQQ $SPX
This #CPI was a minefield. Clear risk off for me. Even if I had no clue what it was going to print, the price action yesterday for $SPX / $QQQ was putrid for bulls. Some clear excess that got punished and they are feeling the pain there now.
Always like to end the week with a nice ripper on ES. #CPI next week. Let’s see if January was just an outlier… $spx $spy $qqq
Looks like institutions came to the same conclusion as me, about 6 months later. Yields and credit spreads both plummeted after my bids filled. Huge gain on boring old bonds. $SPY $QQQ $TLT
I think now is a great time to buy IG bonds. And no I dont mean $TLT or $LQD I mean actual corporate bonds. Lock in some yield in likely a (relatively) down decade for $SPX equities is a no brainer. Just added some Canadian Telco bonds here. 6.2% yield.
Have not touched any ES longs since I dumped everything at 5147. When everyone is chasing the $SPX highs that's when I am exiting as usual. Very ugly price action in $QQQ today. $GOOG, $AAPL all look like shit.
All targets hit. No need to hide behind the plausible deniability of a Scenario1/Scenario 2. Saw a likely trend day up on the horizon at 3AM while most were still sleeping. $SPY $SPX $QQQ
This still applies. I haven’t yet seen the $TSLA 2020 type euphoria in $NVDA yet. I see further strength into March GTC event 18-21 where it usually rips. And I’m sure whole board is thinking stock split right now.
I know it’s tempting to short $NVDA but I would caution against it. I think you have to dust off the 2020 $TSLA playbook here. Last time NVDA traded ~750 it announced a stock split. BoD probably thinking about it again. When TSLA split in Aug 2020, it rallied 35% in a month.
Was a screaming buy yesterday. Now you can trim and leave your stops in profit and let it ride. Hope you guys made money $nvda
This still applies. I haven’t yet seen the $TSLA 2020 type euphoria in $NVDA yet. I see further strength into March GTC event 18-21 where it usually rips. And I’m sure whole board is thinking stock split right now.
Insider buying is a signal. Insider selling is not. Here is a recent example. $NVDA bears posited that the stock was overvalued, their thesis being insiders were dumping shares. You can see these execs offloaded in the 500 range, we are now trading 60% higher in 3 months. $SPY
From my weekly plan on Sunday morning. Pounded the table on $NVDA calls. When market is giving out easy trades like that, take the money and run. $SPY $SPX $QQQ
#YOLO account looking pretty good to start the year. 55x return so far. Only trading $SPY options. $SPX $QQQ