@Masterjune70 @SmokeyHellNFL @DynastyPrice @CoopAFiasco @The_Coop @CWilliamsNFL @FAmmiranteTFJ @Ciga_FF @ChuckBassFF @ScottFish24 @Fitz_FF @footballdiehard @FF_TravisM @GridironSchol91 @GeorgeReedFF @hutchinsonb_ff @KellyInPhoenix @ff_intervention @ShaneIsTheWorst @ChaBoyJRich day 3 and day 2 showing up better than they do when you look at hit rates bc they have more overall players and only the good ones stay for a while
@YZR_Fantasy @Masterjune70 @SmokeyHellNFL @DynastyPrice @CoopAFiasco @The_Coop @CWilliamsNFL @FAmmiranteTFJ @ChuckBassFF @ScottFish24 @Fitz_FF @footballdiehard @FF_TravisM @GridironSchol91 @GeorgeReedFF @hutchinsonb_ff @KellyInPhoenix @ff_intervention @ShaneIsTheWorst @ChaBoyJRich I don't see it as survival bias bc the reasons/exclusion of the WRs who didn't finish top 12 diminishes w/the larger sample size (+ years). The FF productivity = value regardless of failure rate/reasons. That said, I think hit %/sunken cost across QB/RB/WR/TE would add context.
@Ciga_FF @Masterjune70 @SmokeyHellNFL @DynastyPrice @CoopAFiasco @The_Coop @CWilliamsNFL @FAmmiranteTFJ @ChuckBassFF @ScottFish24 @Fitz_FF @footballdiehard @FF_TravisM @GridironSchol91 @GeorgeReedFF @hutchinsonb_ff @KellyInPhoenix @ff_intervention @ShaneIsTheWorst @ChaBoyJRich just survival bias to explain why we should prioritize % of top 12 made up of what draft status compared to the % of each draft status that has a top 12 season. subtle but a big difference
@YZR_Fantasy @Ciga_FF @Masterjune70 @SmokeyHellNFL @DynastyPrice @CoopAFiasco @The_Coop @CWilliamsNFL @FAmmiranteTFJ @ChuckBassFF @ScottFish24 @Fitz_FF @footballdiehard @FF_TravisM @GridironSchol91 @GeorgeReedFF @hutchinsonb_ff @KellyInPhoenix @ShaneIsTheWorst @ChaBoyJRich Yeah I posed a similar question somewhere on this post yesterday
@ff_intervention @YZR_Fantasy @Ciga_FF @Masterjune70 @SmokeyHellNFL @DynastyPrice @CoopAFiasco @The_Coop @CWilliamsNFL @FAmmiranteTFJ @ChuckBassFF @ScottFish24 @Fitz_FF @footballdiehard @FF_TravisM @GridironSchol91 @GeorgeReedFF @hutchinsonb_ff @ShaneIsTheWorst @ChaBoyJRich I have no idea what’s happening in this thread. 🤷♀️
@KellyInPhoenix @ff_intervention @YZR_Fantasy @Ciga_FF @Masterjune70 @SmokeyHellNFL @DynastyPrice @The_Coop @CWilliamsNFL @FAmmiranteTFJ @ChuckBassFF @ScottFish24 @Fitz_FF @footballdiehard @FF_TravisM @GridironSchol91 @GeorgeReedFF @hutchinsonb_ff @ShaneIsTheWorst @ChaBoyJRich Summary: Most of the great WRs come from the early rounds. Some come from the later rounds but we overestimate our ability to identify the outliers in hindsight. We focus on the "survivors" like Adam Thielen vs. the 100s of guys that end up being Preston Williams or Ace Sanders.
@CoopAFiasco @KellyInPhoenix @ff_intervention @YZR_Fantasy @Ciga_FF @Masterjune70 @SmokeyHellNFL @DynastyPrice @The_Coop @CWilliamsNFL @FAmmiranteTFJ @ChuckBassFF @ScottFish24 @Fitz_FF @FF_TravisM @GridironSchol91 @GeorgeReedFF @hutchinsonb_ff @ShaneIsTheWorst @ChaBoyJRich Listen man. This Preston Williams slander won't be soon forgotten.
@footballdiehard @CoopAFiasco @KellyInPhoenix @ff_intervention @YZR_Fantasy @Masterjune70 @SmokeyHellNFL @DynastyPrice @The_Coop @CWilliamsNFL @FAmmiranteTFJ @ChuckBassFF @ScottFish24 @Fitz_FF @FF_TravisM @GridironSchol91 @GeorgeReedFF @hutchinsonb_ff @ShaneIsTheWorst @ChaBoyJRich Hakeem Butler, Parris Campbell, Denzel Mims, Bryan Edwards, Jalen Reagor, Elijah Moore, Justyn Ross, Alec Pierce, Cedric Tillman, and on, and on and on....so many flags planted on Mt. Disappointment......🤣. We 100% overestimate our abilities - except our ability to swing & miss
@footballdiehard @CoopAFiasco @KellyInPhoenix @ff_intervention @YZR_Fantasy @Ciga_FF @SmokeyHellNFL @DynastyPrice @The_Coop @CWilliamsNFL @FAmmiranteTFJ @ChuckBassFF @ScottFish24 @Fitz_FF @FF_TravisM @GridironSchol91 @GeorgeReedFF @hutchinsonb_ff @ShaneIsTheWorst @ChaBoyJRich i loved Preston Williams...