Efficient Bets · Sports Analysis 💎 @efficientbets
Making efficient NBA & WNBA bets every day. Using data & trends to stay ahead. Joined November 2024-
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Sixers potential starting lineup: Tyrese Maxey VJ Edgecombe Jaylen Brown LeBron James Joel Embiid
Ryan Waldschmidt called up by the D-backs.
4-LEG ON BETR (10x🚀) -MIKAL BRIDGES OVER 18.5 POINTS -KEVIN DURANT UNDER 29.5 POINTS -BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI OVER 12.5 PA -MYLES TURBER OVER 15.5 PR DESIGN MADE BY EFFICIENT PROP STUDIO!
NBA POSSESSION CHEAT SHEET — 1/6/2026 💎📊 This shows how many empty possessions are projected in each game so we’re not surprised when teams do or don’t score like we expect. Thread 🧵⬇️
If possessions make sense to you, follow — more of these daily. 💎
DAL @ SAC — Possession Cheat Sheet ⸻ SECTION 1 — Last 5 Games Dallas Mavericks (L5) -PPG: 112.6 -Offensive Rating: 106.6 (−2.2 vs season) -Defensive Rating: 111.8 (−0.4 vs season) Sacramento Kings (L5) -PPG: 99.4 -Offensive Rating: 100.8 (−7.9 vs season) -Defensive Rating: 125.6 (+5.9 vs season) ⸻ SECTION 2 — Empty Possession Environment Game-Level -Projected Possessions: 179 -Expected Empty Possessions: 87 -Expected Empty Rate: 48.7% Team Conversion Inputs DAL -TO%: 19.5% → 18.1% (L5) -OREB%: 23.6% → 15.7% (L5) -FTr: 0.4% → 0.4% (L5) -Conversion Score: 33.6 SAC -TO%: 18.1% → 19.6% (L5) -OREB%: 23.6% → 24.4% (L5) -FTr: 0.4% → 0.4% (L5) -Conversion Score: 38.0 ⸻ SECTION 3 — Opponent Resistance Impact DAL offense vs SAC defense (Last 5 lens) -TO Pressure: 17.6% → 15.9% ≈ −1.4 empty possessions -OREB Impact: 12.3% → 18.3% ≈ −2.7 empty possessions -Foul Rate (FTr): 0.4% → 0.4% FT Points: -Baseline: 20.9 -Opp-Adjusted: 22.2 -Net FT Impact: +1.3 pts Net Opponent Effect: −4.1 empty possessions ⸻ SAC offense vs DAL defense (Last 5 lens) -TO Pressure: 19.7% → 16.6% ≈ −2.5 empty possessions -OREB Impact: 25.2% → 23.7% ≈ +0.6 empty possessions -Foul Rate (FTr): 0.4% → 0.3% FT Points: -Baseline: 21.9 -Opp-Adjusted: 15.8 -Net FT Impact: −6.1 pts Net Opponent Effect: −1.9 empty possessions
@NBA @johnschuhmann @BetMGM x.com/efficientbets/…
NBA POSSESSION CHEAT SHEET — 1/5/2026 💎📊 This shows how many empty possessions are projected in each game so we’re not surprised when teams do or don’t score like we expect. Thread 🧵⬇️
@NBA @johnschuhmann @BetMGM x.com/efficientbets/…
🏀 Over/Under Total Points | 1/5/2026 🏀 🚀 = My Favorite 💎 NYK / DET — Over 232.5 💎 ATL / TOR — Over 233.5 💎 CHI / BOS — Over 234.5 💎 PHX / HOU — Under 222.5 💎 CHA / OKC — Under 233.5 💎 DEN / PHI — Over 230.5 🚀 💎 UTA / POR — Under 242.5 💎 GSW / LAC — Over 225.5
@xEP_Network x.com/efficientbets/…
🏀 Over/Under Total Points | 1/5/2026 🏀 🚀 = My Favorite 💎 NYK / DET — Over 232.5 💎 ATL / TOR — Over 233.5 💎 CHI / BOS — Over 234.5 💎 PHX / HOU — Under 222.5 💎 CHA / OKC — Under 233.5 💎 DEN / PHI — Over 230.5 🚀 💎 UTA / POR — Under 242.5 💎 GSW / LAC — Over 225.5
🏀 Over/Under Total Points | 1/5/2026 🏀 🚀 = My Favorite 💎 NYK / DET — Over 232.5 💎 ATL / TOR — Over 233.5 💎 CHI / BOS — Over 234.5 💎 PHX / HOU — Under 222.5 💎 CHA / OKC — Under 233.5 💎 DEN / PHI — Over 230.5 🚀 💎 UTA / POR — Under 242.5 💎 GSW / LAC — Over 225.5 🚀
NBA POSSESSION CHEAT SHEET — 1/5/2026 💎📊 This shows how many empty possessions are projected in each game so we’re not surprised when teams do or don’t score like we expect. Thread 🧵⬇️
@CeeJSports x.com/efficientbets/…
NBA POSSESSION CHEAT SHEET — 1/5/2026 💎📊 This shows how many empty possessions are projected in each game so we’re not surprised when teams do or don’t score like we expect. Thread 🧵⬇️
@ToadSports x.com/efficientbets/…
NBA POSSESSION CHEAT SHEET — 1/5/2026 💎📊 This shows how many empty possessions are projected in each game so we’re not surprised when teams do or don’t score like we expect. Thread 🧵⬇️
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