Daniel Szeligowski @dszeligowski
Head of Eastern Europe Programme & Senior Research Fellow on Ukraine, Polish Institute of International Affairs @PISM_Poland pism.pl/analysts/Danie… Joined December 2012-
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Ditto. As I framed it yesterday at RAND - if you fight hybrid, you win hybrid (that is, indecisively). Unless there is a mental change in the minds of the Western decision-makers, we will keep kicking the can down the road, while Russia will keep bleeding Ukraine out
Ditto. As I framed it yesterday at RAND - if you fight hybrid, you win hybrid (that is, indecisively). Unless there is a mental change in the minds of the Western decision-makers, we will keep kicking the can down the road, while Russia will keep bleeding Ukraine out
@FRHoffmann1 Allow me rephrase the issue: long-range fires are intended to hit long range targets, aren’t they? Does anyone believe #Ukraine can win this war when for over two years now the aggressor has targeted every inch of its territory, while we insist that Russia’s territory is…
My key points at @RANDCorporation: 👉 Russia has come for Ukraine's sovereignty, not territory 👉 Victory is free, sovereign Ukraine, with possibility for unhindered development 👉 Ukraine's NATO membership conditions are clear, now let's talk modalities
Główne tezy mojego wystąpienia w @RANDCorporation: 👉 Rosja przyszła po suwerenność Ukrainy, nie jej terytorium 👉 Zwycięstwo to wolna, suwerenna Ukraina z możliwością niezakłóconego rozwoju 👉 Warunki przystąpienia Ukrainy do NATO są jasne, rozmawiajmy o zasadach członkostwa
For years Western politicians have taken comfort in the notion that CN&RU were in an unstable “marriage of convenience”. But look carefully, including in far-off spots like Wenchang, and Sino-Russian interests are aligning in ways that may prove enduring. economist.com/china/2024/04/…
Yesterday in #Washington we discussed Future Strategy of the West towards #Ukraine #Russia. Great, non-obvious assessments! Thanks to @RANDCorporation for co-organizing "Long War in Europe" conference and @TheStudyofWar for in-depth conversation about the situation on the front.
Wczorajsz w #Waszyngtonie dyskutowaliśmy o przyszłości strategii Zachodu wobec Ukrainy i Rosji. Świetne rozmowy, wiele nieoczywistych ocen. Dziękujemy @RANDCorporation za współorganizację konferencji "Long War in Europe" oraz @TheStudyofWar za długą rozmowę o sytuacji na froncie.
Kolejny ważny komunikat płynący z pierwszego. panelu jest jasny. Ukraina ma realne szanse, żeby wygrać tę wojnę, ale trzeba dać jej wszystkie militarne narzędzia do tego. Ponadto bardzo ważne będą gwarancje, że Ukraina stanie się członkiem #NATO.
Kolejny ważny komunikat płynący z pierwszego. panelu jest jasny. Ukraina ma realne szanse, żeby wygrać tę wojnę, ale trzeba dać jej wszystkie militarne narzędzia do tego. Ponadto bardzo ważne będą gwarancje, że Ukraina stanie się członkiem #NATO.
This was a deep and insightful discussion. Many thanks @TheStudyofWar!
This was a deep and insightful discussion. Many thanks @TheStudyofWar!
To była przeciekawa dyskusja o możliwych przyszłych scenariuszach rosyjskich działań zbrojnych na Ukrainie. Biorąc pod uwagę, że Rosjanie wyciągają lekcje z dotychczasowego przebiegu wojny dla państw zachodnich oznacza to konieczność zwiększenia wsparcia dla Ukrainy.
the European Commission will send out its proposals for more sanctions on 🇷🇺 & 🇧🇾 to EU member states at the end of next week. Mainly focusing on combatting sanctions circumvention. don't expect 🇨🇿 proposal of limiting movement in 🇪🇺 of 🇷🇺 diplomats to fly.
Kudos to my @PISM_Poland colleagues and our counterparts at @RANDCorporation for 2 panels worth of thought provoking views. It's important to hear that the aggressive threat from Russia will not go away anytime soon and that we need to prepare now to deter it
Kudos to my @PISM_Poland colleagues and our counterparts at @RANDCorporation for 2 panels worth of thought provoking views. It's important to hear that the aggressive threat from Russia will not go away anytime soon and that we need to prepare now to deter it
Together with colleagues from the National Security Division @RANDCorporation, @PISM_Poland experts alongside discussants from @SztabGenWP & @MSZ_RP provided invaluable insights on #Ukraine needs, including future security, and dealing with threats from a reconstituted Russia
During their time in Washington, DC @PISM_Poland experts had the pleasure of meeting with @TheStudyofWar analysts. We exchanged notes on the frontline situation in #Ukraine, discussed potential Russian offensive scenarios, and tackled the issue of future strategy toward Russia
@MTerlikowski @NATO @StateDept @LiamWasley W drugim panelu moderowaną przez @MTerlikowski ekspertka @PISM_Poland @Anna_M_Dyner mowiła, że Rosja wyciągnęła wnioski z wojny na #Ukraina i odbudowuje swoje zdolności, które też będą wymierzone przeciw @NATO
Definicja zwycięstwa Ukrainy: "wolna, suwerenna Ukraina z możliwością niezakłóconego społecznego-gospodarczego rozwoju." 👇
Definicja zwycięstwa Ukrainy: "wolna, suwerenna Ukraina z możliwością niezakłóconego społecznego-gospodarczego rozwoju." 👇
@BeataGWinter @PISM_Poland @RANDCorporation @dszeligowski @Anna_M_Dyner @MTerlikowski "Nie wygrasz wojny, jeśli nie chcesz wygrać wojny. Polityczne elity Zachodu muszą zmienić mentalność i zrobić wszystko, aby Ukraina wygrała" - @dszeligowski na wspólnej konferencji @RANDCorporation Washington Office i @PISM_Poland
Celebrating my birthday at @PISM_Poland & @RANDCorporation discussion on the Russian war against Ukraine. Putting forward my own theory of victory: free, sovereign Ukraine with the possibility of unhindered socio-economic development. Still a long way to go, though
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16K Followers 906 Following Бізнес Омбудсмен 🇺🇦 Business Ombudsman | Ex 🇨🇦Amb to 🇺🇦 🇷🇸🇲🇰🇲🇪 | Personal Reflections / Особисті думки
Anton Muraveinyk 🇺.. @anthony__cba
46K Followers 898 Following Head of the Analytical Department | AFU Competent Assistance Fund | Private account | Uncensored | UA/ENG
Wojciech Wojtasiewicz @WojciechWojtas6
826 Followers 796 Following Eastern Europe Programme, Research Fellow on South Caucasus, Polish Institute of International Affairs https://t.co/k0SIPeifaW
Nico Lange @nicolange_
54K Followers 4K Following 🇮🇱 | Ukraine + Russia Watcher. Security. Defense. Technology. Basketball-Fan @WashWizards. Hört Radio Jerewan. Plan beats no plan. #zeitenwende
Filip Rudnik @RudnikFilip
656 Followers 1K Following research fellow @OSW_pl / @OSW_eng, contributor @kultliberalna, alumnus @IMCEERES @unitartu @UofGlasgow
Katarina Mathernova �.. @kmathernova
12K Followers 977 Following Ambassador of European Union 🇪🇺 to Ukraine . Former Deputy Director General at DG NEAR European Commission & Head of Support Group for 🇺🇦.
Dr. Ian Garner @irgarner
67K Followers 5K Following Scholar of Russian war propaganda | Banned in 1 country | Get my 📖 "Z Generation: Russia's Fascist Youth” @ https://t.co/Akzzi0ON9Z | 🇨🇦🇺🇦
Konstantin Sonin @k_sonin
32K Followers 183 Following Political economist, John Dewey Distinguished Service Professor, @HarrisPolicy at @UChicago.
Magdalena Gawin @MagdalenaGawin1
5K Followers 1K Following Historian, director of the Pilecki Institute and the Lemkin Center in Warsaw. Only personal opinion.
Oleksandr Kubrakov @OlKubrakov
10K Followers 878 Following Vice Prime Minister for the Restoration of Ukraine – the Minister for Communities and Territories Development and Infrastructure of Ukraine
PISM Berlin @PISM_Berlin
371 Followers 157 Following Berliner Büro des Polnischen Instituts für Internationale Angelegenheiten @PISM_Poland || Berlin PISM Office
Yuliya Bidenko @YuliyaBidenko
2K Followers 1K Following Political Scientist, Sociologist, Associate Professor at @Karazin University, Ukraine @ZOiS @IWM @CharlesUniversity @EuropeanUniversutyatVilnius fellow
Paweł Markiewicz �.. @DrPMarkiewicz
2K Followers 4K Following Exec. Director @PISM_DC Office || Advisor to @PISM_Poland Director for U.S. Operations || Historian || @JagiellonskiUni @HarvardExt alum || RT🚫endorsement
BorjaLasheras @LasherasFB
4K Followers 1K Following Ukraine, European foreign policy. Senior Fellow @cepa. Views my own.
PISM_DC @PISM_DC
739 Followers 78 Following The Polish Institute of International Affairs (@PISM_Poland) Washington D.C. Office || Biuro Polskiego Instytutu Spraw Międzynarodowych w Waszyngtonie
Нова Польща @novapolshcha
3K Followers 455 Following Про Польщу, Україну і російсько-українську війну. Наш портал: https://t.co/iIreTbnAzX Наш телеграм: https://t.co/po8cBgYVVw@dszeligowski @PISM_Poland @RANDCorporation Wszystkiego najlepszego!
@dszeligowski @PISM_Poland @RANDCorporation Rock and roll, Daniel. For common good of Poland and Ukraine. With best wishes out of Kyiv.
@dszeligowski I dare propose you to visit Moscow ASAP;-)
@dszeligowski @MieroszewskiPL @OSW_pl @sew_uw Wyborowy skład. Dyskusja musiała być intensywna.
🗓️ APRIL 23 @ 10:00AM ET | How should Ukraine and its Western partners prioritize reforms as reconstruction begins to take shape? Nick Bias, @McKeeUSAID, @tashecon, & @mzhernakov join @JohnEdHerbst to discuss. atlanticcouncil.org/event/building…
🧵Happy to present the latest report by the Russia and Eurasia Studies Programme @FOIresearch, “Russian Military Capabilities at War”: foi.se/en/foi/reports…
@BartlomiejGajos @dszeligowski Jakub Wiech i Szczepan Twardoch?
@dszeligowski Ignorowanie roli Polski w tej wojnie (poza chwaleniem za 'amazing' postawę wobec uchodźców) towarzyszy Zachodniej debacie od samego początku konfliktu. Nie jest to nic nowego. Zdjęcie z mojego archiwum ...
@dszeligowski And we are very grateful to our Polish friends for their ongoing support 🙏😊 I think only after the war has ended will the world be able to appreciate the true role our Eastern and Central European friends and their support has played.
@dszeligowski You deserve it! Everyone respects a person who calls it as it is... calling "A spade a spade".
We've endorsed the Ukraine Plan, paving the way for regular support to Ukraine under the EU's €50 billion Ukraine Facility. This will help Ukraine to keep its administration running and to provide basic public services, among other necessities, while it continues to defend…
@dszeligowski And a useful distraction too, as it happens, while 🇷🇺 pursues maximalist objectives and rearms
Today's favorable assessment of the #UkraineFacility Plan by the @EU_Commission is an important milestone. 50 billion euros under the EU Ukraine Facility programme will enable us to strengthen Ukraine's resilience to russian aggression and ensure the country’s reconstruction…
The US still does not fully grasp the nature of the Russian threat, Russia’s sources of power and weakness, and the Russian way of war – including reflexive control. This knowledge gap is reflected in the prevailing US national security assessment that, while Russia poses the…
Russia cannot defeat Ukraine or the West – and will likely lose - if the West mobilizes its resources to resist the Kremlin. That the war is unwinnable due to Russia’s dominance is a Kremlin information operation & a glimpse into Russia's real strategy & only hope of success.🧵
UKRAINE’S DRAFT DILEMMAS: 🧵 UKR’s critical lack of artillery shells (the exchange ratio with Russia: ~1:5 and 1:8) & air defense missiles is well-known. A sign of the latter: recent RUS attacks on the Zmiiv (Kharkiv oblast) & Trypilska (Kyiv oblast) thermal power plants. 1/12
📌 Read full report hudson.org/defense-strate…
@dszeligowski Correct. Simple facts elude too many people - necessary to remind everybody about the real course of events, which is often a tedious but essential task. 👍
Ukraine needs economic security, not just military security. A ground-breaking study by @cepa & @KSE_Institute maps4⃣strategies: 1⃣ Maximize resilience. Minimize destruction. 2⃣Invest in Ukraine's future 3⃣Rapid 🇪🇺🇺🇦 integration 4⃣Harden Ukraine's economy cepa.org/comprehensive-…
The West urgently needs a geo-economic strategy for the war in Ukraine to harness its superiority in resources to its security imperatives. Analysis by @Nigelgd1 in @SurvivalEditors | FREE TO READ. go.iiss.org/3Udx9dW
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