Casey Breen @caseyfbreen
Demographer. Asst Prof @UTAustin. caseybreen.com Oxford, UK Joined November 2017-
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Casey Breen retweeted
My new article on the “Pig in the Python” argues that the demand for young workers will grow dramatically over the coming decades, likely leading to rising wages, stronger unions, and lower inequality. 1/28
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Casey Breen retweeted
Here is some small-N evidence from Princeton that PhD student research matters in the form of a news post reporting that two recent PhD graduates published part of their dissertations in the field’s top journal (ok self-serving b/c one is me 🙂): csdp.princeton.edu/news/recent-gr… 3/3
Casey Breen retweeted
Academia in a nutshell: We are status-seeking chimps searching for status through a tiny number of journals. This is not particularly healthy nor efficient.
At the end of the day, every human being is just a status-seeking chimpanzee. And we are status-seeking chimpanzees where a main thing that gives us status and validation has amazing diminishing marginal returns and a weird discontinuity at the "top 5"
@silastopping @n_seltzer Thanks, Michael!
New in PDR! Happy to see this one out. (Joint w/ @n_seltzer) Structured Inequality, Uncertain Lifespans: Demographic Perspectives on Predicting Individual-Level Longevity onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/pa…
valid
4/ Academics hold AI to absurd double standards. We criticize AI hallucinations while tolerating p-hacking, non-replicable findings, and data errors in peer-reviewed work. Very few published papers are genuinely useful. AI is held to a standard we never applied to ourselves.
Casey Breen retweeted
@GregKamradt I use em-dashes and colons all the time, sigh. AI is stealing our best punctuation marks. Who can we sue?
Casey Breen retweeted
Today's DUPRI seminar features Jennifer Montez, Professor of Sociology & Director of the Center for Aging and Policy Studies at Syracuse University. She is presenting "Why have mortality rates become increasingly unequal across U.S. counties?"
Casey Breen retweeted
@DStephenVoss I don’t blame the students as much - they’re just responding to the incentives I do blame universities!
Casey Breen retweeted
Anyone still on here? I'm hiring a second postdoc to work on my MaMo project... 2 years, start flexible in the next 12 months. Formal call out shortly, email me to know when the listing goes live.
Excited to launch my @ERC_Research Starting Grant at @ucl! I will hire Predoc/RAs starting early 2025 and a PhD Student + Postdoc starting Autumn 2025. Experience with admin data, linked employer-employee data, causal inference are a plus. Sounds like you? Get in touch!
Casey Breen retweeted
Just out in @ReadDemography: We leverage variation in applications to ICE 287(g) agreements 2000-2020 to show that #deportations and immigration enforcement is causally linked to increases in Latino-White segregation. OPEN ACCESS PDF doi.org/10.1215/007033…
“Deportations & Latino Segregation”: @fertmortmig J. Rugh & @hliaang show how 287(g) enforcement slowed drops in local segregation by a third, esp. in New South states, entrenching “patterns of residential stratification & inequality.” read.dukeupress.edu/demography/art…
Casey Breen retweeted
Remember people, school name doesn’t matter at all and the tech industry doesn’t care about school prestige.
This is genuinely pretty incredible. Tshinghua and Peking U are the only foreign universities on this list. Source: @rohanpaul_ai
Casey Breen retweeted
Casey Breen retweeted
Need some holiday reading? Want to know how to estimate extreme weather impacts on demographic outcomes when data IV and O are at different spatial scales? My latest with Nick and Gerard in @ReadDemography read.dukeupress.edu/demography/art…
Casey Breen retweeted
Causality and prediction are not two distinct concepts Causal inference is fundamentally a prediction problem: you’re predicting the counterfactual Randomistas found a few clever ways to do causality without prediction. But if you solve prediction; you get causality for free
Casey Breen retweeted
I am extremely happy to share. Just out in @pnas.org: “Global subnational estimates of migration of scientists reveal large disparities in internal and international flows” Open Access: doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2… w/ @danko_maciej @XinyiZhao16 @ezagheni @MPIDRnews #PAA2025
Casey Breen retweeted
Loved working with @NicoleKapelle on this one! Check out our latest in @JofHSB
🚨New paper!🚨 Thrilled to share my latest work with the amazing @Andrea_Tilstra! We examine how 🚬 & 🍷 behaviours change around separation & divorce💔—with some surprising findings, especially for women. Read more in @JofHSB: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00… @TCDsociology @OxfordDemSci
Casey Breen retweeted
Looking forward to visiting @PennPSC next week!
MONDAY's Population Studies Colloquium Join us 2/17 at noon in the PSC Commons as @joelabriola of @UM_SRC discusses The Mortgage Interest Deduction and the White-Black Wealth Gap, 1984-2021 bit.ly/419SlVv
Casey Breen retweeted
👀New work out today in @ReadDemography!
“Flooding, Sociospatial Risk & Population Health”: @ethanraker incorporates local health survey, floodplain & inundation data to show “how sociospatial determinations of risk shape postdisaster mental health outcomes by stratifying" resources & responses. ow.ly/QxSm50UUiwh
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