BoredCanadianPolling @cadwaveanalysis
Just a bored lad who likes making updates on federal and provincal politics in canada Alberta Joined November 2021-
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(Models Available To Subscribers) Ontario Provincial Polling: OLP: 38% (+8) PCPO: 35% (-8) ONDP: 22% (+3) GPO: 4% (-1) Others: 1% Liaison / June 15, 2026 / n=890 / MOE 3.1% / IVR (% Change with 2025 Election) Check out more ON details on @338Canada at: 338canada.com/ontario/
5 point lead in Metro Vancouver for the Conservatives. That’s probably an all blue Richmond, Surrey, parts of Coquitlam and Port Moody, and maybe a seat in Burnaby. Also probably 3-4 seats in Vancouver proper. Damn
(Models Available To Subscribers) British Columbia Provincial Polling: CON: 47% (+3) NDP: 36% (-9) GRN: 11% (+3) Others: 6% Angus Reid / June 12, 2026 / n=755 / Online (% Change With 2024 Election) Check out BC details on @338Canada here: 338canada.com/bc/
OneBC is cooked and they are all going CPBC, Eby is beyond fried.
(Models Available To Subscribers) British Columbia Provincial Polling: CON: 47% (+3) NDP: 36% (-9) GRN: 11% (+3) Others: 6% Angus Reid / June 12, 2026 / n=755 / Online (% Change With 2024 Election) Check out BC details on @338Canada here: 338canada.com/bc/
Hot mic at G7 summit catches Carney defending Chinese EV deal to Trump nationalpost.com/news/hot-mic-a…
Average is: 🔴 LPC: 44.5% 🔵 CPC: 37% 🟠 NDP: 12%
Interesting thing, here are the Ontario numbers from polls in the past 2 weeks: Abacus 🔴 LPC: 46% 🔵 CPC: 37% 🟠 NDP: 12% Angus Reid 🔴 LPC: 43% 🔵 CPC: 39% 🟠 NDP: 13% Liaison 🔴 LPC: 43% 🔵 CPC: 38% 🟠 NDP: 11% Nanos 🔴 LPC: 46% 🔵 CPC: 34% 🟠 NDP: 12%
Interesting thing, here are the Ontario numbers from polls in the past 2 weeks: Abacus 🔴 LPC: 46% 🔵 CPC: 37% 🟠 NDP: 12% Angus Reid 🔴 LPC: 43% 🔵 CPC: 39% 🟠 NDP: 13% Liaison 🔴 LPC: 43% 🔵 CPC: 38% 🟠 NDP: 11% Nanos 🔴 LPC: 46% 🔵 CPC: 34% 🟠 NDP: 12%
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Nanos Research: 🔴LPC 43% (+1) 🔵CPC 31% (+2) 🟠NDP 12% (-1) ⚜️BQ 7% (-) 🟢GPC 6% (-) 🟣PPC 2% (-) Conservatives rebound a bit from it seems like a bad sample last week.
CAQ above 20% is legit, Frechettementum man
(Models Available For Subscribers) Quebec Provincial Polling: PQ: 29% (+14) PLQ: 25% (+11) CAQ: 20% (-21) PCQ: 14% (+1) QS: 11% (-4) Pallas / June 12, 2026 / n=1099 / MOE 3% / IVR (% Change With 2022 Election) Check out QC details from @338Canada here:
Its funny when random trolls online flail around to try and dismiss my polling because their feeble attempts to articulate what makes or doesn't make a good poll is amusing. When a "polling expert" flails around trying to dismiss a poll from a firm with a solid track record. Thats just sad.
For a poll done by *Looks at my notes* Great Canadian Bagel, with 185 subscribers on an open access online poll? Yeah, no shit we're going to ignore this 'poll'
@christoaivalis Um, that’s not Nanos…
Leader Net-Approvals: Mark Carney: 🟢 Approve: 57% ⚫️ Disapprove: 37% ⚪️ Net: +20% Pierre Poilievre: 🔴 Unfavourable: 49% 🟢 Favourable: 37% ⚪️ Net: -12% Avi Lewis: 🟢 Favourable: 26% 🔴 Unfavourable: 23% ⚪️ Net: +3% Liaison / June 13, 2026
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Liaison Strategies: 🔴LPC 41% (+1) 🔵CPC 32% (-) 🟠NDP 14% (-1) ⚜️BQ 6% (-1) 🟢GPC 2% (-1) 🟣PPC 2% (-) Government approval rebounds 4% up to +20.
@DoeDoe1480871 Idk rolling polls are weird
My rolling poll predictions for tomorrow: Liaison 🔴 LPC: 41% (+1) 🔵 CPC: 31% (-1) 🟠 NDP: 14% (-1) 🔷 BQC: 28% in QC (-) 🟢 GPC: 3% (-) Nanos 🔴 LPC: 40% (-2) 🔵 CPC: 31% (+2) 🟠 NDP: 13% (-) 🔷 BQC: 28% in QC (+1) 🟢 GPC: 5% (-1)
I think there’s a pretty obvious outlier here
📊There has been a bit of a spread of late. 🍁338 Sunday Update: 338canada.ca/p/338-sunday-u…
I am running a Canadian Federal Poll for June 2026! Please respond & repost for the best sample, it would be greatly appreciated. docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAI…
The politics of AI are coming. This week we discuss the Carney government's AI strategy, public concerns about technology and social media, and whether Mark Carney's standing with voters has already peaked. youtu.be/3d3XERv5H_I?si…
Again, don’t take Spark & Bruce Anderson seriously.
Latest federal poll from @spark_advocacy via @bruceanderson: Government approval (66%) and voter mood shows continuing support for Carney bruce728.substack.com/p/government-a… Find out more at nationalnewswatch.com
Here are Canadian cities according to Angus Reid's city sub samples in their latest poll.
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