Shay Bouchles @bouchles
Co-founder & CEO, @PlayMindLabs Behavioral analytics for prediction markets and sportsbooks New York, NY Joined October 2025-
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Being right and losing a contract aren’t mutually exclusive. What interests me is that traders can’t feel the difference in the moment: resolution risk and price risk produce identical behavior on the way down. That reaction is measurable well before the account blows up.
@novexztr Absolutely yes. Never seen that much at once in my life
@moonpay I go to their office building in Manhattan to cowork every Friday!
The day after a marquee event is the highest-churn window a prediction market has. Everyone measures the traffic spike. Almost nobody measures who never comes back. Retention is decided in the comedown, not the peak.
@Careerbuddha111 Hi, vibecoder somewhere in between vibecoder and coder. Backend focused
Traders: Ever notice your price-checking spikes right before you make a dumb move? Checking frequency is one of the best (and most ignored) behavioral signals. It warns you before the mistake. Who’s guilty this week? 👀
Favorite-longshot bias shows up in every betting market ever studied. Prediction markets were supposed to be immune, where anyone can make markets. They’re not. I’ve watched World Cup longshots on Kalshi trade at 2-3x fair value. Retail overpays for lottery-shaped contracts.
@sflorimm Yea I think so. I have done tons of hackathons and projects, and I think only 1 is actually going somewhere
World Cup final week. Watch how prices behave: liquidity floods in, spreads tighten, and the retail money that arrives last is the most emotional money in the market. That's not a metaphor. It's measurable. Just experienced it myself watching France v Spain
Ok I would think B because of its thoroughness. The type= should allow for a larger user base. Also there is nothing in A to deal with Orders files, only Profile and Settings These are my educated guesses as a vibecoder trying to learn backend
Backend Interview Question: One of these API designs scales much better. Which one are you choosing?
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