Averell Mouch @averell_sol

Just have fun with @Polymarket / @zscdao member Polymarket Joined February 2021

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Averell Mouch @averell_sol

3 weeks ago

Je viens de créer un combo sur @Polymarket. Trade contre moi : polymarket.com/r/l9aIHfE

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Someone spent $2.5K to buy 2M shares that Aliens would abduct someone at the Brazil vs Scotland World Cup game. No one knows why he bought all of these shares. Maybe he saw something we did not see? If this really happened, he will win $2.5M.

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Averell Mouch @averell_sol

a month ago

Je viens de gagner $100.00 sur @Polymarket ! Rejoignez-moi et prouvez votre prédiction par des actes : polymarket.com/redeem/eyJwcm9…

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Averell Mouch @averell_sol

2 months ago

@Polymarket is too hard

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Averell Mouch @averell_sol

2 months ago

Interesting one

Polymarket @Polymarket

2 months ago

🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends? polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira…

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Averell Mouch @averell_sol

2 months ago

Road to stars @Polymarket

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Averell Mouch @averell_sol

2 months ago

@goatyishere Soon ? 👀

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Averell Mouch @averell_sol

2 months ago

@0xsolvix @Polymarket Wen

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Averell Mouch @averell_sol

2 months ago

polymarket.com/?r=Averel bet with me !!

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Averell Mouch @averell_sol

2 months ago

@nursexxl @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade because we don't have 100 000$

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Averell Mouch @averell_sol

2 months ago

ELON MUSK vs SAM ALTMAN @Polymarket 1/ Hot take: even if Musk "wins" the OpenAI trial, the prediction market probably resolves NO. The resolution criteria are stacked against him in a way most people aren't pricing. 2/ Musk is asking that ~$130B in "ill-gotten gains" be disgorged to the OpenAI nonprofit foundation, not paid to him personally. The market requires a net monetary award TO Musk. Money flowing to a third-party charity ≠ plaintiff payout. 3/ Procedural posture matters: the jury verdict on liability is advisory only — Judge Gonzalez Rogers makes the final call. Liability phase wraps ~May 21. The remedies phase could easily stretch past Dec 31, 2026, which auto-resolves NO. 4/ On the merits: 24 of 26 original claims already dropped. Private donor standing on charitable trust claims is historically narrow under CA law. And Musk admitting this week that xAI "partly distills" OpenAI's models didn't help his "for humanity" framing. 5/ Structural seller of YES around 15–25%. The edge isn't really on the merits — it's that the market's criteria don't map onto the relief Musk actually seeks.