The Tyler Take @TheTylerTake
NFL, fantasy football, and the NFL draft Joined February 2026-
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And this post shows the disconnect behind what Draft Analysts are doing when they criticize a pick. Even IF another team was going to take the guy, that doesn't mean that they are justified to reach on a guy who shouldn't go in that spot.
This is a perfect example of the disconnect between the media and the NFL. We found out after the draft he wouldn’t have made it past pick 100. In all likelihood, he probably goes in the next 10 picks. #DUUUVAL
@NickElenis Complete misunderstanding of how evaluations work “Someone else would’ve reached on him too” is not a sufficient reason to take a guy too early Especially when you could’ve gotten a similar player 50 picks later Plus, we have no real reason to believe he goes in the next 10 picks
Don’t ever let anyone talk down to you about how much smarter/better NFL front offices are at scouting than the general public.
49ers HC Kyle Shanahan said he doesn't watch prospect tape until February and relies on position coaches to make highlight tapes on each prospect, via @RichEisenShow: "If I don't like their highlight tape, I'm not going to watch anything after."
There's been so much talk about consensus big board (I've been part of it, too), and there's some interesting data as it relates to wide receivers, specifically top-100 ones. This is fantasy football-focused, but there's going to be some correlation to real football…
@ArifHasanNFL For what it’s worth, I’ve never gotten any of this from you. I appreciate the lively debates! I generally think your consensus board and takes surrounding it are good, so that may bias me a little.
But the consensus board doesn’t kNoW anYtHInG aBoUT ScHeME fIT 🥴
I’m a little late to the party, but I wrote about a controversial topic from draft Twitter. No, not consensus big boards… Instead, I used an analytical framework to determine how many games it takes to evaluate a prospect! You can read it for free on my Substack! 🔗⤵️
According to NFL Mock Draft Database, consensus had George Kittle 30 picks higher than where he was drafted. x.com/LombardiHimsel…
Great quote from 49ers director of scouting and football ops Josh Williams on how SF's front office self-evaluates: “We assess it based on our board and our standards. We don’t really care as much about what the mocks say. Because the mocks don’t necessarily talk about the 4th-,
If you reach before pick 80, the data says you’re wrong.
This is a really cool idea!
THE CASE FOR AN 8TH ROUND, ONE YEAR LATER By Frank Rossi - @D3FBHuddle A year ago, after a draft in which zero non-D1 players were selected for the first time in NFL history, I proposed a supplemental 8th round limited to D2, D3, NAIA, and other non-D1 prospects. The response
@NerdBoiTakes Getting 10 of 11 players you mapped out before the draft started is a sign of terrible draft strategy, btw
@TylerDBrooke My CB5, 44th overall player, and one of my top targets for the Packers So excited we got him!
George Kittle wasn’t in mock drafts? I literally mocked George Kittle to the 49ers myself. A round earlier than he was selected! The work being done by folks outside the NFL is extensive, passionate and super valuable. Not recognizing that isn’t a flex. It’s a huge flaw.
Great quote from 49ers director of scouting and football ops Josh Williams on how SF's front office self-evaluates: “We assess it based on our board and our standards. We don’t really care as much about what the mocks say. Because the mocks don’t necessarily talk about the 4th-,
@NoFilm_Analysis Dude points out the literal name of your account and your handle, and then thinks it’s a diss?
they literally do not tell me the same. they tell me they use consensus boards to feel out the shape of the draft
@ArifHasanNFL The only board that counts is that of each team. And I would venture to guess they would tell you the same. Every team “reaches” for players. If they all just followed the so called consensus they wouldn’t have to do any work.
Going to weigh in on the consensus board chatter. The stubbornness of the people who push it away has many layers, and I’m sure I’m still missing some, but here’s a few: 1) Don’t care to learn how the board comes to be (aka a lot more qualified people who do this professionally and not casual fans) 2) Unwilling to listen to historical data of how reaches have fared relative to the consensus board (despite loving their own historical data of physical traits and shying away from outliers 🤷♂️) 3) The belief that they are better than “media” members at scouting and creating draft boards 4) The belief that the 32 NFL scouting staffs are all the best people in the world at this and if anyone else knew better they’d be hired 5) Anecdotal evidence of a team (or teams) that doesn’t use the consensus board 6) A fatigue of draft analysis and grading due to a team’s picks relative to the consensus board (plus positional value). I myself am pretty fatigued by draft analysis because I feel like we’re reaching a sameness of thought, even if it might be more right than the way we used to think. It just becomes boring when it’s the same stuff over and over with reaches, trade downs, and positional value What else am I missing?
I don't understand this. Last year, you gave draft grades on players selected in the first round, including several D grades (nfl.com/news/grading-a…). Why are you allowed to give you give your grades but balk when others do it using a version of our collective work and wisdom?
The idea that media can’t critique draft picks because they don’t know as much when teams do stuff like this:
@ArifHasanNFL This is the next step to a consensus board… then as a GM, I’d know when to pick a guy I absolutely must have, and also when a guy is a real value vs when a guy just by chance hasn’t been picked yet
This is why “you think you know more than the NfL?!” is such a bad argument Yes, on some things and at some times, I do!
I evaluated the last 4 years of John Lynch drafts his performance: 2023: #31 2024: #28 2025: #31 2026: #32 after the draft, Lynch claimed he knows better than everyone else the data shows he doesn’t I went thru every single "reach" he made it's gross sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/john-…
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