@SuperBitcoinBro@SuperBitcoinBro @SupBitcoinBro
Technical analysis should be made as simple as possible, but no simpler. -- Albert Einstein, probably *not financial advice* 👇👇free open-source indicators tradingview.com/u/SkyHighTA/#p Joined August 2019-
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nothing has changed since this forecast a week ago IF the FVG remains unfilled THEN we get right back on the gas IF it fills THEN expect typical seasonality of chopsolidation into July before continuation you will never see 70k again and base case target remains 280k
"we need more demand for blockspace" "people need to use bitcoin transactionally, not just as a SOV" "we need to attract buildoors" [Ordinals enters the chat] "not like that!!"
I used to be anti-Ordinals, but if people want to spend money on consensus valid transactions, let the free market and fee market sort it out. At the same time, node runners should have freedom to choose what they relay. Bitcoin can survive freedom within protocol consensus.
$BTC daily consolidation at range highs favors continuation healthier to shake leveraged longs before leveraged shorts
$BTC still needs to reclaim the 10 MA and H&S neckline on a closing basis to invalidate the bear case until then, this is not the place to get aggressive with longs, the time for that was the retest of the FVG and 50 MA, when you were so sure it was all over 😂
$BTC daily negative funding into rising prices with a break of the daily downtrend line
further context
$BTC weekly look to the confluence of the broken downtrend and 10 MA for potential support if $100K is lost
"You can't get rich with bitcoin." People say this all the time. An excuse to take the "shortcut" of entering the altcoin casino or leverage trading. And most are left broke. If bitcoin's returns aren't enough for you to get rich, then you need to work on creating more value.
it can recover from a little wick to the 50 MA, but if it closes in the FVG or loses the 50 MA at $100K then it most likely fills the whole gap
$BTC daily 102.6K is the first level that makes sense to look for a long if it fails to hold here, it likely tests the 50 MA and FVG
the reason 102.6K makes sense is because there was a shakeout/bear trap just below that level and anybody who fell for it got their face ripped off all the way to a new ATH
James Wynn providing a free masterclass in what NOT to do - chasing green candles on leverage and revenge trading to the tune of negative $100 million dollars since the ATH his last position was a 40x long from 106K, now liquidated fully expect more degens to jump in and leverage long his liquidation level, so we'll prob need to liquidate them too
link to watch his wallet on coinglass, no positions open currently coinglass.com/hyperliquid/0x…
$BTC daily
$BTC weekly potential pennant targeting $140K+ consolidating above the prior swing high with 8 consecutive higher lows
$BTC daily resting on support in a time-based rather than price-based correction the 50 MA caught up to the FVG, improving the odds it remains unfilled and acts as rocket fuel for the next leg up may need to sweep the low one more time to trap shorts before continuing higher
nothing has changed since this forecast a week ago IF the FVG remains unfilled THEN we get right back on the gas IF it fills THEN expect typical seasonality of chopsolidation into July before continuation you will never see 70k again and base case target remains 280k
Tariff announcements in ~5 minutes. Would not surprise to see volatility regardless of what is said. I want to see $BTC hold ~$85K if it whipsaws, ideally close above the 200 MA which sits at $86.3K, though any close above $86K is technically a breakout of the DBW. LFG!
$BTC daily the breakout we've been waiting for, let's see if it can stick the landing
$BTC monthly stiff rejection after the tariff announcements increases the odds of a lower wick lots of room for a higher low before a retest of the 2024 highs is on the table, and I still fully expect this to resolve higher
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