Sirus @Sirus009
Best tackler since Joe Montana. Joined August 2020-
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Update on $BYND today. The short in the morning's pre-market session was disrupted by PCE data which began to drive small cap indexes. This left the dealer positive delta into open. Despite actively trying to short the initial move into a positive gamma environment shorts failed…
$BYND is still on RegSHO tonight. Which is probably the best outcome for bulls. however, shorts aren't out from underwater yet. I said last night the most likely scenario for BYND today would be a move down on the back of aggressive shorting. MM gamma slid back to negative by end…
Alright I'm tired of answering questions about beyond tonight. So here is the deal. $BYND earnings reaction was a bit unexpected as far as our bull case goes (which was not fundamental based). The expectation was a miss in earnings and a miss in revenue, which was true. But…
In conclusion, bending the knee to the banks can only last for so long. Eventually the Fed will need to choose between bank failures and inflation, a battle they are still losing, as shown with today's CPI report. Increased global conflict is already disrupting supply chains and…
Thermal coal prices diverge as Japan, South Korea buy more, China, India less - column by @ClydeCommods reuters.com/markets/commod…
Why another Volmageddon is imminent in upcoming week(s), a thread: Many people feel excited about the large volume in IWM this Friday and the breakthrough, and them unprofitable stocks going strong, but another Volmageddon + Jan 21 GME incident is emerging from this,
This has been a goal for year, but as renewable efficiency rates fall well below "stated baseline" there have been waivers issued in PJM and MISO. They are already facing a crunch, and shuttering any additional coal would be a disaster. Here is a breakdown from the NERC report:
This has been a goal for year, but as renewable efficiency rates fall well below "stated baseline" there have been waivers issued in PJM and MISO. They are already facing a crunch, and shuttering any additional coal would be a disaster. Here is a breakdown from the NERC report: https://t.co/TNBFhs0X5j
Some useful options market info for people interested in market mechanics. 🧵
While the #Fed's tightening has done little to reduce money supply or velocity, the issue of fiscal sustainability should be at the forefront of investors' minds. The annual deficit projections target approximately $1.7-1.8 trillion. With deficit accrual correlating strongly with…
Rare earth discoveries mean coal mines could have a key role to play in the energy transition cnbc.com/2023/11/24/rar…
The war between Israel and Hamas could lead to a regional conflict, drawing in Hezbollah and even Iran. The resulting economic fallout, starting with a spike in oil prices, may in turn cause a global recession Watch the full video here trib.al/hIx04HJ
A visualization of index dispersion wherein funds go short volatility on indexes and long volatility on the underlying. As yields rise bond portfolio managers seeking convexity hedging on VIX drive short volatility positions out and the dispersion trade breaks down. We saw this…
China’s surging demand for #thermalcoal bolstered prices in Asian market. This trend expected to continue until sufficient stockpiles are secured for approaching winter season, keeping prices high.
A #coal ETF is returning to US markets. I am told the symbol will be $COAL $BTU $AMR $ARCH $CEIX
We sat down with the "King of Coal" Matt Warder to discuss coal market dynamics and investments. Take a look! $btu $arch $ceix $teck $hnrg $hcc $amr $bhp.ax $whc.ax
The @tradingview source code that can be used to import our GEX levels for multiple tickers has been posted at stocks.tradingvolatility.net/tvPineFileMulti Links have been updated in the original blog post which contains full instructions.
The @tradingview source code that can be used to import our GEX levels for multiple tickers has been posted at stocks.tradingvolatility.net/tvPineFileMulti Links have been updated in the original blog post which contains full instructions.
$NVDA 348K contracts traded so far: 63% Calls, 37% Puts
$SPX #MarketBreadth As bearish as it gets $SPX closed today at the highest for the year. Our favorite indicator of internal market health, the SPX stocks above 200DMA Index, closed today -once again- below the 200DMA, the super important 50% level, and also below the 2021…
$SPX #MarketBreadth These 25 companies represent 43.44% of the total S&P 500 Want to know where SPX is headed, keep an eye on them ( #NFLX is No. 41 ) One of our breadth indicators is based on these top 25 The top 10 represent 29.93% of the Index The bottom 25…
The problem with ChatGPT is that it writes like a robot. But you can train it to write exactly like you. Here's how you can easily train ChatGPT with only one prompt:
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87.3M Followers 51 Following 45th President of the United States of America🇺🇸First $arch Q1 impressions: Pricing appeared to be brutal. Met sales per ton dropped from $195 to $165 Despite this, they managed to spend more per ton in cost. And lose money in thermal which used to be the cash cow Ouch.
🔥Trading Edu 🚀👨🎓 1- How big money played 0DTE today: 2- How small account retail played it today: 3- Please like and retweet so that retail traders can view and learn. All these tools are available for free on TradingView you just have to put them together. My posts aren't…
@mfwarder @ArrakisGlobal @HomosexualMan1 @dyer440 I warned peeps about a shoulder season drop. It occurred. I warned peeps about $btu earnings due to shitty pricing. That occurred w/ help from production issues. I warned about $ceix earnings - now at $13 from $18. Just because I’m not rah rah doesn’t make me a bear.
Citi upgraded Warrior Met $HCC to Buy w a target price of $75 due to expected production from Blue Creek. BMO Capital Markets downgraded $Arch to Market Perform citing port closures & lower coal prices, w revised EBITDA estimates and potential impacts on full-year guidance.
Peabody Energy $BTU anticipates a profitable Q1 2024 but below expectations, w revenues at $980M & net income of $45M. Adj EBITDA is estimated at $160M, below analysts estimates: buff.ly/3Udj685
If you could change one thing about the US stock market, what would it be? I'll go first: PDT is an absolutely absurd rule, and does nothing except slow the learning curve for people trying to improve their lives. Stop "protecting" people from themselves.
These 3 are in worse shape - all have broken the 200dma. $arch annd $btu are backtesting but $ceix is done with that and following the 20dma further downward off the 200. All 3 are threatening further chaos.
Even the biggest traders can forget this... The probability of a winning trader losing 5 trades in a row is 100% given enough time. You didn't lose your touch... it's statistics. Get ahold of your emotions.
Pretty much every line item I have is green other than coal coin - $BTU never fails to disappoint 🤣
The Baltimore harbor closure, caused by a bridge collision, particularly threatens Consol Energy $CEIX, heavily reliant on its Consol Marine Terminal for #coal exports. With limited alternatives, Consol faces uncertainty over operations. buff.ly/3PGmYvC
Crude Oil, Exxon Mobil $XOM, and Occidental Petroleum $OXY all have imminent golden crosses. Are oil-related assets about to blast?
Copper hits most extreme level of contango in 30 years which could be a sign the global economy is facing some trouble
Peabody $BTU announced in its Proxy Statement for the 2024 Annual Meeting of Stockholders that current directors from Elliott Management, Samantha B. Algaze & David J. Miller, won't seek re-election: buff.ly/4awCW3B
@aberadabra It’s at least “nothing” $BTU if not a little positive due to slightly higher average Q2 prices at Shoal Creek and maybe the opportunity to export a little ILB production. Today’s price reaction was dumb.
@dyer440 @mfwarder @HomosexualMan1 @DeckoDeck903 @Pingyan41572 And note that I’m not saying you’re wrong - it’s certainly possible that this year is different and prices have bottomed in mid March. I’m just saying that historically that would be a rare event.