Let me understand this right…
The current narrative is sell the AI capex payer because spend depresses FCF and buybacks. Buy the recipient because that same capex becomes revenue, margin, backlog, and scarcity pricing.
So if hyperscalers cut capex, they can rip and the bottlenecks can puke. I’ve honestly sat here for a while thinking about this… have we created a market where AI capex is heads I win, tails I win?
Capex up? Bottlenecks rally and drag the market higher.
Capex down? Hyperscalers get the FCF/buyback story back and drag the market higher.
Europeans flipping out over the suburban Flyover are a stunning vindication of the American way of life, and yet the most desirable and expensive places in the US are the ones that most embody high-density European-style urbanism, with all its attendant advantages and problems.
@HighyieldHarry tbf he addresses this in the longform segment on substack. For all the hate @chamath he can explain why he did x or y with a level of self awareness and clarity that most are too terrified to confront.
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