2024 Southwest Monsoon Outlook (unofficial analysis based on dynamical models & statistical approach ) will be posted on April 8th,2024. Detailed Analysis would be on the following topics 1. Possible dates for Monsoon establishment over Bay of Bengal & adj islands & also its subsequent progression. 2. Possible dates for Kerala Monsoon onset based on position of large scale convective forcing in the sub-seasonal forecast, Historical approach considering previous years conditions, Intra-seasonal oscillation, ENSO/IOD conditions. 3. Overall Monsoon rains performance considering ENSO/IOD conditions. 4. Subdivisions/ states/countries that would see Above-Normal /Excess rains & below normal rainfall during the season-Probability based forecast. #LaNina #LaNina2024 #monsoon2024 #MJO #India #Pakistan #SriLanka #Iran #ENSO #IOD #Bangaldesh #Myanmar #Thailand #Asia Sat image : 4th Aug 2022 @eumetsat