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@maxpain_crypto Yeah this looks rough I’ve seen similar patterns in other markets and it rarely ends well especially when the trend stays bearish for so lon
$OTHERS.D vs Top 8 Alts DOM, 1W
We are seeing the index holding above POC and the previously marked macro support, forming a structure that resembles a reversal with price pressing into a Confl. resistance zone — Yearly PP, 360D rVWAP, OB VWAP below.
On the weekly indicators, we also see pressure building toward key levels: RSI toward 50, MACD toward 0 (exit from negative territory).
Yes, reversal formations always take time, and in most cases more time than expected. Let’s see how this plays out, but if we get a clean reclaim of the yearly PP into support, higher targets become more relevant and upside momentum could accelerate.
Notably, after five years of a downtrend in $OTHERS vs Top 8 Alts, many are still bearish on alts. Sure
#SPX S&P500 is still going UP...
And believe me, there were many calling the "end" of the SPX during the dip... their paid indicators told them so... but it never happened
Looks like at some point S&P will have its final blow off top
Money will rotate into crypto afterwards
bitcoin:native
Aggregated Open Interest continues to decline
(278K → 254K) while price remains relatively stable near 80K.
Leverage is being removed from the system, yet price shows limited displacement.
OI ↓ + Price ≈ flat typically reflects passive position unwinding rather than aggressive directional positioning or forced liquidations.
Quiet deleveraging beneath stable price action.
$BTC already looks weak relative to equities.
Now look at $ETH relative to BTC.
Absolute destruction.
Feels like the final capitulation before things can finally turn.
Idk lads, am I crazy?
$BTC (weekly chart)
The trend is still to the upside. The RSI is likely aiming the descending trendline.
A weekly candle close should provide more clarity, two days left until close.
#Bitcoin Gaussian channel reclaim underway?
Now testing the upper boundary.
Last bear market, reclaiming the 2-day Gaussian channel marked the #BTC bottom.
$BTC
For those wondering, yes, I’m still in my swing short.
BTC is currently testing a major area: the previous highs before the breakdown to 60K. If this level holds, there’s a possibility we continue pushing higher.
I still believe we eventually retrace and test the 75–76K region where I placed my scalp long limits, but risk management has to come first. Because of that, I’ve decided to derisk 50% of my short position at a loss. Not because I’ve lost confidence, but because protecting capital is more important than being right.
As I mentioned previously, most of my swing shorts didn’t experience this much deviation. Looking back, I mentioned that I entered too early, and the smarter move would have been waiting for acceptance.
So at this point, 50% of the short is closed, while I’m holding the remaining 50% targeting either sub-70K or my SSL at 84K.
My invalidation level was only briefly missed. This current retrace has given me the opportunity to reduce exposure for just a -0.3R loss while still keeping part of the position open. Given the circumstances, I’m comfortable with that.
Could derisking 50% end up being a mistake? Maybe. I still expect price to retrace below my entry. But I always have to remain open to the possibility that I’m wrong as well.
$BTC
My additional entries have been filled at 79500, completing my final DCAs.
In the process, my average from 76K is currently 77.6K.
I won’t be adding further, and my SSL remains unchanged.
It either closes above 84K and invalidates my position, or it reaches my TP.
As we leave the bottom range that has been forming the last few months the next dip will likely be a higher low.
Structure looks good and clean today. Not the bearish structure until proven otherwise from before.
The markets have proven otherwise at this point to a strong degree.
The higher low will likely be in the mid 70s. Not even below it anymore.
The current rally will cool off at some point. That's normal. But when structure changes it won't be going to a lower low anymore.
Markets have proven to be stronger than most think at this point.
Plenty of people still in bear camp and that's absolutely fine.
To many people upset about other analysts looking at different things.
Respect each other. Bull camp has no guaranteed to be right either. Not even today.
Just for me personally, structure is shifting. Markets can absolutely change direction at any point in time.
Is this a bear market relief rally or is the cycle bottom really in?
That's the million dollar question.
But ironically the answer is quite simple to this.
We
A legendary pattern is setting up for $ETH.
When this finally breaks through the triangle at $2400, $3000+ should come fast... within weeks.
And a 1.5 mNAV for $BMNR would be ~$48.
Watching closely, don't miss out.
BTC continues to climb by building higher liquidity shelves step by step.
Every consolidation zone above $77,000 has turned into support after absorption, while price keeps targeting the next liquidity block higher.
Right now, the key battle zone sits around $81,000–$82,000.
As long as lower liquidity clusters hold, bulls remain in control of the structure.
#Bitcoin#BTC#CryptoMarkets
ETH is trading around the $2,360 region while retail long exposure has climbed to 62.64%.
At the same time, whale delta dropped as low as -9,520, showing that large players are aggressively selling near local highs. The continuous negative flow inside the highlighted zone is
$btc
Same sht, ct and all wannabe TAs started posting “bear flag” with downside targets but with a little brain power and understanding nuance you have a significantly different outcome.
Before and after.
Almost perfect outcome.
Totally contrarian to consensus
$btc w
Everyone’s spamming btc bear flag. Again huge difference between a real technician and fugazzi. Lil history lesson from uncle para in QRT played out exactly as I said. Bitcoin channels = usually bullish and if weekly RSI >50 it’s even cleaner.
Now check the setup. 😎
🟢 STH whales are approaching the unrealized profit zone again after holding through significant losses.
At present, these STHs are sitting on approximately $1.5B in realized losses. On a 30-day moving average basis, this figure still stands at around $5.1B.
👉 This marks a clear improvement compared to February 6, when they were holding roughly $18B in losses.
This positive shift is likely to encourage these whales to remain patient for now, but the key point to monitor will be when they return to a profit position.
The last time this occurred was in January, and it only lasted about a week before BTC resumed its correction.
bitcoin:native
$spx $giga $apu $popcat
Every single one hit my marked dead zone and dumped as I said it would. Nothing special, just basic TA for all those peeps who say TA doesn’t work.
More importantly tho. These setups reinforce an all out altseason thesis. SPX clear strength.
Each day is looking worse for these new major Memecoins
$spx is down 50% since I first said they were rolling. $giga $apu $popcat all down also.
Be cautious. I’ve marked the sort of dead zones in red boxes. It looks inevitable now. Could change but if they hit they’ll dump big
$btc $xau
Ended up tapping 14. Now taking its first crack at this nothing R line. It’s inevitable. Gonna snap hard and run.
Schiff gonna be hilarious on the posts the next 12m. Lmfao. 🐂🚀📈
$btc $xau
I’m gonna be offline for a couple days dealing wit these demons but gotta kick off the year right.
Here’s some bull jizz for ya. Continuing on our gold bitcoin relationship check this MF out. Full Indy reset, perfect count and screaming moon.
$BTC.D (excluding stablecoins) - HTF update.
I think this was one of my most important posts, and that path is quite likely.
My base case is that dominance peaks in May.
What could cause this last push in dominance?
A violent $BTC rally where most alts simply can't keep up.
This is MASSIVE.
The same signal that triggered the 2017 bull run is here.
ISM PMI came in at 52.7 today, crossing back above 51 for the 4th consecutive month.
The last two times this happened were January 2017 and September 2020. Both preceded multi month altcoin rallies of historic scale.
ISM is a US manufacturing data point that measures economic expansion. When ISM crosses 51, it signals that the broader economy is expanding, liquidity conditions are improving, and risk appetite is returning.
Historically that environment pushes money into higher beta assets and altcoins are the highest beta asset class on the planet.
Now the level to watch is 55. Every time ISM has sustained above 55, altcoins have gone parabolic.
We are not there yet.
But the last two times the chart looked exactly like this, altseason followed within months.
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