Legit curious bc I don’t have a deep understanding of sportsbooks and sports betting. Didn’t the Will Levis thing last year show how sensitive draft odds are to totally unverified rumors? Given the secrecy of teams, do sharps actually have edges in the draft?
Legit curious bc I don’t have a deep understanding of sportsbooks and sports betting. Didn’t the Will Levis thing last year show how sensitive draft odds are to totally unverified rumors? Given the secrecy of teams, do sharps actually have edges in the draft?
Re Levis: Yes Secrecy: Sometimes, depends who you know and how willing they are to share Admittedly has gotten much much tougher in last year or so but books are always playing catch up and there is still a good edge imo. This movement is likely not anyone betting because they “know”, but moreso a correction by the market that is much closer to actual current odds of happening. Jayden being -330 at the time was crazy imo.
@Sam4TR hard for sharps but even harder for bookmakers, who all hate booking the draft or really any event that's just info based
@Sam4TR Money movement drives much of it especially with these types of bets where there is so little new facts.
@Sam4TR With the NFL being more in tune with betting now as they are partners good info is much, much harder to come by than in the past
@Sam4TR The odds are based off of the money the sports book is taking in. More people bet on Maye so the move the odds. It's not based off who they think it will be or win.
@Sam4TR The odds changes are to extract more money from people.
@Sam4TR Lines move depending on where the money goes. If more money goes on one QB the line starts to shift towards that player.
@Sam4TR Yes. It's a waste of time