brokebeggar.eth of Tetranode sold CryptoPunk 9953 for 165 ETH, above PunkPredictor’s 139.21 ETH estimate and the 32.7 ETH floor.
After about 5 years, brokebeggar.eth exited with a 234.69 ETH loss.
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20 CryptoPunks are listed below model fair value right now. Biggest is 4% under.
13 of them won't sit for long.
Buy below fair value, not above it.
~95% accuracy across 3,257 real sales.
punkpredictor.xyz/underpriced-cr…
CryptoPunk 242 sold for 32.04 ETH, just below PunkPredictor’s 32.44 ETH estimate and the 32.7 ETH floor. The ask got filled about a minute after listing.
CryptoPunk 628 sold for 31.75 ETH, below PunkPredictor's 33.14 ETH estimate.
The seller had acquired it through a loan-default path at a 26.16 ETH basis and exited with a 5.59 ETH profit.
Jun 8-14 recap: 15 Punks sold this week, and we priced every one before it hit. Within ~10.95% on average.
Closest call: Punk #8124, model 40.51Ξ vs 41.6Ξ sold.
Biggest market surprise: Punk #5092 sold 200Ξ, ~31.86% above where the market had it. Someone overpaid ~48.32Ξ.
The more useful question: how much edge have you left on the table?
Drop your wallet in and every Punk you've ever bought or sold gets scored against fair value at the time. Your best steals, your biggest donations, the ETH you walked away from.
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CryptoPunk 628 just slipped into lender hands on NFTfi. The 30 day loan for 20.5 ETH opened at 62.1% LTV, drifted to 61.4%, then defaulted when borrower 0x021… failed to repay at 19.0% APR.
Lender 0xd76…, with 18 total loans and a 16.7% default rate, now holds the punk. It was their fourth deal with this borrower, and the second to go bad, underscoring a risky partnership.
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10 CryptoPunks are listed below model fair value right now. Biggest is 3% under, and it won't sit for long.
Buy below fair value, not above it.
~95% accuracy across 3,248 real sales.
punkpredictor.xyz/underpriced-cr…
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