Annanth Aravinthan @ProtagorasTO
Previously CRO at EliseAI and Head of Business Ops (Launch, Strategy, Finance and Competition) at Uber Eats Canada annanth.substack.com/p/4-food-deliv… Joined November 2013-
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@thaAdamLittle In the US, TCPA prevents automated "robocalls". I don't think that'll change. So, SDRs will transition to largely outbound calling with other tasks being centralized and automated.
@marketeuphoria @devahaz AI has strong PMF in images and design. So even a subpar product is going to drive incremental revenue growth. But it also creates new white space for start-ups to get to scale, which allows them to attack Adobe's core customer base. This can take a while, like 5-10 years.
@apoorv03 Probably aligns with the incremental value people are getting out of the tokens?
OAI rate limit resets remind me of Uber promotions in 2012. "Refer a friend and get $20 off your next ride".
For next two weeks, refer your friends to Codex, and you'll bank a rate limit reset:
I'm hosting a pickleball / padel event in SF on Wed 6/17 with @elise_ai and @SapphireVC for AI engineers, builders, and founders! Come by for some friendly competition and good vibes 🎾 luma.com/l0cu9a2z
Thanks! To clarify, to me frontier = you have the best models *now* (so there's a timing component to it). Which is different from they need very capable and powerful AI *eventually*. I think the latter is true. There's no way to avoid the training (and research) costs. FYI a lot of the capex is actually going towards future inference to serve these models.
@KairosPraxis Re: $META.. 1. Below I believe is a summary of Facebook's medium term opportunities with AI 2. I actually don't think they need to be on the frontier to make make most of this a reality 3. It seems like they are "catching up" quickly and people will be surprised by end of 2026
@Noahpinion All of this is downstream of energy.
@nachkari I'm not sure if it shows up in GDP, that's sort of my point. Property manager materially reduces Opex in labour / wages, most of that passed as consumer surplus, some kept as operating margin.
@nachkari Also check out the below example.. value creation is real.. unsure of how this shows up in GDP and adoption takes time. x.com/ProtagorasTO/s…
Strongly disagree with @dwarkesh_sp on this one. Since o3, models can automate *most* white-collar work. I'll give you an example of a real life deployment of an AI agent: >$1M ARR contract - One year sales cycle just to get a pilot started - Had to hire an entire team (exec +
GDP isn't perfect (doesn't measure changes in price or quality well). ChatGPT use cases are mostly editing and helpful info (finance, health, etc). Mostly about convenience. Trivial impact to GDP. Anthropic I think is way temp over-earning vs. incremental value creation: x.com/ProtagorasTO/s…
The Anthrophic Krishna Rao with @InvestLikeBest is great. Says they want to be a platform. Take Gates postulate that platforms capture small % of value for customers / ecosystem. iPhone - $200B rev = $2T in value Windows - $17B rev = $170B in value Anthrophic - $45B rev = $450B
Sarah Friar on the All-in podcast: "Our next big training run in the Fall will be on Vera Rubins"
@signulll You'd be surprised by how many things are not automated because of resource constraints. For example, for a long time, the restaurants you could see when you opened the app and we were short on drivers were manually modulated by a human being in the Philippines.
@lpolovets I think this is like using the taxi TAM to determine Uber's TAM. Coding's TAM would encompass automating *most* business processes for knowledge workers. So likely trillions of dollars. Of course, most of the future things to automate haven't been imagined yet.
@nachkari Not an expert but auto an important industry given dual use with military production?
Composer 2.5 being Pareto dominant in coding per CursorBench is important. This is after only a few weeks of supplemental training and/or RL in the Colossus 2 cluster. The 1.5 trillion parameter version of Grok will likely be a much better base model than Kimi. We shall see.
Gavin Baker @GavinSBaker
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modest proposal @modestproposal1
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124K Followers 789 Following I shall now therefore humbly propose my own thoughts, which I hope will not be liable to the least objection. https://t.co/NuC25VaSff
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Luis Garicano 🇪�... @lugaricano
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