PropEleven | Player Insights & Value @PropEleven
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EFL Cup madness. Chelsea vs Arsenal and we’re cashing inside the first 20 mins. Analysis spot on again. Gabriel vs Marc Guiu (3.29 fouls/90) was a mismatch from the start — the data told the story. Andy Diouf 2+ tackles at Serie A (Inter vs Lecce) adds early profit on the day.
Told you that Chelsea vs Arsenal was madness. 21.00 on Jurrien Timber to be carded (79' min) while he’d already been dribbled past 4 times by Estêvão. We get it on the final whistle. That seals 5/5 on the day: ✅Gabriel Magalhães — 1+ fouled (1.80) ✅Gabriel Magalhães — 2+ fouled (5.00) ✅Andy Diouf — 2+ tackles (2.38) ✅Gerard Gumbau — 2+ shots (3.00) + BONUS Jurrien Timber — carded (21.00) Reads. Discipline. Execution.
Following the yearly recap, we’re straight back to business. Serie A. Genoa vs Cagliari. Two picks. Two wins. No drama. ✅ Esposito — 2+ tackles ✅ Palestra — 3+ times fouled
🎯FREE PREMIER LEAGUE VALUE PICK James Garner – 2+ Fouls 📍 Nottingham Forest vs Everton 💰 Odds: 2.62 🚗 Away average: 1.65 fouls/90 📝 Away Foul Logs: [1,2,2,2,0,2,3,2,2,0] Garner’s foul output jumps away from home, and he’s cleared this 2+ line in 7 of his last 10 away fixtures — showing a consistent pattern of increased defensive aggression on the road. Today he draws Elliot Anderson among others, one of Forest’s most active ball-carriers and a top foul magnet this season. Anderson’s ability to drive vertically and hold contact forces midfielders into pressure fouls, especially in transition. That matchup should keep Garner constantly involved in duels. With Everton likely defending phases and Forest attacking centrally, the game state supports volume. The market is pricing his overall logs — not the away split or matchup. That’s where the edge is.
Ok, our guy is starting. Seems that this has gone under the radar. Odds remain the same, 2.62 - tremendous value. Logs at last 10 fixtures in the specific stat category: [1,2,2,2,0,2,3,2,2,0] No brainer. Grab it below!
PREMIER LEAGUE VALUE PICK✨ Yesterday’s freebie? Straight to the bag✅ So here’s another one, all I’ll say is: 🔹 Midfield engine 🔹 Away form = foul magnet 🔹 VS league’s most aggressive ball carrier The edge is there — and the odds won't last. 💬 Want the pick before KO?👇
First win of the day — and it’s an AFCON one 🇺🇬 Our guy already on 3 shots by HT in Uganda vs Nigeria. Called the space Nigeria would leave + expected Free Kick duties… both delivered. Easy cash. Perfect start.🔥 On to the next.
@JamesMurphyTips I'm on it. I've also posted a player pick with tremendous value from Everton game. Go check it out. 2.62 odds.
@SmartAccaPTips There is one player prop you are missing in this game - i just dropped it check it out if you want!
PREMIER LEAGUE VALUE PICK✨ Yesterday’s freebie? Straight to the bag✅ So here’s another one, all I’ll say is: 🔹 Midfield engine 🔹 Away form = foul magnet 🔹 VS league’s most aggressive ball carrier The edge is there — and the odds won't last. 💬 Want the pick before KO?👇
Well that was not bad, 2 tackles for Ziolkowski in 8 minutes✅
Here is a little gift from me too: 🎯 FREE VALUE PICK Jan Ziolkowski – 2+ Tackles 📍 Roma vs Genoa 💰 Odds: 2.50 📊 Role: RCB in back three 📝 Last match: 3 tackles vs Juventus 🎯 Matchup: Vitinha draws ~4 tackles/90 Roma’s younster gets another Serie A start after a statement
Here is a little gift from me too: 🎯 FREE VALUE PICK Jan Ziolkowski – 2+ Tackles 📍 Roma vs Genoa 💰 Odds: 2.50 📊 Role: RCB in back three 📝 Last match: 3 tackles vs Juventus 🎯 Matchup: Vitinha draws ~4 tackles/90 Roma’s younster gets another Serie A start after a statement defensive showing against Juventus where he comfortably cleared this line. Ziolkowski plays on the right side of a back three — meaning direct duels with Vitinha, one of the league’s highest-volume ball carriers and tackle magnets. His profile fits the matchup: aggressive step-outs + strong timing in recovery, and Genoa force plenty of contact through midfield rotations. If the game state keeps Roma defending phases rather than chasing, he should see enough defensive actions to repeat last weekend’s output.
NOVEMBER PERFORMANCE RECAP This is the one i owed you guys... Overall: 131 total picks | 68 wins | 52% hit rate +9.04u profit on the month ROI: 8.00% Season P/L (Aug-November): +71.08u Season ROI (so far): 11.1% November delivered a solid green month with a consistent hit rate across markets, highlighted again by strong efficiency in tackles. By Market Type 🔹 Shots: 59 picks | 29 wins | 49% hit rate 🔹 Fouls: 12 picks | 6 wins | 50% hit rate 🔹 Tackles: 33 picks | 19 wins | 58% hit rate Tackles continue to be our most reliable sector, maintaining the highest strike rate for the month. Want to join PropEleven? Festive Offer is live now and won't last much longer: beacons.ai/propeleven Full Transparency. Every pick, every unit staked below: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
What about this EOM tackle at Swansea vs Wrexham? You haven’t record it yet… @OptaJoe @OptaAnalyst @OptaSTATS @bet365help
What do you mean Calebe (Girona vs Alaves) is on 2 tackles on 10 minutes✅ hahahahahah Joao Palhinha on 4 tackles on 40 mins? Cmon guys you have to make it harder✅✅😂 WHAT A DAY JUST STARTED IN THE VALUE CAVE🔥🔥
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