David A. Price @PriceIndex
Author of Geniuses at War (digital pioneers @ Bletchley Park), The Pixar Touch, Love and Hate in Jamestown, all from Knopf. New comic fiction: The Underachiever davidaprice.com Joined October 2010-
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@iowahawkblog Had the chance to interview him as a cub writer in the mid-1990s. Assigned to me -- I had no idea who he was before then. Extraordinary man.
Interesting conversation by @KevinBankston on AI filmmaking with his Hollywood-exec brother. One aspect of AI in film that seems underappreciated: part of the power of movies comes from the thing being DIFFICULT. The acting, the stunts (if any), the effects. When audiences saw GOLDENEYE in theaters in 1995, and witnessed James Bond free-falling in pursuit of an empty plane, you could assume an actual stuntman had dived after an actual plane. It made suspension of disbelief easier and it was just wow. (Yes there were digital VFX in 1995 but it was still early days and they were used sparingly.) Now it would probably be a digital double and a digital plane. With AI, even more of the feeling will be lost as any kind of spectacle -- places, emotions, events -- becomes trivially easy to generate. Hope I'm wrong!
My brother's a Hollywood creative exec. I dragged him to the 'AI on the Lot' conference to see the future. Then I interviewed him about it: "They keep talking about saving time and money. I live in Burbank—that ‘time and money’ are all my neighbors." converger.kevinbankston.com/i/201583118/ai…
@MattEvantic For the tech sector, at least, California's policy (which dates to the 19th century) seems to work very well. No enforcement of noncompetes in labor contracts.
Interesting: travel back in time with talkie, a large language model (13 billion parameters) from 1930. talkie-lm.com/chat
New work with @AlecRad and @DavidDuvenaud: Have you ever dreamed of talking to someone from the past? Introducing talkie, a 13B model trained only on pre-1931 text. Vintage models should help us to understand how LMs generalize (e.g., can we teach talkie to code?). Thread:
@FutureJurvetson @holliemaea Crazy in the very best way. (Shown here, my personal GT40. Will be awaiting a powerplant for some time.)
@JosephKahn At the premiere of "Adventures of Andre and Wally B.," the first of Pixar's shorts, at SIGGRAPH in 1984, an audience member asked John Lasseter: "It was so funny. What software did you use?"
Suno just released a new model and I'm finding it to be a big shocking improvement where it's becoming very hard to detect the hints that it's AI music. Here's "I am actually scared of linear algebra"
@_KarenHao Good luck on what sounds like an interesting story! No doubt you know Feeding the Machine.
THANK YOU to everyone who made my comedy of teens vs. runaway AI, The Underachiever, an Amazon bestseller! 🙏 davidaprice.com/theunderachiev…
Very good update on Pixar from WSJ's @benfritz with lots of candor from studio leadership. Paywalled but many highlights in the thread.
Here's my big new story on Pixar's “reluctant leader” Pete Docter and the radical changes he’s making to get the “Toy Story” studio back on track. And I've got lots of exclusive details, including about 2 unannounced films. 🧵 wsj.com/business/media…
Seedance 2.0 Prompt: Punch the Monkey punches back. Make the girls proud.
The Harry Potter director warning the child actors not to eat the fake food on the table.
Are we spending anywhere near enough on preventing AI disasters? Stanford economist Chad Jones did the back-of-the-envelope math: Assuming policymakers’ standard $ values for avoiding human deaths, and with conservative assumptions about the risks, the U.S. should be spending ~1% or more of GDP per year to mitigate catastrophic AI risk (from bad actors or misaligned models). With 2025 GDP ≈ $30.5 trillion, that’s $305 billion annually. If he's right, we're way off. No one knows current AI safety spending—but it’s hard to believe it’s even 1% of that 1%.😬 Oh, and his 10-million-run Monte Carlo analysis yielded, on average, a far higher 8.1% share of GDP as the optimum. And one last thing. . . None of these calculations assign any value to the lives of future generations. The big picture: While there's huge uncertainty about AI risks and the effectiveness of mitigation, even low-end estimates of risk justify a large effort (or direct regulation, which the paper doesn't address). web.stanford.edu/~chadj/reduce_…
@OwainEvans_UK Yes if you include ones with an AI as an important secondary character. amazon.com/Underachiever-…
@robertwiblin Nor is it clear to me how they'd assess your scenario where the value of human labor goes to $0.00.
For someone who has looked specifically at optimal taxation in the context of a growing role for AI (not nec. AGI), you could consider Ryota Nakatani or Spencer Bastani. For high-profile economists who've worked on optimal taxation and whose analysis could be an *input* into a discussion of post-AGI taxation, maybe Emmanuel Saez or Stefanie Stantcheva. (Stantcheva won the John Bates Clark Medal last year, a big deal, and Saez won it some years back.) mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/121347/1/MPRA_… docs.iza.org/pp212.pdf I can't vouch for how any of them would fare as podcast guests, tho.
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