FIFA World Cup Goal Combo ๐
โฝ๏ธ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ผ๐ผ๐๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐ค๐ฌ.๐ฑ ๐๐๐ผ๐๐
โฝ๏ธ ๐๐๐๐๐ผ๐ ๐๐ฝ๐ผ๐๐๐ ๐ค๐ฌ.๐ฑ ๐๐๐ผ๐๐
$50 to a random follower who ๐๐๐๐๐ฆ+๐ฅ๐ง if this cashes โค๏ธโ๐ฅ
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โ Kylian Mbappe o0.5 Goals (2)
โ Erling Haaland o0.5 Goals (2)
The best two strikers in the world put on a show today ๐ฅ
FADE OF THE DAY ๐
โพ๏ธ PK Dish #2 (6/22)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ ๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ซ ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @ThePropDen ๐ค
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
โข Nice spot to fade Singer, who is under this line in 9 of 14 starts this season and 5 of his last 6 starts. The one recent matchup he went over in came against a way below-average Padres offense that has struggled all season.
โข This is not the case today. Singer gets a matchup against a Brewers offense that has been great against RHP. Milwaukee ranks 3rd in wRC+ and wOBA vs RHP this season, and they also force a ton of walks, ranking 2nd in BB% vs right-handed pitching.
โข The projected lineup has 7 bats with a .250 or higher average vs RHP. A lot of this lineup has also seen Singer before, with 6 bats carrying a career average of .333 or higher against him, even if some of those are smaller samples.
โข The Brewers are also 7th in P/PA in MLB. They do hit a high rate of ground balls, but they can still run up counts, which helps balance that out and puts pressure on Singerโs pitch count.
โข Singerโs underlying numbers are not good. He has been a well below-average pitcher, ranking in the 6th percentile in xERA, 9th percentile in xBA, and 26th percentile in Hard-Hit%. RHP with similar metrics have struggled to go deep against Milwaukee this season:
โ Nola: 14 Outs
โ Painter: 15 Outs
โ Houser: 13 Outs
โ McGreevy: 12 Outs
โ Ober: 15 Outs
โ McDonald: 15 Outs
โ Littell: 11 Outs
โ Irvin: 15 Outs
โ Kelly: 15 Outs
โ Keller: 15 Outs
โข Even RHP with above-average xBA / xERA metrics have struggled against this Brewers offense:
โ Williams: 15 Outs
โ Roupp: 12 Outs
โ Lambert: 15 Outs
โ Brown: 15 Outs
โ Soroka: 9 Outs
โ Gausman: 15 Outs
โ Rasmussen: 15 Outs
โข The Reds bullpen is also in good shape coming into this game. They only used 3 arms on Sunday and 2 on Saturday, so basically everyone should be available here.
โข If the Brewers can avoid a ton of easy ground balls, they should be able to run up Singerโs pitch count. The Reds likely do not want him seeing the top of this lineup three times if he is getting hit around.
โข Singer also has a 3.5 ER line and 5.5 HA line, so the books are clearly expecting Milwaukeeโs offense to do damage. With his recent outs form, poor underlying profile, and a tough Brewers lineup that works counts, we like Singer to stay under 15.5 outs here.
Best Odds: -140 Fanatics
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TRUST THE MATCHUP ๐
โพ๏ธ PK Dish #3 (6/22)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐จ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @ChronicBets ๐ค
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
โข Holmes is coming off his worst outing of the season, lasting just 2.0 innings against San Francisco, but this sets up as a strong buy-low spot. The line has dropped to 14.5 outs, meaning we only need 5 full innings, and Holmes has cleared this number in 57% of his total starts this season.
โข San Diego has been one of the weakest offenses in baseball vs RHP. The Padres rank 30th in both BA and OBP vs right-handed pitching, while sitting 17th in BB%. Against teams in the back half of the league in BB% and OBP, Holmes is over in 5 of 6 games this season, clearing this line at an 83.3% rate.
โข Holmes has also shown a strong enough leash when pitching well. Heโs averaging around 80 pitches per game, and before the blow-up against San Francisco, Atlanta had let him get through at least 5 full innings in 5 of his previous 6 starts. In games with a pitch count above 70, heโs over this line in 8 of 11 games.
โข Due to how bad the Padres have been, there is a long list of right-handed starters who have consistently gotten to this number against San Diego:
โ Nathan Eovaldi: 18 Outs
โ Jacob deGrom: 18 Outs
โ Kyle Leahy: 18 Outs
โ Andre Pallante: 21 Outs
โ Dustin May: 27 Outs
โ Shane Baz: 15 Outs
โ Brady Singer: 18 Outs
โ Chase Burns: 16 Outs
โ Nolan McLean: 18 Outs
โ Carson Scott: 17 Outs
โ Zack Wheeler: 21 Outs
โ Aaron Nola: 15 Outs
โ Zack Littell: 18 Outs
โข The Padres can see some pitches, but the lack of BA and OBP vs RHP gives Holmes a real path to efficient innings if he is around the zone. He does not need to dominate here. He just needs to avoid the blow-up inning, limit free traffic, and work through the order twice.
โข Holmes gets a low outs line, a bounce-back spot, and a Padres offense that has allowed the majority of righties to reach 5+ innings. With a great matchup, we like Holmes to settle in and go over this line.
Best Odds: -134 Caesars
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LET SOPHIE COOK ๐ฉ๐ผโ๐ณ
โน๏ธโโ๏ธ PK Dish #4 (6/22)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐จ๐ฉ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ง๐ง๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ก๐๐ฆ ๐๐๐๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐๐
Cooked w/ @DDOGGSTACKS ๐ค
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
โข Love backing Cunningham here. Sheโs putting together the best shooting season of her career, averaging 1.9 made threes per game while knocking down 44% from deep on 4.3 attempts.
โข The recent form has been even stronger, clearing this line in 5 straight games with 3, 2, 6, 2, and 3 made threes. That stretch includes a massive 6-for-7 performance from beyond the arc in 24 minutes.
โข Phoenix has struggled to defend the three all season and currently allows the most made threes in the W. Cunninghamโs profile lines up well against that weakness, with 20% of her scoring coming from spot-up opportunities, an area where Phoenix ranks near the bottom of the league.
โข She also generates nearly 60% of her shot attempts from above-the-break threes, another area where the Mercury have consistently had issues containing opposing shooters.
โข Cunningham has gone over this number in half of her home games while shooting an outstanding 48% from three on her home floor. With Caitlin Clark commanding so much defensive attention and creating quality spacing, Cunningham should continue to see clean perimeter looks.
โข Sheโs shooting the ball at a career-best rate, enters this matchup on a five-game streak, draws the leagueโs weakest three-point defense, and gets the benefit of playing at home. Everything points toward another strong night from beyond the arc.
Best Odds: -106 FanDuel
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Day 25 โ Day 26 of using @BallparkPal projections to make Underdog builder slips!
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GREAT START TO THE DAY ๐ฐ๐ฐ
โ Angel Reese o14.5 Points โ
Cashes in the third quarter and is currently up to 18 points against Caitlin Clark & the Fever!
Drop a โฅ๏ธ if you tailed!
WNBA PLAY โข๏ธ
๐Kiki Iriafen โOโ 20.5 PR
-OVER in 7/9 games this seasonโ excluding the game she sprained her ankle in 12 days ago
-OVER L17/22 games with 23+ minsโ
-OVER L3/4 vs NYLโ (32,22,20,26)
Kiki isnโt on injury report so should be ready to go๐ฅ Expecting at least
๐จ NEW HOME FOR MY FREE PLAYS ๐จ
Iโve officially joined @PKChefs and the @Propkitchen Discord.
My FREE plays will now be posted there first before hitting X.
Nothing is changing. The plays are still 100% free. Discord members just get first access to the numbers before they move.
๐พ Tennis plays will be exclusive to Discord for now.
๐ discord.gg/7NNCaPVFR
Letโs continue to cash. ๐๐ฐ
Recap: 4-1
โ 1u | USA TT o1.5 (-148)
โ 1u | Morocco ML (-141)
โ Ream Passes + Yildiz Shots (x2.2)
โ 1.5u | USA ML (-160) COURTSIDE Early Payout Up by 2โก๏ธ
โ๏ธ1u | Julio Enciso 2 Shots (+100)
On shot from Enciso forms sweep, but canโt complain. Weโre 4-0 on by boys #USMNT#Gambling๐ | #FifaWorldCup
World Cup - Day 9 (6/19) โฝ๏ธ
1u | USA TT o1.5 (-148)
1u | Morocco ML (-141)
1u | Julio Enciso 2 Shots (+100)
1.5u | USA ML (-160) COURTSIDE Early Payout Up by 2โก๏ธ
USA ML is strictly played on Courtside with the early payout boost.
#Gambling๐ | #FifaWorldCup
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WNBA DISH OF THE DAY ๐งโ๐ณ
โน๏ธโโ๏ธ PK Dish #2 (6/20)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ฌ๐ก๐ ๐๐ข๐๐๐๐ฆ๐๐ง ๐๐๐๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐๐ + ๐๐ฌ๐ญ
Cooked w/ @DDOGGSTACKS ๐ค
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
โข Through 16 games this season, Hiedeman is averaging 6.9 RA per game, posting 2.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists across 27.6 minutes per night. More importantly, her production has been trending upward with Malonga back. Over her last 10 games, that number has climbed to 7.4 RA per game, and she has posted totals of 10, 9, 6, 10, and 9 RA in her last five outings.
โข She has cleared this number in 4 of those 5 games while consistently seeing 26-33 minutes of floor time.
โข Phoenix has struggled all season defending opposing PGs, allowing 5.9 rebounds and 9.2 assists per game to the position. They rank last in the league in RA allowed to PGs, creating a favorable environment for players who handle the ball as often as Hiedeman does.
โข Hiedeman serves as one of Seattleโs primary initiators, and this is the type of matchup where both assist opportunities and rebound chances naturally increase. Phoenixโs pace and defensive inefficiency can lead to extra possessions, while missed shots create additional rebound opportunities for guards crashing from the perimeter.
โข Horston is expected to remain out again, which should open up additional minutes and responsibility for Hiedeman. In Seattleโs last game without Horston, Hiedeman logged a season-high 33 minutes and finished with 10 RA on 4 rebounds and 6 assists. That extra workload is difficult to ignore, especially given how effective she was in the expanded role.
โข The previous meeting between these teams provides another positive look. Hiedeman recorded 8 RA in 30 minutes, finishing with 4 rebounds and 4 assists.
โข With her recent uptick in production, a matchup against the leagueโs most favorable RA defense for opposing PGs, and the likelihood of another minutes boost with Horston sidelined, Hiedeman looks good to clear this line once again.
Best Odds: +104 FanDuel
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WNBA Collab w/ @PropKitchen
Saniya Rivers o7.5 points (-115 Fanatics w/boost)
๐: @PropKitchen
Rivers is coming off a 7-point game against Washington, but the usage was still there. She logged 7 field goal attempts and 2 looks from three, so the line dropping is more about the result than the actual role. With Hailey Van Lith out, Rivers has cleared this line in 4/4 games when playing 22+ minutes without HVL, averaging 10.3 PPG in that split.
Toronto sets up well for where Rivers wants to score. The Tempo allow opponents to shoot over 47% from the field and rank dead last defending both the restricted area and the paint, where Rivers scores 36% of her points. Another 34% of her scoring comes from the mid-range, and Toronto ranks 7th worst defending that area over their last 10 games.
Rivers already put up 12 points against this Toronto team on June 10th despite shooting just 3-for-11 from the field. That game came without Griner and Morrow, so with both available, the defense should have more to worry about inside, creating cleaner looks and driving lanes for Rivers instead of letting Toronto key in on her.
Toronto plays at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league and sits bottom five in defensive rating, so the game environment should give Rivers enough possessions to get there. She is averaging 9.8 FGA without HVL in the lineup, and at this number, she does not need a ceiling game. Four made twos gets her to 8, and any three or free throw trip gives her even more cushion.
Toronto is also missing Brittany Sykes, Kiki Rice, and Nyara Sabally, who have all been ruled out, while the spread sits at just 1.5 points. Even with Connecticut sitting at 2-14, this should stay competitive enough for Rivers to get her minutes. With the HVL usage bump, pace setup, and Torontoโs struggles defending her scoring areas, we like Rivers to clear 7.5 points tonight.
โค๏ธ if youโre tailing
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WNBA BEST BET โน๏ธโโ๏ธ
๐ฝ๏ธ Kiki Iriafen o20.5 Pts+Reb
Tailed one of the @PKChefs@ClipSetNBA, who cooked this up last night ๐จโ๐ณ
- Over in 78% of games with 20+ minutes
- 32 PR against the Liberty on May 10th
- Liberty last 5 games rank top 5 in pace and bottom 5 in points allowed in the paint.
Make sure to drop him a follow, one of the best WNBA cappers on X!
๐ @propsmadness - code PropKitchen for 25% off your first purchase!
WNBA PLAY โข๏ธ
๐Kiki Iriafen โOโ 20.5 PR
-OVER in 7/9 games this seasonโ excluding the game she sprained her ankle in 12 days ago
-OVER L17/22 games with 23+ minsโ
-OVER L3/4 vs NYLโ (32,22,20,26)
Kiki isnโt on injury report so should be ready to go๐ฅ Expecting at least
WNBA DISH OF THE DAY ๐งโ๐ณ
โน๏ธโโ๏ธ PK Dish #4 (6/19)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐๐ง๐ข๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐จ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @hotshotfantasy ๐ฅ
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
โข Rivers is coming off a 7-point game against Washington, but the usage was still there. She logged 7 field goal attempts and 2 looks from three, so the line dropping is more about the result than the actual role. With Hailey Van Lith out, Rivers has cleared this line in 4/4 games when playing 22+ minutes without HVL, averaging 10.3 PPG in that split.
โข Toronto sets up well for where Rivers wants to score. The Tempo allow opponents to shoot over 47% from the field and rank dead last defending both the restricted area and the paint, where Rivers scores 36% of her points. Another 34% of her scoring comes from the mid-range, and Toronto ranks 7th worst defending that area over their last 10 games.
โข Rivers already put up 12 points against this Toronto team on June 10th despite shooting just 3-for-11 from the field. That game came without Griner and Morrow, so with both available, the defense should have more to worry about inside, creating cleaner looks and driving lanes for Rivers instead of letting Toronto key in on her.
โข Toronto plays at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league and sits bottom five in defensive rating, so the game environment should give Rivers enough possessions to get there. She is averaging 9.8 FGA without HVL in the lineup, and at this number, she does not need a ceiling game. Four made twos gets her to 8, and any three or free throw trip gives her even more cushion.
โข Toronto is also missing Brittany Sykes, Kiki Rice, and Nyara Sabally, who have all been ruled out, while the spread sits at just 1.5 points. Even with Connecticut sitting at 2-14, this should stay competitive enough for Rivers to get her minutes. With the HVL usage bump, pace setup, and Torontoโs struggles defending her scoring areas, we like Rivers to clear 7.5 points tonight.
๐ Data via @propsmadness - use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!
๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
#WNBA#WNBAPicks #SportsBetting#PlayerProps#GamblingX
Day 23 VOID due to Braves-Giants game getting PPD. Day 24 of using @BallparkPal projections to make Underdog builder slips!
$10 -> $25.80
New customers who sign up with code HOTSHOT get a gimmie pick and once you play your first $5, get $50 in bonus entries!
Day 22 VOID due to Scherzer on IL. Day 23 of using @BallparkPal projections to make Underdog builder slips!
$10 -> $26.20
New customers who sign up with code HOTSHOT get a gimmie pick and once you play your first $5, get $50 in bonus entries!
MLB Play โพ๏ธ
Cody Bellinger o1.5 HRR (-139 DK)
Cody Bellinger had a strong series against the White Sox and should feast again tonight against the Cincinnati Reds and Rhett Lowder.
Lowder currently sports a 4.60 ERA and has shown clear command issues in his recent starts:
โข 5.2 IP, 5 H, 6 K, 1 ER
โข 3.0 IP, 1 H, 5 BB, 4 K
โข 3.0 IP, 1 H, 4 BB, 1 K, 3 ER
โข 1.1 IP, 5 H, 4 BB, 1 K, 8 ER
Over his last 15 games, Bellinger is hitting .305 with a .357 wOBA. With Judge sidelined, someone in this Yankees lineup needs to step up โ and Cody looks like the perfect guy to do it.
โค๏ธ if youโre tailing
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