Moonlight investing @Moonlighttail
ex-md that just want to enjoy the investing game searching for asymetric bet anywhere in anyform mt. value Joined December 2021-
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Nassim Taleb: you don't need to predict the future. You need an option on it. Thales got mocked for being a poor philosopher, so he put tiny deposits on every olive press in town before the harvest - nothing lost if he was wrong, a fortune if he was right. "The opposite of fragile isn't robust. It's something that wants disorder - you write 'please mishandle' on the box." "Jump 10 meters and you die. Jump one meter ten times and nothing happens. That's fragility." "Convexity matters a lot more than knowledge - you can guess worse than random and still come out ahead." bookmark and watch it today - an hour on fat tails, antifragility, and how to position so randomness pays you ↓
Nassim Taleb: 0.3% of Americans keep kosher. Nearly 100% of drinks in America are kosher anyway. that's the minority rule - a small, intransigent group decides what everyone gets, because the rest don't mind either way. it quietly runs markets, ethics and elections. "If you're
@Biotech2k1 It is the art of investing. Patience, logic and the belief it will prevail in the end
$HLAG & FIMI funds will acquire $ZIM for 3.7B!!
"Confine yourself to the present... when you eliminate the future and the past, you'll find the journey is all there is." - MA
New $NBIS counter sentiment trade The $IREN structure seems to be working perfectly, so I’m adding another one-this time on $NBIS that expires on Jan 17(37d): Sell 1 70 put Buy 1 90 call Sell 3 120 calls I pay $1.25 per spread. My logic is the same: there’s a real business here, but it’s been heavily sold off. Sentiment is washed out, momentum is gone, and upside enthusiasm looks weak. So I’m setting what I call a trap in case momentum starts to recover. The stock has already taken a deep hit, and I find it hard to envision another 25% decline in the next month which is where I sold my put-though I’d be a happy buyer there if it happens. On the upside, I only start losing if $NBIS rallies more than 44% over the next 37 days, which I see as highly improbable given current conditions. I like this trade. Stop-loss: -$3. Once again, this is all about understanding probabilities. The odds of me making money are significantly higher than the odds of me losing money. I’m comfortable taking the stock if it drops another 25%, and I’m equally comfortable taking the risk that it might spike 44% in a month-because statistically, structurally, and sentiment-wise, that scenario is far less likely. I believe that as these names evolve from dream companies into real companies, momentum should naturally subside in the process. The story fades, the narrative cools, and with it the volatility premium collapses. Hype gets replaced by execution, and markets stop pricing these stocks like lottery tickets and start pricing them like businesses.
My Psychological Thesis on $IREN I see an interesting psychological opportunity forming in $IREN into early 2026 (43 days). Shorts are in full attack mode, and retail was likely flushed out after Jim Cramer publicly called the stock “shit” and a clear short-twice. That kind of
@Barchart It is the logical way for China, The Hedge of Milenia
@InvestmentBook1 From what book is this page?
@netcapgirl 7uu76666yt33w3eeee334
@NyMoneyHawk @SawyerMerritt @larsmoravy Meanwhile BYD is surpassing tesla sales globally
4,953 pages of basically everything Warren Buffett has ever written publicly. This is a great resource for using CTRL + F to search for investing topics on your mind. focusedcompounding.com/wp-content/upl…
@jakeshieldsajj @kiyahwillis Pp l l l l
An 11% drop in 1 month under the current macro environment is not necessarily a successful take. It might end up being one and could drop further btw. We are not arguing against his analysis but stating the obvious. S&P is down by 5.3% , Nasdaq is down by 5.7%, $AMZN is ⬇️ by 8%, $LULU by 10.3%, $KLAC by 10%, $ASML by 12%…
@taobanker P.. iiuuikjkkjjhhhbhh6hhju6uiuiuui
@investorgabut ini maka nya menurunkan kepercayaan saham2 BUMN. Saat nya cabut dari $ipcc
GM
愛とケア @JKyung99057
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米国株も一緒に @Boufil5273995
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ゆき @d7jYrRpRF3bJ6
73 Followers 7K Following 目に見えない美しさや綺麗で素晴らしいものにキュンとくる。趣味はジムに行くこと。人生は冒険だ〜コーヒータイムが好き☕️27歳OLの日常アカだよ。好きなこととかのツイートが多いと思います。無言フォロー失礼しますね。フォロバくれると喜びます。既読感覚でいいねしてくれたら喜びます
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