MN06Watch @MN6Watch

Tom Emmer (@GOPMajorityWhip) called this an economic "golden age" in January — then championed a war that sent gas and prices climbing. This week, a tax-cut victory lap: "96% of filers… earned under $200,000." So I itemized it for a median MN-06 household — the cut, vs. what it actually cost. The two numbers are closer than his tweet lets on. mn06watch.substack.com/p/the-golden-a…

Sources: Sen. Amy Klobuchar threatened to leave DFL convention during challenge from left minnesotareformer.com/briefs/sources…

Sen. Lee — “roughly 30 million” noncitizens registering and voting is a number bigger than every noncitizen in the country. 1. The entire noncitizen population — green-card holders, student and work visas, and undocumented, all of it — is about 24 million (Immigration Research Initiative; Pew). “30 million” overshoots the whole category by six million people. 2. Almost none of them can legally register. Noncitizen voting has been a federal felony since 1996 (IIRIRA), with deportation attached. 3. When states audit for it, they get single digits. Utah checked 2M+ records → 1 noncitizen registration, 0 votes cast. Heritage’s own database: under 100 cases in 20+ years. The move is a population-to-participation swap: name a big number of people who exist, describe them as people who register and vote, and let the reader connect two figures that have nothing to do with each other. Showing Utah because, you know, it’s the state you represent.

UPDATE: I asked Doug Chapin — the DFL's MN-06 candidate and a national election-administration expert — for his read on the Duluth clicker failure. On the record: "'Real' elections in Minnesota are done on paper ballots, which can be reviewed and audited after the fact. Electronic systems used in both Rochester and Duluth do not have the same security features that we use in the state of Minnesota." Both conventions ran on electronic systems. Neither is how the state runs a real election. @ChapinForMN6

The Minnesota GOP spent Saturday in Duluth unable to count its own votes. Ten ballots. A multi-hour delay. Delegates on the floor of the self-described "party of election integrity" arguing they couldn't certify the result — because the electronic "clickers" failed. Here's the part worth getting straight before someone spins it: those clickers are rented audience-response keypads. They are not what Minnesota uses to run an election. The state already votes on hand-marked paper ballots, counted by scanners that are never online, and audited by hand after every election. A convention gadget broke. Your ballot is paper. Those aren't the same story — and one is an argument for the system we already have. Today in MN-06 Watch — what broke in Duluth, what didn't, and why the 6th District's challenger happens to be a national election-administration expert: mn06watch.substack.com/p/a-clicker-is…

@BasedMikeLee Which of these five questions is the bad one? A sitting U.S. Senator wants you to believe that asking where information comes from is a censorship plot. The only reason to talk people out of checking sources is if you’d rather they didn’t check yours.

Let's be precise, because that is the whole point here. An original ballot counts ONLY if BOTH are true: 1. No replacement ballot was returned, AND 2. It's the correct party ballot for that voter's registration. If either one of these conditions aren’t met, it doesn't count. Return the replacement → the replacement counts. Return a wrong-party original → its party contests can't count, because that ballot was voided in the system. So "the first ballot will count if no replacement comes in" is half the rule. The other half is "and only if it was the correct ballot." Both conditions, every voter, every time. Real election integrity means telling voters exactly how their ballot is handled — both conditions, not half of them.

The quote dropped one word that changes everything. DeMarinis: “we will count that ballot if it’s the correct ballot.” Not “would be counted” — if it’s correct. And “correct” is easy to verify. The error was party only — no county or district was affected. So the state just checks the returned ballot against your party registration. Democrat/Democratic ballot or Republican/Republican ballot = counts. Now the part the “it gets worse” crowd skips: how they stop anyone from voting twice. Your return envelope has a barcode tied to your voter ID. When your ballot comes in, that barcode is scanned into the state system and your record flips to “received.” One tracking number per voter — the system won’t accept two. When the replacements went out, the state VOIDED every original in that same system. A voided original can’t be received for canvassing. So if you mail back both, the original is dead on arrival and only the replacement counts. Return only the original (and it’s correct)? It counts. Either way: one ballot, one voter. And the barcode is on the ENVELOPE, not the ballot — so secrecy holds. They verify it’s you before the secret ballot is ever separated out. This isn’t improvised. One-ballot-per-voter has been Maryland law for years (COMAR 33.11.05.04). The vendor error is real and worth answering for. “They’re counting illegal ballots” is not — it’s backwards. Quote: thedailyrecord.com/2026/05/28/bal… How the envelope codes work (state’s own page): elections.maryland.gov/press_room/doc…

Mike Lindell’s campaign for governor spent nearly $190,000 — more than half of everything he raised in his first two weeks — buying copies of his own memoir from his own company. (Minnesota Campaign Finance Board data, via the Minnesota Reformer.) He’s in plenty of company. Trump’s 2016 campaign spent $55,055 bulk-buying his book. Gavin Newsom’s PAC dropped $1.5 million on his memoir this year. Cain, Cruz, Carson — both parties, same move. The FEC allows it, with one catch: the candidate has to forgo the royalties. Otherwise it’s donor money converted to personal use. Which is the real question for Lindell. He’s not buying from a bookstore — he’s buying from MyPillow, the company he owns. For a guy whose entire brand is rooting out fraud, “where does the money go?” is a fair one to ask. minnesotareformer.com/2026/02/03/mik…

On CNBC last Friday, House Majority Whip @tomemmer explained his job: "You take care of the people at home first. There's nobody in Washington DC that cast a vote for you, so you take care of those people. You're their voice." The seven days that followed: - 6 national TV/radio hits — CNBC, Fox & Friends, Scott Jennings, Sid Rosenberg, Brian Kilmeade, Maria Bartiromo - 0 documented in-district events - 0 Memorial Day appearances in MN-06 we could find - 1 floor vote his own leadership brought up — and lost - 1,023 days since his last in-person town hall Both of his 2026 challengers — DFL-endorsed @ChapinForMN6 (who officially filed Wednesday) and Marine veteran @MikeFoley4REAL — were in the district. He was in Manhattan, sitting for back-to-back hits the morning after Memorial Day. The standard is his. The receipts are his. Full week, including the fact-check on the "86% Somali" line that doesn't add up the way he tells it: mn06watch.substack.com/p/you-take-car… #MN06 #ReceiptsNotRage

Read the opinion you screenshotted. The judge didn't rule "in favor" of the order — he denied the injunction because "no agency has yet acted… they have not suffered any harm." That's a ripeness call, not a merits win. He even told plaintiffs they may "renew their motions" once USPS or DHS act. Receipts attached — yours.

Posted a sourced breakdown — Georgia's GOP SoS, Utah's GOP Lt. Gov., federal court record. Reply was "MN morons" and an instant block, so I couldn't respond. That's the tell: when the answer to data is to make sure you can't hear it, that's not a disagreement, that's an echo chamber. (He cited Michigan, by the way — which audited 7.9M records and found the same near-zero rate.)

Two things. One: the audits use the same federal databases (USCIS, SSA, Driver Services) that detect noncitizen ID misuse in every other context. If the method works for catching the identity theft you’re describing elsewhere, it works here. You can’t say the detection is reliable for X but blind to voting. Two: the risk/reward isn’t comparable. Identity theft for financial gain scales — the payoff is real. Identity theft to cast one vote = felony, deportation, permanent bar from citizenship, in exchange for one ballot in a million-ballot election. Raffensperger’s own COO said this on the record: “very high risk, very low reward.” That’s why the number isn’t an assumption — it’s the rate when you actually go look. If you think humans don’t weigh risk/reward, I don’t know what to tell you.

Mail ballots get signature-verified against your registration, and the system flags duplicate submissions. That’s the part the joke skips. But sounds like a fun trip. I have said multiple times, I support Voter ID. But it’s important to get the facts right on the systems you’re criticizing.

On “absence of evidence” — fair as a maxim, but it doesn’t apply here. We’re not arguing from a blank. The audits found noncitizens: 20 in Georgia, one in Utah. That’s a positive result from going and looking — a measured rate, not “we saw nothing so we assume nothing.” The evidence is present; it’s just small.

Fine — let’s say you’re right that Raffensperger’s not reputable. Grant it. The methodology still stands on its own: • All 8.2M registrations cross-matched against three independent systems: county court records, GA Driver Services, and the federal USCIS citizenship database • The noncitizens were confirmed by their own jury-duty declarations — they told a court, under a separate legal process, they weren’t citizens • All removed, referred for prosecution; 156 more flagged for review You don’t have to trust the man to check the method — it’s federal databases and self-declarations, not his opinion. That’s the point of showing the work. Result: 20 in 8.2M, about 1 in 400,000. Source (ABC): abcnews.go.com/US/georgia-vot…

@Tgifeveryone @BasedMikeLee Literally every portion is primary sourced. Please feel free to bring counter points though. If there’s something factually incorrect, I will correct it.

“No enforcement”? Orange County reviewed its rolls and found 17 ineligible registrations over five years — out of 1.9 million voters. The county cancelled all of them and referred the one prosecutable case to the DA. (Note: the DOJ’s own lawsuit there doesn’t even allege anyone voted illegally — it’s a fight over redacted SSNs.) And California runs the same system Utah does: ballots mailed to every voter, same-day registration, automatic registration at the DMV. Utah’s deep-red and Republican-run — it audited 2.1M voters and found one noncitizen. Same mechanics, same near-zero result. So “it’d be different in California” comes down to red state vs. blue state. The system’s identical and the data lands in the same place. The party isn’t the variable — the rarity is.

This was a reply to Mike Lee’s post, and his argument was specifically about noncitizen voting “diluting” the vote — so that’s what the graphic answers. On that question, the audit data is the answer. The bill does also add in-person photo ID and mail-ballot ID rules, sure. But those are the same citizenship-verification goal, not a separate fraud crackdown — and they’re not what Lee was claiming the bill is for. Sources are on the graphic: Georgia’s Republican SoS, Utah’s Republican Lt. Gov., Kansas court record.