Kevin Schmidt @[email protected] @KevinSchmidtBiz
ML at Instagram, former CTO @ThisIsCentury, former head data cruncher at @MindCandy and @lastfm, speaker @strataconf/@nuclai, usually working on something new kevinschmidt.biz London Joined January 2012-
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I ran all of the Sora prompts through Midjourney Interesting how similar some are side-by-sides against vids:
NEW: an ideological divide is emerging between young men and women in many countries around the world. I think this one of the most important social trends unfolding today, and provides the answer to several puzzles.
One thing that happens after you’ve gotten decades of experience in tech is that you can tell when a project is going to fail months or years before it actually happens. People think you’re a fortune teller but the signs are obvious. 1/3
How much was OpenAI really worth, a week ago? And what are the employees thinking about right now? Here’s a thought: If OpenAI has a lot of breakthrough, difficult to replicate IP (code, data, infrastructure etc), with a real business case, a lot of employees would stick…
Terrifying and correct thought. Three orgs filled with brilliant minds tried to create AI independently of the tech giants, and all three have been subverted.
Terrifying and correct thought. Three orgs filled with brilliant minds tried to create AI independently of the tech giants, and all three have been subverted.
Turns out, fitting a curve to a dataset produces a model that only generalizes to that specific data distribution -- big if true.
Turns out, fitting a curve to a dataset produces a model that only generalizes to that specific data distribution -- big if true.
"Calculators have superhuman math abilities -- both mathematicians and accountants will soon be out of a job"
Updated (yet again) state of autonomous vehicle scene late 2023: Starsky ☠️ Argo ☠️ Uber/Otto ☠️ Embark ☠️ Locomation ☠️ Optimus Ride ☠️ TuSimple 🧟 Nuro 🧟 Cruise 🧟 Tesla 🤡 Waymo 💸 Aurora 💸
Disappointed by the new “AGI is here” @blaiseaguera @NorvigPeter article. it starts with a great analogy to ENIAC but the logic is flawed, as explained below 🧵
My interpretation of prompt engineering is this: 1. A LLM is a repository of many (millions) of vector programs mined from human-generated data, learned implicitly as a by-product of language compression. A "vector program" is just a very non-linear function that maps part of…
Whether it’s critics saying the 14th amendment bars Trump from running for president because of seditious activity or supporters saying the 22nd amendment bars him from running because he has already won two presidential elections, both sides say Trump is ineligible in 2024
Remember two years ago when the CCP was this infinitely competent juggernaut that everyone thought controlled the entire Chinese economy down to the tiniest details and did everything optimally and blah blah blah?
Remember two years ago when the CCP was this infinitely competent juggernaut that everyone thought controlled the entire Chinese economy down to the tiniest details and did everything optimally and blah blah blah?
spring: depressed in a hopeful way summer: depressed in a manic way fall: depressed in a nostalgic way winter: depressed in a depressed way
The rare self-own due to data science
Big difference between memorizing reusable programs (thus demonstrating skill at one known task) vs. synthesizing new programs on the fly (thus being able to adapt to arbitrary new tasks that cannot be anticipated in advance)
Big difference between memorizing reusable programs (thus demonstrating skill at one known task) vs. synthesizing new programs on the fly (thus being able to adapt to arbitrary new tasks that cannot be anticipated in advance)
Elon Musk lies a lot. He lies about being a "utopian socialist." He lies about being a "free speech absolutist." He lies about which companies he founded: businessinsider.com/tesla-cofounde… 1/
As a… – Twitter user I want… – unlimited interactivity – centered in audio, video, messaging, payments/banking – creating a global marketplace for ideas, goods, services, and opportunities. so that… – It’s no longer possible to even parody this fucking shitshow.
In 2017, I was working on driverless car at IITB. I can confirm that this is 100% true. Almost everyone underestimated the complexity of problem & how far the tech is in reaching level 5 autonomy. So yeah, stop living in la la land of hype cycles and have reasonable error bounds
In 2017, I was working on driverless car at IITB. I can confirm that this is 100% true. Almost everyone underestimated the complexity of problem & how far the tech is in reaching level 5 autonomy. So yeah, stop living in la la land of hype cycles and have reasonable error bounds
Joe Burridge @JoeFindsTalent
42K Followers 3K Following Head of Talent at @PlayVentures | Investing in the Games Industry | ex-Epic Games, ex-EA | [email protected]Tony Yang @yangstax
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77K Followers 977 Following @ekp.bsky.app @[email protected] @projectinclude ex-reddit, Kapor, Kleiner, BEA, Tellme, Microsoft reformed VC and lawyer author of "Reset"Joe Burridge @JoeFindsTalent
42K Followers 3K Following Head of Talent at @PlayVentures | Investing in the Games Industry | ex-Epic Games, ex-EA | [email protected]Tony Yang @yangstax
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8 Followers 23 FollowingI ran all of the Sora prompts through Midjourney Interesting how similar some are side-by-sides against vids:
NEW: an ideological divide is emerging between young men and women in many countries around the world. I think this one of the most important social trends unfolding today, and provides the answer to several puzzles.
One thing that happens after you’ve gotten decades of experience in tech is that you can tell when a project is going to fail months or years before it actually happens. People think you’re a fortune teller but the signs are obvious. 1/3
How much was OpenAI really worth, a week ago? And what are the employees thinking about right now? Here’s a thought: If OpenAI has a lot of breakthrough, difficult to replicate IP (code, data, infrastructure etc), with a real business case, a lot of employees would stick…
Terrifying and correct thought. Three orgs filled with brilliant minds tried to create AI independently of the tech giants, and all three have been subverted.
@theotherBoronik @GaryMarcus @Fortune The question I'm trying to raise is bigger: what OpenAI, Anthropic, DeepMind have all tried to do is raise billions & tap vast GPU resources of tech giants without having the resulting tech de facto controlled by them. I'm arguing the OpenAI fracas show that might be impossible.
Turns out, fitting a curve to a dataset produces a model that only generalizes to that specific data distribution -- big if true.
New paper by Google provides evidence that transformers (GPT, etc) cannot generalize beyond their training data
"Calculators have superhuman math abilities -- both mathematicians and accountants will soon be out of a job"
Updated (yet again) state of autonomous vehicle scene late 2023: Starsky ☠️ Argo ☠️ Uber/Otto ☠️ Embark ☠️ Locomation ☠️ Optimus Ride ☠️ TuSimple 🧟 Nuro 🧟 Cruise 🧟 Tesla 🤡 Waymo 💸 Aurora 💸
Disappointed by the new “AGI is here” @blaiseaguera @NorvigPeter article. it starts with a great analogy to ENIAC but the logic is flawed, as explained below 🧵
My interpretation of prompt engineering is this: 1. A LLM is a repository of many (millions) of vector programs mined from human-generated data, learned implicitly as a by-product of language compression. A "vector program" is just a very non-linear function that maps part of…
Whether it’s critics saying the 14th amendment bars Trump from running for president because of seditious activity or supporters saying the 22nd amendment bars him from running because he has already won two presidential elections, both sides say Trump is ineligible in 2024
Remember two years ago when the CCP was this infinitely competent juggernaut that everyone thought controlled the entire Chinese economy down to the tiniest details and did everything optimally and blah blah blah?
More own goals. Government economic policy really seems paralyzed in a way I’ve never seen before. wsj.com/articles/china…
spring: depressed in a hopeful way summer: depressed in a manic way fall: depressed in a nostalgic way winter: depressed in a depressed way
The rare self-own due to data science
I really find this stat hard to believe... just exported my #DoorDash data to confirm, and i spent $25K last year just on that... how is anyone living on $40K/yr ?
Big difference between memorizing reusable programs (thus demonstrating skill at one known task) vs. synthesizing new programs on the fly (thus being able to adapt to arbitrary new tasks that cannot be anticipated in advance)
ChatGPT can do math, but what if it's in base-9? MIT researchers show that while ChatGPT-like models can perform many tasks, they struggle to generalize to uncommon task variants, indicating a lack of underlying abilities: bit.ly/3NZOz9s @zhaofeng_wu
Elon Musk lies a lot. He lies about being a "utopian socialist." He lies about being a "free speech absolutist." He lies about which companies he founded: businessinsider.com/tesla-cofounde… 1/
As a… – Twitter user I want… – unlimited interactivity – centered in audio, video, messaging, payments/banking – creating a global marketplace for ideas, goods, services, and opportunities. so that… – It’s no longer possible to even parody this fucking shitshow.
In 2017, I was working on driverless car at IITB. I can confirm that this is 100% true. Almost everyone underestimated the complexity of problem & how far the tech is in reaching level 5 autonomy. So yeah, stop living in la la land of hype cycles and have reasonable error bounds
Remember -- we are making progress on AI (though far more on applications than on generality, which remains largely a green field). The progress is significant in speed and magnitude. But the conventional wisdom of the tech community about current and near-future AI capabilities…
Don't make me tap the sign
What if the Library of Alexandria had not been destroyed?