J @JoWiHT

you can fuck up pretty bad at most ages and still have your life work out, but the people i know who wound up in bad relationships or with health downturns while single in their 30s mostly missed the boat on kids. for all the talk of permanent records and getting into the right college when you’re young, it turns out that career paths are winding and forgiving across the course of a lifetime, but there is actually a relatively short window to find a partner and start a family.

As the boring debate about spanking children is back. Here is an excellent review of the data. Occasional, properly administered spanking as punishment for misbehavior is likely neutral or even beneficial for children, rather than inherently harmful. Physical discipline is common in the animal kingdom, for example mother dogs/cats growling, snapping, or lightly biting pups/kittens to correct behavior. Humans have used corporal punishment for millennia and modern bans are a very recent development. Most studies linking spanking to worse outcomes i.e. aggression, mental health issues, etc. fail to account for shared genetics between parents and children. "Bad" child behavior (partly genetic) leads parents to punish more and punishment doesn’t necessarily cause the problems. Behavioral genetics studies suggest 60–80% of the spanking outcome link is genetic. Horrific abuse cases don’t prove that mild spanking is damaging. Claims of long term trauma are often based on retrospective self reports from neurotic adults.

Emil Kirkegaard @KirkegaardEmil

2 years ago

Is spanking your kids good or bad for them? emilkirkegaard.com/p/is-spanking-…

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@Masterofwhine The disconnect between central Paris and the periphery is huge, I never found the center to be that dirty. 18th arr. is still incredibly squalid for instance

One thing I learned from being one of the first users of JustinTV is that even the most interesting person's life is boring 99% of the time.

After AlphaGo, the skill of human Go players noticeably improved. I suspect we will see a similar pattern in math.

Timothy Gowers @wtgowers @wtgowers

a week ago

Another major problem, this time in additive combinatorics, has fallen, this time to humans rather than AI, but using methods related to the AI solution to the unit distance conjecture.

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The worst predictors of job performance, according to hundreds of studies and the best meta-analysis available: 1. Years of experience 2. Unstructured interviews 3. Personality-match What best predicts performance: 1. Structured interviews 2. Objectively tested biographical predictors 3. Work sample tests

I strongly dislike the phrase “Epstein class”, largely because it is genocidal rhetoric. A genocidal culture needs to tell lies about the depravity of their enemies to justify their actions. Democrats should have nothing to do with it.

One fascinating consequence of GLP-1s/Ozempic: For decades, people said that big pharma would never release actually effective obesity drugs because they’d lose too much money from downstream chronic disease treatment. We’re seeing almost the exact opposite.

This is what antisemitism has always looked like. Take successful companies, list them out, add “Jewish,” pretend you discovered something.

Dan Bilzerian @DanBilzerian

2 weeks ago

Who controls the media? Meta owns: Facebook Instagram WhatsApp Messenger Threads Oculus / Meta Quest VR Meta AI Meta is controlled by Mark Zuckerberg who is jewish Alphabet owns: Google YouTube Android Gmail Chrome Pixel phones Nest smart home devices Fitbit (acquired in

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Three new papers on weight loss maintenance just dropped!🧵 The first found that people could maintain most of their weight loss after tirzepatide by just using a much lower dose:

anecdotally I've noticed that plasmacytoid urothelial carcinoma is often p63 weak/neg (vs typically GATA3+) nice study by @byrk_bsr and colleagues formally highlights this phenom PMID: 41775505

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Mao persecuted the pre-revolutionary elite savagely, with millions dying in famine. Their children were stigmatised, and were less educated and had lower income than average. But today their grandchildren have regained much of their lead. economist.com/graphic-detail…

Everyone say THANK YOU EPIC! Now, thanks to their WONDERFUL work, we have MASSIVE sample confirmation that the obesity rate... CONTINUED TO FALL IN 2025!

Epic @HeyEpic

2 weeks ago

How does 5 years of data sound? BMI and GLP-1 trends are now available on the Epic Research Data Tracker:

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If you're in an academic seminar, a good question to ask yourself occasionally is: what would this experience be like if everyone behave liked me? Would this be a seminar you would want to keep attending?

@clairlemon Anecdotes are not helpful in medicine

The Sopranos perfectly captured the thinking of conspiracy theorists. These guys used to just talk in diners. Today Bobby Baccalieri would be a regular guest on Rogan.

I checked UnitedHealth's proxy statement, and the new UnitedHealthCare CEO who replaced Brian Thompson is making 2.2x as much, including $448,276 worth of executive security. I guess shooting CEOs doesn't make healthcare cheaper. Back to the drawing board, I guess.

H/T @MaiusPartners for the idea. A Singapore-listed conglomerate, Thakral, trades at S$192M. Yet its 16.8% stake in ASX-listed GemLife alone is worth S$244M. $AWI.SI is one of the great sum-of-parts discounts we've seen this year (SK Square is number one :-D). (1/10)

Brett Kavanaugh, a man in his 50s, had been valedictorian of his high school, at Yale College and a star student at Yale Law, had clerked for the Supreme Court, had a top career as an appellate lawyer and federal judge and a pristine reputation, and then a random woman from the town he grew up in claimed he had groped her at a party 35 years earlier when they were in high school. Kavanaugh didn’t try to argue that the incident was consensual. He didn’t claim he remembered things differently than she did. He immediately stated that he had never even met the accuser. Denying ever meeting the accuser is a much stronger claim than merely denying assaulting her, and much easier to refute. After Kavanaugh made this denial, Christine Blasey-Ford no longer had to prove he had sexually assaulted her to scuttle his nomination, she only had to prove that the two of them had attended a party together at which such an assault might have occurred. She was unable to do so. She did not know whose house the alleged assault occurred at. None of the people she claimed attended the party corroborated any aspect of her account. Leland Keyser, a friend of Blasey-Ford’s, who the accuser claimed was at the alleged party, said she recalled no such event and had never met Kavanaugh. Kavanaugh produced a detailed calendar he had kept during the summer Blasey-Ford alleged she was assaulted, which included his whereabouts of every weekend night and listing who he was with. Kavanaugh argued that he could alibi himself and provide witnesses for any night Blasey-Ford claimed she might have been at a party with him. Blasey-Ford responded that she did not know the date of her assault and was not entirely certain it even occurred that year. Instead of being seen as persuasive, Kavanaugh’s calendar was mocked in both mainstream and social media because the reason he kept it was for a drinking contest he was having with his friends. Nearly a decade later, there is still not a single shred of proof or a single witness who will corroborate the claim that Brett Kavanaugh and Christine Blasey-Ford were ever in the same room before she testified at his confirmation hearing. Nonetheless, people like Nick Kristof still claim Kavanaugh was “credibly accused” of sexually assaulting this woman.

Nicholas Kristof @NickKristof

8 years ago

My new column: Would You Hire Brett Kavanaugh??? nyti.ms/2QhOXAN Read!

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