Justin Weigal @JWeigal
FantasySharks AFC South Comments and Article Writer. Top 10 Ranker 2020-2022. 3rd Place Ranking 2022. Favorite time is draft season and scouting Chicago, IL Joined June 2019-
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I've said it one too many times... But I'll pound the drum one last time to tell you Javon Baker is a STEAL in your rookie drafts: - 6'1 202 lbs - 22 years old - 4 star recruit - Alabama recruit - 1,000 yard season - 2.53 career YPRR - 5.6 career YAC/Rec - Strong analytic…
@LEAKYBIACK 1,000 yard WRs highlighted in bold
RB rankings. Tier 1 are worth picks at the end of the 2nd/early 3rd. Tier 2 are worth 3rd round picks. There are some solid openings at RB this year compared to last year. 1. Cowboys 2. Chargers 3. Broncos 4. Bengals 5. Giants. A sleeper is the Rams who have taken an RB every…
Overview on Pearsall draft profile. I do not think it was a reach for the 49ers. He fits with this scheme so well. I gave him a 2nd round grade because he can't be a true number 1 but he will be excellent with Deebo and Kittle there.
Since it didn't post, final WR rankings. Higher on: Malachi Corley, Ricky Pearsall, Xavier Legette, Malik Washington, Javon Baker. Lower on: Brian Thomas, Xavier Worthy, Troy Franklin, and Keon Coleman. Profiles posted on fantasysharks.com a few days ago
Biggest red flag?
ESPN content producer @PaulHembo calculated the percentage of 1st-round picks that “hit” or “miss,” based upon whether that player signed a second contract with the team that drafted them. The data encompasses the 20 drafts spanning 2000-2019. Here are the positional hit rates:
I ran Yards per CATCHABLE Target vs. Targets per Route Run for WRs only. This does push a few more players I think are good just below the median (Chase, Olave, etc.), but this still looks very descriptive of overall play. @FantasyPtsData
FFPC FantasyPros Championship
Offensive linemen and the way teams view them... Top 40 OL and their position fits/flexibility Alt - LT/RT Fuaga - LT/RT/OG Fautanu - LT/RT/OG Barton - OC/OG Latham - RT/OG Fashanu - LT/RT Guyton - LT/RT Mims - RT JPJ - OC/OG Morgan - LT/OG
Reviewing the initial 2022 "Interview Scores" for rookie WRs, it's shown higher correlation to NFL PPG than the following popular metrics: - Yards Per Route Run (!!!) - Early vs non-early declare - Dominator Rating - BMI The only "A+" - Garrett Wilson - is frontrunner for OROY.
My strongest 2024 Draft take so far is that everyone is seeing ghosts with Johnny Wilson. If Hakeem Butler didn't hurt you all so badly, I think everyone would have more interest in a 6'6 dude who outproduced teammate Keon Coleman.
My strongest 2024 Draft take so far is that everyone is seeing ghosts with Johnny Wilson. If Hakeem Butler didn't hurt you all so badly, I think everyone would have more interest in a 6'6 dude who outproduced teammate Keon Coleman.
DT prospects at a 12% career pressure rate generated (via PFF) Michael Hall: 12.7% Byron Murphy: 12.5% Brandon Dorlus: 12.3% For context, here are the only Round 1-2 DTs since 2016 finishing higher Quinnen Williams: 15.1% Jonathan Allen: 14.3% Christian Barmore: 14.0% Chris…
Interview Scores return for its 3rd season! Reminder that this metric is strictly for fantasy football purposes, attempting to measure "intangibles" as they relate to fantasy points. Overall this is an extremely impressive class compared to years past - YLTSI Some notes: 1/7
Top-45 Lightest WRs by BMI [Since 2000] + Round 1-2 WRs in bold + 2024 class highlighted in orange + 1,000-yard WRs highlighted in yellow
Career target share *when on the field* at the collegiate level: (Data per @TruMediaSports) 31.5% - Malik Nabers 30.9% - Xavier Worthy 30.7% - Malik Washington 30.2% - Jacob Cowing 29.9% - Marvin Harrison Jr. 29.5% - Johnny Wilson 28.6% - Malaci Corley 28.0% - Javon Baker 26.7%…
Ladd McConkey Draft Profile. #4 receiver this year
Single-season best yard per route run rate vs. man coverage: (Data per @TruMediaSports) 4.55 - Johnny Wilson (2022) 4.54 - Xaiver Legette (23) 3.88 - Rome Odunze (23) 3.88 - Malaci Corley (23) 3.81 - Marvin Harrison Jr. (22) 3.69 - Troy Franklin (23) 3.57 - Malik Washington (23)…
Marvin Harrison Jr Draft Profile. #3 ranked WR for me
Malik Nabers Draft Profile youtube.com/watch?v=GPz6Ge…
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94K Followers 750 Following Fantasy Football: @fantasypts // NFL Analytics: @fantasyptsdata // Twitter is for #dankstatsRicky Pearsall is an elite athlete (4.41 40, 4.05 shuttle, 42” vertical at 6’1”/189). Has an excellent @RecepPerception profile (87th, 69th, & 51st percentile vs Man, Zone, & Press – 2nd highest success-rate vs Man in this class behind only Rome Odunze). & is a RD1 NFL Draft…
.@LouisvilleFB RB Isaac Guerendo is probably most consistently talked about as being an elite athlete. But he’s more than just that. He’s had limited carries relative to his peers in his college career (which many NFL scouts bring up as a POSITIVE, as he has less “tread on his…
If Adonai Mitchell becomes a successful pro, he will be an outlier based on his collegiate production profile. His #ReceptionPerception results show that he has the skills to be that outlier, but they also point out where he needs to grow to be a consistent No. 1 wideout at the…
People hate on Xavier Legette because he didn’t breakout until his 5th year but that’s lazy analysis I think of it as “How many SEC WRs broke out with 1255 yards regardless of year?” Sometimes paths to playing time are weird, not all coaches can see potential like people think
2024 #NFLCombine key measurements thread... 174. #Texas WR Xavier Worthy Height: 5-11 2/8 Weight: 165 Arm: 31.12 Hand: 8.75 Wingspan: 74.25
In summary: 1. Day 1 or 2 Early Declare 2. 6’0” 200 lbs 3. Sub 4.55 40 time 4. 2.50+ YPTPA 5. Early Breakout 6. 700+ yards & 7+ TD by So. Season 7. 1D/RR: .100+ career - .120+ best 8. Y/RR: .225+ career - .275+ best 9. 120+ best QB Rating when targeted 10. 30%+ dominator
Big, smooth and fluid WR that can disconnect from coverage vertically. Led the FBS in TDs (17). Capable of more, but wasn’t asked to often. Didn’t start playing football until his sophomore yr. of HS and already showing this much promise. Needs to use his hands more vs. press.
@Jordan_Reid I wanted to understand the hype on Brian Thomas, his tape against the good defenses he faced is very weak (Alabama and Missouri) for example. Difficulty against good CBs in the press
If instead of playing best ball you took that money and bought Bitcoin, you’d be up 66% on your investment That’s worth more than maxing out the BBM and getting 51st place out of 667,376 entries
So when I make an assessment that Trevor Lawrence hasn’t been the generational talent he was billed to be coming out of Clemson, Jags fans were up in arms. The tape doesn’t lie. The team has won because the defense has gotten turnovers. At this point Trevor Lawrence has more…
@teamlakerda @JWeigal @jlarkytweets @LoganMacMedia @FantasyPros @Fitz_FF @DBro_FFB @RonStewart_ Hey man - Zay & Brob for me!
Wide receivers to target and avoid in your fantasy drafts, based on my age curves research 👇🏻 On average, WRs take big steps forward in Years 2-3, peak around Years 5-6, and see sharp declines around Year 10.
Courtland Sutton was a 3rd round pick last year. This year he goes in the 9th Rd. Are we going to be wrong on him 2 years in a row?
🎙️fresh, new football pod🎙️ The WR episode Nelson, Matty & I dive into the top 50 by tiers and challenge some popular industry sentiments and strategies. Don’t miss this one 🏈 Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/hig… Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/3iqm81…
Ezekiel Elliott thoughts: 1. #Patriots were always going to sign a RB. They repeatedly expressed concern Rhamondre Stevenson was overworked last season. We've been baking in a lot of "unlisted RB" work all summer 2. Although Zeke is good in pass pro, don't think Rhamondre will…
We've also got Multi-Year Accuracy rankings! Here's the Top 10 experts over the last 3 seasons combined ⤵️ 1. @SmolaDS 2. @WazNFL 3. @NickZylakFFA 4. @RyNoonan 5. @ChatoRomeroFF 6. @canadianclayFF 7. @Fitz_FF 8. @TheFFRealist 9. @JWeigal 10. @MatthewHill_FF
🏆 2022 Fantasy Expert Draft Accuracy Winners 🏆 1. @WazNFL 2. @F6P_Joe 3. @JWeigal 4. @FFTylerO 5. @ChatoRomeroFF 6. @NickZylakFFA 7. @ThePretendGM 8. @SchaufDS 9. @KEnglishDS 10. @SmolaDS Breakdown: fntsy.pro/I0NSao Rankings: fntsy.pro/40j15W
Vacated Target Leaders by Team: 1. Texans (353) 2. Packers (258) 3. Buccaneers (231) 4. Lions (224) 5. Cardinals (216) Nici Collins tweet disguised as a Christian Watson tweet but is really an Amon-Ra St Brown tweet
@JWeigal Drake London will have people regretting they passed on him & Watson is great in the 4th to me
@aagold3 @MichaelDavSmith What. Lol there’s a fuckton of evidence
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