International Centre for Strategic Intelligence @ICSI_OSINT
A joint venture by members of the global #OSINT community. Director @DefenceGeek. Joined November 2021-
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**OPINION THREAD** #Ukraine #Russia I'm off on night shift soonish so thought I'd get my opinion in beforehand. If Russia is going to launch an attack in Ukraine, I believe it will start during my shift tonight... (1/9)
Difficult to understand how heavy the fighting has been in eastern Ukraine today until you compare it to the rest of the year so far. The Ukrainian MoD reported more ceasefire violations today than they did for all of January.
The whole of 🇺🇦Ukraine’s armed forces is on full combat alert tonight. If the worst is to happen (even though I still don’t think it will), this is going to be our finest hour. Goodnight, Ukraine & the world.
TRAVEL ADVISORY: #Ukraine In light of multiple countries ordering their citizens to evacuate Ukraine immediately, and the announcement tonight that US intel believes Russia will invade in the coming week, we are now moving to our highest alert level: Code Black, for Ukraine.
Russian NOTAM covering dates from 13th to 19th February 2022 will coincide with their amphibious assault ships arriving in the Black Sea, and will see the peak of Russian military equipment/personnel build-up. #UkraineCrisis
Russian NOTAM covering dates from 13th to 19th February 2022 will coincide with their amphibious assault ships arriving in the Black Sea, and will see the peak of Russian military equipment/personnel build-up. #UkraineCrisis
UPDATE: We remain at Code Red at this time. Due to developments since our last travel advisory, we are now advising ALL foreign nationals in Ukraine to take steps to leave the country no later than Saturday 5th February 2022 as the risk to life is now being assessed HIGH+
UPDATE: We remain at Code Red at this time. Due to developments since our last travel advisory, we are now advising ALL foreign nationals in Ukraine to take steps to leave the country no later than Saturday 5th February 2022 as the risk to life is now being assessed HIGH+
The news we dreaded. As the @ICSI_OSINT team predicted, with a week still to go, the US has given #Russia a green light to go into #Ukraine. #UkraineCrisis
TRAVEL ADVISORY: #Ukraine Following the breakdown of diplomatic talks between NATO and Russia, and in light of alarming intelligence of espionage plans and continued military build-up, we are upgrading our assessment. We believe major fighting is likely within 2 weeks.
TRAVEL ADVISORY: #Kazakhstan We've reviewed the situation in Kazakhstan and deemed that the risk has significantly decreased from our last assessment. Risks still remain due to internal political actions and the presence of foreign troops, so we still advise against travel.
This is the right decision.
This is the right decision.
TRAVEL ADVISORY: #Kazakhstan Following a review this morning, we are upgrading to our maximum level, Code Black. This is due to a "shoot to kill" order issued by Kazakhstan's President to security forces, and the arrival of 2,000+ foreign troops to crush the protests.
TRAVEL ADVISORY: #Kazakhstan Due to the current internal crisis in Kazakhstan, the imminent involvement of military forces from Russia and it's allies, and the reports of mass casualties among security forces and civilians, we are advising against all travel to the country.
At present, our assessment remains at Code Amber. We continue to monitor movements and statements from both sides.
At present, our assessment remains at Code Amber. We continue to monitor movements and statements from both sides.
The #US State Dept has upgraded it's travel warning to the highest level, Level 4 - "Do Not Travel" in regards to #Ukraine. We continue to monitor developments and will review our own Travel Advisory in the coming days. travel.state.gov/content/travel…
TRAVEL ADVISORY: #Ukraine In light of more and more indications of imminent regional armed conflict due to a build-up of Russian, Belarusian and Ukrainian forces in border areas, we now advise against all but essential travel to the area due to a risk of rapid escalation.
OSINTtechnical @Osinttechnical
930K Followers 800 Following OSINT guy, PAI enjoyer, journalist @hntrbrkmedia, my views/freezing cold takes are my own. Standard spiel about not endorsing retweets, likes, and comments.
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SkyScanWorld ✈️�.. @scan_sky
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DefenceGeek @DefenceGeek
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| osint_east | @osint_east
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Evergreen Intel @vcdgf555
166K Followers 719 Following "Sharp-eyed aviation buff & flight tracker" ~ Brian Williams Cites: @UN @BBC @11thHour @newsweek @PopMech @thewarzonewire @TheAviationist @AirForceTimes She/her
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177K Followers 3K Following Events leading to the next Global Conflict also National and International News... U.S. Navy Veteran ⚓️
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335K Followers 1K Following The internet's most trusted crustacean. Conflict analysis, data visualization, and small amounts of melted butter.
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1.1M Followers 793 Following Open Source Intelligence Monitor focused on Europe and Conflicts across the World. RT ≠ Endorsement. Want to Support my Work? https://t.co/PcUbewvWPr
H I Sutton @CovertShores
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doge @IntelDoge
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ELINT News @ELINTNews
335K Followers 2K Following Independent in-depth coverage & analysis of current geopolitical & geostrategic developments. Proxies & weapons. RT/like/follow/media use≠endorsement.
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marqs @MarQs__
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DefenceGeek @DefenceGeek
32K Followers 681 Following Jon. military & geo-political news. Views my own. Producer & Host @TheOsintBunker Podcast. UK Defence Community Discord Admin. Senior Editor with @UKDefJournal.For 7 years, Ukraine never attempted to retake Donbas militarily. But now, when Russia has completed the biggest mobilization since WWII and openly threatens total war, Ukraine SUDDENLY started posing grave danger of mass attacks against civilians. What a coincidence, foken hell.
I have to go to work. Will be intermittent for the next 10 hours.
And just like that... it seems all hell broke loose while my shift ended up being 15hrs instead of 9...
So I leave you with a quite apt quote for Ukraine with what I've said tonight: "IF THE SUN COMES UP TOMORROW, IT IS ONLY BECAUSE OF MEN OF GOOD WILL. AND THAT'S - THAT'S ALL THAT STANDS BETWEEN US AND THE DEVIL" - Kenny O'Donnell, Advisor to JFK, Cuban Missile Crisis 1962 (9/9)
Looks like an assassination attempt against the head of the armed forces of the DNR.
A large explosion has been reported near the DNR government building in Donetsk city. Investigating.
Difficult to understand how heavy the fighting has been in eastern Ukraine today until you compare it to the rest of the year so far. The Ukrainian MoD reported more ceasefire violations today than they did for all of January.
The whole of 🇺🇦Ukraine’s armed forces is on full combat alert tonight. If the worst is to happen (even though I still don’t think it will), this is going to be our finest hour. Goodnight, Ukraine & the world.
Reminder, the last US intel predictions were that 2 days of cyber attacks would be followed by a ground invasion of Ukraine by Russian forces. So the countdown begins...
NEW: The official website for Ukraine’s security service is down. The outage follows major cyberattacks targeting Ukraine’s defense ministry, army, and two banks. A @ServiceSsu official tells me "our technical personnel has just begun to investigate this cyberincident"
Maybe the real battlefields were the OSINT communities we made along the way.
TRAVEL ADVISORY: #Ukraine In light of multiple countries ordering their citizens to evacuate Ukraine immediately, and the announcement tonight that US intel believes Russia will invade in the coming week, we are now moving to our highest alert level: Code Black, for Ukraine.
After discussion and recent intel we have decided to move to code black for Ukraine
TRAVEL ADVISORY: #Ukraine In light of multiple countries ordering their citizens to evacuate Ukraine immediately, and the announcement tonight that US intel believes Russia will invade in the coming week, we are now moving to our highest alert level: Code Black, for Ukraine.
Russia closing wide areas of Black Sea and almost whole Azov Sea for missile exercises. NOTAMs issued liveuamap.com/en/2022/9-febr… via @AlexKhrebet
The color may have not changed, but the message is nonetheless important.
UPDATE: We remain at Code Red at this time. Due to developments since our last travel advisory, we are now advising ALL foreign nationals in Ukraine to take steps to leave the country no later than Saturday 5th February 2022 as the risk to life is now being assessed HIGH+
Timing of this is important. Japan is on the other side of the world to Ukraine, so if they're saying this now... 😬 @ICSI_OSINT predicted movement by this coming Saturday... let's see how accurate that prediction was!
Update: Japan promises a joint response with the United States to Russia's aggression against Ukraine The Prime Minister of Japan made clear that Japan would be fully behind the United States in the challenging days ahead. whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
The news we dreaded. As the @ICSI_OSINT team predicted, with a week still to go, the US has given #Russia a green light to go into #Ukraine. #UkraineCrisis
BREAKING: State Department orders families of U.S. embassy personnel in Ukraine to begin evacuating the country as soon as Monday: U.S. officials
@ICSI_OSINT quoted by this Russian news outlet mk.ru/amp/politics/2…
TRAVEL ADVISORY: #Ukraine Following the breakdown of diplomatic talks between NATO and Russia, and in light of alarming intelligence of espionage plans and continued military build-up, we are upgrading our assessment. We believe major fighting is likely within 2 weeks.
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