@Handinapcomp@theformanalyst@RiponRaces Sadly close but no cigar
As the late Jim Bowen would have said, the stake money is safe, it’ll take me a few moments to count it out & will be winging its way to charity 👍
5.25 Ripon - Graeme Dand @theformanalyst Celebration Handicap
Tricky one to pick apart for us mere mortals with showers around and a bit of uncertainty as to whether they split into two groups. Strong tailwind and not loads of obvious pace to frame it.
In betting order…
5.25 Ripon - Graeme Dand @theformanalyst Celebration Handicap
Tricky one to pick apart for us mere mortals with showers around and a bit of uncertainty as to whether they split into two groups. Strong tailwind and not loads of obvious pace to frame it.
In betting order…
Likely splitting stakes across both and quite happy for the fav to make the market so much (well done to anyone who got the 4/1!).
Hopefully something in there sparks a thought or discussion point… best of luck!
The pace is low to middle and the far rail can be much faster when it’s soft so Fircombe Hall looks value at early prices here. Expecting to learn a bit throughout the card and if it looks like one group then Hurstwood is the one I want, down in grade at favourite track
Gunnerside a pace angle and has won off a break before. Hard to make a case on latest runs but could well outrun those odds if they split in two groups, not sure the jockey will really know the track that well to do so is the issue
Fircombe Hall ran well in the first race in Graeme’s name, and would have won with a clear passage. He’s been in very good recent form on the AW and can strike last time too wide and far back at catterick, but ran on well to suggest still in form.
He’s well overpriced at 20s and would have him 10s / 12s on my tissue now he’s back down into a much weaker race, despite ground again possibly on the soft side
Hard Solution has run well here before but tends to want a strong enough gallop and seems to be operating at classified level these days. Quite a big jump from classifieds to 0-55s despite relatively low rating upgrade so it’s a straightforward leave here
Protest Rally doesn’t seem to be finishing races off regardless of trip and is fairly had to make a case for. Could benefit if they split in two groups and fall into the frame
Tilsworth Turf a freak 125/1 winner penultimate start and took a false step last time. A possible pace angle that you could look as a small back to lay with a chance of a big drift on the show, but hard to have confidence of repeating that standout effort
Fylingdale tends to miss kick and that could be curtains drawn right against stands rail with lots of possible traffic as a result. Has hung on flat tracks so another I’m happy to swerve with race set up not really there for a closer
Variety Island seems to want 7f and this will be very different, particularly with minimal pace on paper. Couldn’t have this one at single figs so you know the rest
Ernest Rutherford shaped very encouragingly too far back and too wide at Catterick last time due to draw, David Allan will be sure to find the best of the ground stands side today. Overall record is less than inspiring but mark is in freefall and recent SPs suggest it may click
Hurstwood runs the track very well and looks like he’s had two sighters so far this year, both times on the worst of track / ground. Mark Winn back up suggests this is go time. Ground poss not ideal but handled it as a 2yo and the possible draw split / pace more an issue
Run This Way the obvious one in form, goes forward and will handle conditions. Niggles about draw if they don’t go far side, doesn’t tend to back up runs and had every positional advantage at Redcar so happy to take on
5.25 @RiponRaces on Thursday is the Graeme Dand @theformanalyst Celebration Handicap.
If anyone’s at a loose end or toying with going, it’s a fantastic racecourse and would be great to see some support there!
Let’s see who can dissect it best…
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