Gustav C. Gressel @GresselGustav
Senior policy fellow @ECFRWiderEurope @ECFR, PhD, specialised on security, defence, military | NATO, EU, Eastern Europe Berlin, Deutschland Joined March 2014-
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Why have Russian forces advanced in multiple directions and what are the implications? What are the future prospects? Today's analysis by Frontelligence Insight centers on Chasiv Yar, Kurakhkove, and Ocheretyne Before proceeding, please like and share to aid visibility. 🧵Thread
This is another thread on the M48 & M57 ATACMS capability profile and why it is needed. It consolidates information from previous threads, corrects past mistakes, and provides a more robust analysis. And yes, the thread also talks about ATACMS' bridge-busting capability.👇🧵 1/21
🙏🙏 @GresselGustav für das Gespräch über die Lage in der #Ukraine. Ich hab echt viel gelernt. @ecfr
🙏🙏 @GresselGustav für das Gespräch über die Lage in der #Ukraine. Ich hab echt viel gelernt. @ecfr
Wer ist die 🇷🇺 Opposition, auf die sich hierzulande so viele hoffnungsvolle Blicke richten? Gemeinsam mit Nikolai @Klimeniouk suchen @jcbehrends @GresselGustav @EFDavies und @Woidelko (!) nach Antworten und debattieren dabei hitzig. Moderation: @aufmacher salonkolumnisten.com/ostausschuss/
Der Militärexperte @GresselGustav kritisiert die fehlende Abstimmung in der Ukraine-Hilfe. Es gebe bei den Hilfspaketen aus dem Westen keine langfristige Planung, sagt Gressel im Podcast "Streitkräfte und Strategien". #NDRInfo #Ukraine #Militärpaket ➡️ ardaudiothek.de/episode/streit…
Live:zdf.de/nachrichten/zd… @GresselGustav es ist bewundernswert wie die Ukraine taktisch und mit dem ihr zu Verfügung stehenden Mittel bisher alles gemeistert haben. Der US-Senat billigt Milliarden-Hilfen für die Ukraine. ATACMS-Raketen sind bereits im Einsatz. Stärkt das die…
Yes. Ukrainians take this for a more serious threat than people in Twitterland.
Yes. Ukrainians take this for a more serious threat than people in Twitterland.
Exactly. Especially if between your supposed opponent and you there is water, and you could compensate a donated patriot battery by increased naval AD/BMD patrols.
Exactly. Especially if between your supposed opponent and you there is water, and you could compensate a donated patriot battery by increased naval AD/BMD patrols.
Wo bleibt der Aufschrei der Friedens- und Abrüstungsbubble?
Wo bleibt der Aufschrei der Friedens- und Abrüstungsbubble?
And they should. There is no reasonable explanation for the US holding back on this.
And they should. There is no reasonable explanation for the US holding back on this.
Dans le Grand Continent, @GresselGustav fait le point sur l’état du front en Ukraine, les capacités des deux armées et les scénarios envisageables en 10 pronostics avant l’intensification attendue de l’offensive russe d’ici l’été — à lire absolument. 👉 t.ly/RGJqn
Sehr gutes Interview von @DrBabst, in dem sie unserer Selbstgefälligkeit einen klaren Spiegel vorhält. n-tv.de/politik/Fuer-P…
Ich habe vor fast 20 Jahren geschrieben, dass Oskar #Lafontaine versteht, dass der Populismus in Deutschland aus historischen Gründen nur Chancen hat, wenn er sich links gibt und doch hemmungslos das ganze Spektrum extremistischer Ansichten bedient. zeit.de/2005/26/Spr_9f…
This is very important, the 🇨🇵 and 🇬🇧 do this for quite some time.
This is very important, the 🇨🇵 and 🇬🇧 do this for quite some time.
Toast to Congress 🍻 FINALLY the crucial Supplemental Bill for 🇺🇦 mil aid has been passed! …from a train leaving Lviv in a few mins with @GresselGustav
Agree. But this time let's not rush it. Building up forces takes time. So does the degradation of Russian capabilities.
Agree. But this time let's not rush it. Building up forces takes time. So does the degradation of Russian capabilities.
True
Delighted to be on the panel discussing the evolution of 🇪🇺 security and defence, transatlantic issues and 🇷🇺 war on 🇺🇦 at @prismUA round table, with @HMaksak @GresselGustav @Shapochkina1984 @JSoldatiuk @lypandas and Sergiy Gerasymchuk @thinkeuropa
Can somebody fetch him an appointment in the chancellary? 👇
Can somebody fetch him an appointment in the chancellary? 👇
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4K Followers 913 Following A pacifist interested in wars. Formerly many RTs on political & military topics, also OSINT, MENA, Internet memes, space research 🚀 (+ recently some AI safety)Gennady Rudkevich @grudkev
9K Followers 365 Following Quantitative Researcher. Former Assistant Professor of Political Science, focusing on Russia and Central Asia. All views my own.Theresa Lütkefend @tluetkefend
633 Followers 857 Following NATO and Russia. Defense strategy and military ops @ACScowcroft Forward Defense. Non-resident fellow @GPPi. Alumna @REESOxford and @SAISHopkins.President: Every media story about Russia's circumvention of sanctions limits Putin's terror ukrinform.net/rubric-polytic…
"Kyiv’s Main Directorate of Intelligence created its 'I Want To Live' program in September 2022 to reach out to Russian soldiers who didn’t want to fight Ukraine, offering them the chance to save their lives by becoming prisoners of war." @burlakova_lera buff.ly/44hZJhR
@ulrichspeck But they love to discuss about the Donald and autonomy (:
Too few people notice how strange it is that US military support for Ukraine decides about the fate of Europe. Western Europeans with their world class economies and deep pockets had two years to ramp up production of arms and ammunition. But they remained passive.
nytimes.com/2024/04/27/wor… Nicht die chinesische Spionage hat sich verstärkt, sondern das Bewusstsein in der EU für die damit verbundenen Gefahren.
88-year-old #Ukrainian fled occupied #Donbas on foot rather than accept #Russian citizenship. Russia is continuing to aggressively foist its citizenship on Ukrainians on occupied territory, with such forced passportization prompting one elderly Ukrainian to an act of great…
For ASTERO ANALYTICS. linkedin.com/pulse/orlan-un… Translated by Kate Kistol Join me in Facebook m.facebook.com/osolonko And Telegram t.me/silukr/323 Support here buymeacoffee.com/solonko1648
So, it can be said we are rather dealing with the "working horse" of the aggressor's army, not with an object for jokes. Despite the certain obsolescence and dependence of "Orlan" on Western-made components, it continues performing significant work on the frontline and in the…
All this should encourage the Ukrainian Defence forces, designers, manufacturers, and state bodies to intensify their work in the direction of design, deployment, and production of their own mass technical solution which would be competitive and able to properly cover the needs…
What to oppose? Despite anything, as of today, we have no analogues of even such an imperfect UAS. It refers to both the technical specifications of this technical solution and the scale, that is, the number of UAVs produced. The point here is that it is not enough to just…
Proven by years of experience A lot can be said about the pros and cons of this UAS. However, a few facts are indisputable: ● "Orlan-10" and its other modifications should be considered a massive and fairly effective solution which, at various stages of the confrontation…
That is why russians seek to gear up their equipment with modules to protect this signal. This allows "Orlan" to perform the function of an aerial photographer for hundreds of kilometres deep into our territory, bringing back the data that the enemy uses, among all, for the…
Imagine you are the operator of such a UAV. To control it from a long distance, you need to have both navigation and video signal. When one of these things is jammed, you still can return the drone (the mode known as RTL, or Return to Launch mode). But if there is neither one nor…
"Kometa", an invention of the russian engineers, can serve as a simple example. One of its modifications is installed on the UAV’s board. It is known that "Kometa" has the details designed by U.S. and Taiwanese companies. This so-called CRPA (controlled radiation pattern antenna)…
Secondly, the russians are exporting “Orlans” which may also indicate that production has been running in one way or another. As for the production itself, today, it is known that the russians are able to produce an aerodynamic body without any problems. (Like us, by the way.)…
Production and UAV special features There is no doubt that the production of “Orlans” continues today. That is because, firstly, "Orlans" are being lost. Sometimes, they are being shot down, captured, as was in the case of the Kharkiv offensive operation. In other cases, they…
Many missile attacks and shelling of Kyiv during the battle for the capital were carried out based on the results of reconnaissance, conducted by these UAVs. According to various estimations, at the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the number of these UAVs, owned by the…
"Orlan" is a multi-purpose complex. It is used as a target designator, providing intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance, as an aerial photographer, and as EW/ES when needed. For instance, the Leer-3 EW system includes up to three “Orlan” UAVs which carry reconnaissance and…
Versatility of application Let's skip the technical characteristics which can be easily found in the open source, except for specific modifications and what the military conveyor of the occupiers is supplying now. At least 5 km of flight altitude, 120 km of video signal…
Despite that fact, one can often find quite strange technical solutions in devices that were shot down or captured by the AFU. For example, a Canon SLR camera or a plastic bottle used as a gas tank. (Yes, these things fly on gasoline). Because of this, "Orlans" became the object…