🇺🇸 USA faces 🇵🇾 Paraguay in the first match of group D of the #FIFAWorldCup
The group is extremely balanced and anything can happen. Who will make it to the round of 32?
World Cup Group B looks set to be one of the tournament’s weaker groups.
🇨🇭 Switzerland and 🇨🇦 Canada enter World Cup Group B as the favorites.
Our simulations give Switzerland a 40.9% chance of winning the group, ahead of Canada at 28.2%.
🇶🇦 Qatar and 🇧🇦 Bosnia & Herzegovina
World Cup Group B looks set to be one of the tournament’s weaker groups.
🇨🇭 Switzerland and 🇨🇦 Canada enter World Cup Group B as the favorites.
Our simulations give Switzerland a 40.9% chance of winning the group, ahead of Canada at 28.2%.
🇶🇦 Qatar and 🇧🇦 Bosnia & Herzegovina are the outsiders, but with a combined 42.3% chance of finishing in the top two, Qatar remain firmly in the race for the knockout stage.
Who tops Group B? 👇
#FIFAWorldCup
World Cup group A starts today, and it looks tighter than many expected.
🇲🇽 Mexico and 🇰🇷 South Korea are slight favorites to advance, but 🇨🇿 Czech Republic and 🇿🇦 South Africa remain in the race.
Who finishes first?
#FIFAWorldCup
World Cup group A starts today, and it looks tighter than many expected.
🇲🇽 Mexico and 🇰🇷 South Korea are slight favorites to advance, but 🇨🇿 Czech Republic and 🇿🇦 South Africa remain in the race.
Who finishes first?
#FIFAWorldCup
World Cup group A starts today, and it looks tighter than many expected.
🇲🇽 Mexico and 🇰🇷 South Korea are slight favorites to advance, but 🇨🇿 Czech Republic and 🇿🇦 South Africa remain in the race.
Who finishes first?
#FIFAWorldCup
Now the most interesting finding: birth month. World Cup players are almost 40% more likely to have been born in Q1 than in Q4.
Q1 (Jan–Mar): 28.4%
Q2 (Apr–Jun): 27.1%
Q3 (Jul–Sep): 24.2%
Q4 (Oct–Dec): 20.4%
This is just a preview. We will keep running the numbers all the way through the #FIFAWorldCup.
Follow us so you don’t miss the next drop 📊⚽️
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The group stage of the 2026 World Cup starts in less than 24 hours.
48 teams will fight for 32 spots in the R32.
We have simulated the group stage 1 million times using Elo rankings. Here is a complete guide 🧵
Roughly a quarter of the teams are expected to end the group stage winless, and 5% of them will still advance. Teams that draw all their matches (3 points) advance 82.5% of the time.
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