FUME5 @FUME5

Sometimes you're the drunken master, sometimes you're just the drunk. Perth, Western Australia Joined July 2008

Tweets

7K
Followers

114
Following

157
Likes

12K

Dr_Gingerballs @Dr_Gingerballs

6 months ago

Just to add context to this number, 100 TW of power is 5x all of the power currently used on the planet. About 2 TW of our power comes from solar, and we currently have capacity to build about 1 TW of solar per year. To meet this target, solar panel manufacturing would need to increase 30x today just to supply enough panels for this. This would be enough solar panels to cover every inch of the state of Montana. Let's completely ignore the hard task of designing the satellites to do any AI calcs, and just look at what it would take to physically get all of those solar panels into space. Solar panels typically weigh 0.2 lbs per watt. This comes out to 20 Tera-lbs, or about 900,000 Eiffel Towers. Let's assume they figure out Starship, which has a payload of around 100 tons, or about 220,000 lbs. So just to dump the solar panels into space would require about 90 million launches in 3 years. This would mean they need to launch 1 starship every second of every day for 3 years! Each flight will take around 20 minutes round trip. So to launch every second he would need at least 1200 operational starships. Over the last 3 years, they have made 36. So they will need to scale up production nearly 100x today. Then you need to figure out how to facilitate the launch of 60 ships a minute. Launch pads? Landing pads? Fueling? Maintenance? Failures? Currently the failure rate on Starship is around 50%, aka a coin flip on whether or not it explodes. And I haven't even gotten to the AI part yet. But as far as removing heat from the AI compute, let's presume they go with low power density configurations, like a few chips per satellite. Even still, we would need Jensen Huang to make 20B H100s per year. Currently they have capacity for a few million, so they need to ramp up production 10,000x. The H100 chip on planet earth appears to fail at a rate of 10% per year. This means that every year likely 10% of the chips will fail and need to be replenished. Since we have no plan to recapture the satellites, that means they will need to burn up in low earth orbit. Then we are now destroying 10 TW of solar panels every year, or the equivalent of half of the total power infrastructure in the world. They would also be destroying about 6B H100s per year, needing them to be replaced. Finally, we have to get new satellites up to replace the old ones, so we would need to send 1 rocket every 10 seconds FOREVER to just maintain the 100 TW fleet of chips. Elon Musk is simply LYING. Statements like this are plain old fraud. None of this is even remotely practical or possible in a 3 year timeline, much less a 30 year one.

NIK @ns123abc

6 months ago

Elon Musk has essentially confirmed SpaceX is going public this year and will use the funds to build solar powered AI satellites, scaling to 100s of terawatts in 3 years

FUME5 @FUME5

Dr_Gingerballs @Dr_Gingerballs

NIK @ns123abc

FUME5 @FUME5

FUME5 @FUME5

FUME5 @FUME5

FUME5 @FUME5

FUME5 @FUME5

FUME5 @FUME5

FUME5 @FUME5

FUME5 @FUME5

Sabby Sabs @SabbySabs2

FUME5 @FUME5

FUME5 @FUME5

Nightdive Studios @NightdiveStudio

Dexerto @Dexerto

FUME5 @FUME5

FUME5 @FUME5

FUME5 @FUME5

FUME5 @FUME5

Itsprobablyapril ✨ @oh_itsjustapril

FUME5 @FUME5

FUME5 @FUME5

Emma broken halo @38emma8587

Mogoo @Mogoo365170

Irlalral @Irlalral8307

A M @AM2647049348683

No I'm Airbagged @SalmonSask

SAULI サウリ @SauliKarlo

lily @I25oMWCe41vo0

🎱The MMA Mark🎱 @TheMMA8Ball_

Tiny 🥊 @MMATINY2354

Jaric @scrubed01

Tenydeigh @tenydeigh78918

bella 🥰 @waifube80334051

alice @AliceInDagestan

Jean @SpaceWizrdGhost

Celeastia🌜{Thiolli... @celeastia_

⫘⫘⫘⫘⫘ @femmefriction

Iruvatar @IruIruvatar

Shonie @shxnie_

Kote Cruz | Fordewin ... @kotecruz11

Kody ‘Big Mo’ Mom... @BigMo_Official

Gravy @mattwil99877620

AGC4 @AGC4444

CATTACA @Cattaca1

Mr Santini @__Santini__

Tattoos @tattoos01

mat @matfromromania

TheWinnersCircle @TheWinnersCir28

pompouscunt @pompouscunt

ミルキージェー... @wireframejames

The Shadow of Spitama @FlamesNavi

Effay @XT_NrgFA

Abel Chimaev @AbelMMA

James @Swiftjel

skrunkus @LucciPaul

Nick202 @Nick202WasTaken

Aidan 🇦🇺🇮�... @aidanw302000

Nbanicks @Nbanicks1

MMA Chat @MMAChatDiscord

The Fightgeist @TheFightgeist

Yodsanan @_Yodsanan

Happy Rampage @rampage_happy

Beatrice Betty @tatatsoo

Danni-ElleArts @DEllearts

Max Power @Weird_Faceapp

Shujaat @shoejaat

Cynical Crew @foloply

SamuraiZebra @GamerNutter

Workforce Gaming @WorkforceGaming

Heretech @LookAtMeGo1984

Gracie MacNcheese @AtwinGracie2002

. @swagmastax69

Shibuya Kaho 澁谷�... @Shibukaho

Alison @MilkTruckReborn

caposa @Grabaka_Hitman

mr. joshua @pants

美麗３D茶点カ�... @ChatateCanon3D

໊ @2yqn1

Mr Santini @Santini