Fantasy Football Trout @FF_Trout
Interested in developing analytical tools to play FPL (challenge) and Fantasy F1 as well as possible. Probability nerd & EV magnet on the side. fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/999999/h… River Trent (Alexander-Arnold) Joined November 2019-
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@FF_Trout @jameso_12 I’ve made you both memes to better facilitate this discussion and your viewpoints
2024 #ChineseGP #F1Fantasy Predicted Points & Optimal Teams 📊 A fresh set of numbers from the prosperous @FF_Trout and myself. 1⃣ Optimal Teams 2⃣ Driver xPts 3⃣ Constructor xPts Good week for using a chip... 🍟
This was a fascinating conversation! I really enjoyed discussing concepts at the frontier of the most interesting tpoic in FPL, and sharing some ideas about how we can/should quantify and leverage risk engagement within our existing processes 😊
This was a fascinating conversation! I really enjoyed discussing concepts at the frontier of the most interesting tpoic in FPL, and sharing some ideas about how we can/should quantify and leverage risk engagement within our existing processes 😊 https://t.co/hon7tXHCK0
#FPL For the FPL Optimized pod episode this week, we will have a panel discussion with @FF_Trout @FPL_Spaceman and @FplPresident about "Risk in FPL". Let us know if you have any questions, and we will try to cover if time permits.
Yeahhhh it's time to go stochastic 😎
Yeahhhh it's time to go stochastic 😎 https://t.co/xNPyWoRizG
#FPL Great format! Very excited to start working on this problem. It is not as easy as it initially seemed due to lock mechanism. A challenging N-stage stochastic problem.
#FPL Great format! Very excited to start working on this problem. It is not as easy as it initially seemed due to lock mechanism. A challenging N-stage stochastic problem.
Perez 23 points? Nailed it this raceweek 🔥
Perez 23 points? Nailed it this raceweek 🔥
2024 #AusGP #F1Fantasy Predicted Points & Optimal Teams 📊 A fresh set of numbers from the sleep-deprived @FF_Trout and myself. 1⃣ Optimal Teams 2⃣ Driver xPts 3⃣ Constructor xPts
Ben Crellin @BenCrellin
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Useful terminology for your every day life:
“it’s legal, don’t worry”
Bukayo Saka on playing 60-70 games in season: "He (Mikel) told me the elite players all do it, so if I want to get to that level I have to be ready to play that many games and try and help my team win each of those games. You have to be 100% focused on every game." [Mirror]
Good luck explaining #Liverpool recent slump without mentioning bad finishing
A leak that he’s starting GW38 and I will be there no matter what tbh
Just realized I’ll likely never own Salah again in FPL Thanks for everything king
🤫 Man, Amdounit Better 🤫 Wildcard. I’ve kept really quiet, but I’ll tell you something: we’re still fighting and FH34 have to get through DGW37 without a WC and and I’ll tell you, honestly, I will love it if we beat them. Love it! 🌍 62K
What's the catch, I have to reveal the rest of my WC draft?
@FF_Trout @jameso_12 I’ve made you both memes to better facilitate this discussion and your viewpoints
Words of wisdom!
Núñez: - Is 24 y/o - Gets >0.8 non-pen goal invls per 90 (better than all of Firmino's, all of Mané's and all but 2 of Salah's seasons with LFC), incl 0.5 goals - Will score goals at an even higher rate next season, re every useful predictive metric (!) - Contracted til he's 27
@FF_Trout I think missing big chances really has a bad effect on the reputation. I suspect he would be much better rated if he was on 0.3xG and overperformed at 0.5 goals rather than being on 0.7 xG and underperforming to 0.5 goals.
#GW34 = 89 pts 🌍 430 I expected a big red arrow, but that was a bloodbath. 383 % red and out of the top 100. Well played to everyone that saved their FH or picked the right players when dead ending into WC35.
@FF_Trout But people will focus on finishing because it’s more obvious and easier to single out than some of those other failings. FPLwise I personally hate them all and won’t own them ever again (or until GW38)
@FF_Trout All teams go through cold finishing spells, Pool aren’t as equipped to deal with them as Arse or City because they struggle to grind out results/limit XGA in those cases. Not winning a first header defensively and being marginal offsides from serious XGA were bigger issues yday
@FF_Trout It’s what (wrongly)happens when your team misses all their shots with the title on the line I guess. Wonder what people would say about his performance if Diaz scores from the nice cushioned head he put his way.
@FF_Trout @Chris_1892_ The decimals have triggered this guy into a blind rage. Unless he’s that upset about Darwin’s finishing exclusively
@jameso_12 This is why twitter is a problem, in so many words you have to just articulate the extreme opinion. No one should dispute its somewhere in the middle. Theres no open market for the upgrade, and the numbers suggest hes got a key component down - needs to work to polish the rest
0.8 non-pen goal involvements per 90 and the consensus is he could even improve on that? Hard sell.
Núñez: - Is 24 y/o - Gets >0.8 non-pen goal invls per 90 (better than all of Firmino's, all of Mané's and all but 2 of Salah's seasons with LFC), incl 0.5 goals - Will score goals at an even higher rate next season, re every useful predictive metric (!) - Contracted til he's 27
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