ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

Politics/Elections. Every D is better than any R. Supporter of ALL Democrats, Big tent party advocate, Pragmatic progressive, Hate purity tests. #VoteBlue Joined May 2023

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 months ago

Losers complain, winners win. Republicans fucked around and now they’re finding out. 10-1.

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 months ago

@SpecialPuppy1 1) Republicans gave up in CA. 2) TX already passed their redraw into law, so the average voter in CA saw the referendum as righting a wrong already committed by the opposition, wanted to balance the scale. Way easier to get voters to go along with that argument.

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

The 2 spice picks of my predictions = total failure, along with Texas Senate 😂

Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ

2 years ago

Decision Desk HQ projects Kelly Ayotte (R) wins the Gubernatorial election in New Hampshire. #DecisionMade: 11:16 PM EDT Follow live results here: decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/G…

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

@VinkemesMom @fiona_webster22 What other House race was called for Democrats? Sorry, I must have missed it. I can only use WaPo maps because of NYT paywall. This is what my screen looks like, I guess it’s a bit behind then.

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

First flip of the night for Democrats!

Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ

2 years ago

Decision Desk HQ projects John Mannion (D) wins the US House election in New York's 22nd congressional district. #DecisionMade: 10:32 PM EDT Follow live results here: decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/G…

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

@dnna1993 I’m not going to try to put sugar on a turd and try to convince you it’s a yummy pizza. I’m going to tell you the truth when it comes to election results. Good OR bad. That’s what y’all deserve! ❤️

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

I’m going to be straight with y’all because you deserve that. In rural areas fully or near fully counted, Trump is matching or exceeding his 2020 margins. In suburban and urban areas I’m seeing Harris matching or exceeding Biden’s 2020 margins. My bet is latter matters most.

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

@Grumpy_old_boi @PolyglotFella Cheers my friend 🍻

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

@PolyglotFella The whole “wait until 90% is counted” should be attached to every tweet I make.

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

If he isn’t already, Connecticut Dave is moving back to his home state.

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

Not going to lie, I did a double take 😂

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

Wait a second, you’re telling me that all of the small sample size crosstabs were less accurate than large subsamples of specific demographics? Knock me over with a feather.

Swann Marcus @SwannMarcus89

2 years ago

You love to see it. Now we just need their turnout high enough

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

The first sign of a suburban GOP collapse? Stay tuned for more results!

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

Holy crap! Boone County, IN (suburb surrounding Indianapolis) 91% counted Trump 54.4 🔴 Harris 43.9 🔵 2020: Trump 58.1 🔴 Biden 39.6 🔵 Shift: D+8 🔵

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

If Harris and Democrats win tonight, their spending on “it’s the economy, stupid” messaging as the GOP ranted about culture war stuff will be a big reason why. newrepublic.com/article/187950…

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

For those who may not understand, US voters are by far the most conservative on immigration topic, than any other issue. It was 50/50 for “deport all immigrants” polls over the summer and fall. So either everyone changed their mind or more Democrats turned out than expected.

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

👀

Acyn @Acyn

2 years ago

Fox just showed this exit poll 👀

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

Ok, so why do I think this will happen? Here’s a 40 tweet research thread breaking down this theory, but the TLDR is pollsters are missing Democratic voters. Add in a net favorable viewed politician Harris + you have potent recipe to create a wave 🌊 x.com/ElectionsAddic…

ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

My election theory First off, I have no way to actually prove it, but I think it’s one of very few possibilities that explains elections from 2016-2024, polls + also difference between Obama vs Trump/Biden years. Short answer: it’s “the resistance”, long answer, a thread 🧵 /1

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

Cook Political 8-5 left 🔵 Sabato 27-13 left 🔵 Inside Elections 22-9 left 🔵 Did they expand battlefield? Yes. Democrats, Republicans spending millions of dollars in IN Gov, TX/FL/NE Sen + Trump won House districts in last stretch. If both parties invest, both see it winnable.

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ElectionsAddict @ElectionsAddict

2 years ago

Election Eve Megathread! I’m predicting a wave, here’s why 🧵👇 First: What is wave election? It’s when 1 party does 5+ points better than opponents, getting big base turnout, vast majority undecided, that overwhelms opposition. 2008, 2010, 2014 + 2018 were waves. 2 D’s, 2 R’s.