The air behind Malgeri's homer — Sutter Health Park, at first pitch:
99°F · 5 mph out to RF · 21% humidity
Ball-flight model: +1 ft of carry for RHB vs this park's own normal.
The air behind Lewis's homer — T-Mobile Park, at first pitch:
80°F · 3 mph out to RF · 37% humidity
Ball-flight model: +4 ft of carry for RHB vs this park's own normal.
Park factor: -4% HR for RHB (3-yr).
🌬 The air behind Dingler's homer — Sutter Health Park, at first pitch:
99°F · 5 mph out to RF · 21% humidity
Ball-flight model: +1 ft of carry for RHB vs this park's own normal.
Dillon Dingler Home Run off of Luis Morales
411 feet on an 86.6 mph slider — 100 mph off the bat at a 33° launch angle.
+310 pregame • 13.4% model probability
🌬 The air behind Guzman's homer — Angel Stadium, at first pitch:
84°F · 7 mph out to CF · 58% humidity
Ball-flight model: +8 ft of carry for RHB vs this park's own normal.
Park factor: +9% HR for RHB (3-yr).
Denzer Guzman Home Run off of Shane Drohan
385 feet on an 84.9 mph slider — 102 mph off the bat at a 26° launch angle.
+900 pregame • 10.8% model probability
🎯 Pitch mix behind it: Carter Jensen vs Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal 6.7/10 (model graded)
The homer came on the splitter (21% of what Sugano throws) — where Jensen held a +0.3 edge.
🌬 The air behind Jensen's homer — Coors Field, at first pitch:
87°F · 12 mph out to CF · 34% humidity
Ball-flight model: +23 ft of carry for LHB vs this park's own normal.
Park factor: +16% HR for LHB (3-yr).
Carter Jensen Home Run off of Tomoyuki Sugano
424 feet on an 85.9 mph splitter — 103 mph off the bat at a 30° launch angle.
+300 pregame • 25.4% model probability
🌬 The air behind Bowen's homer — Petco Park, at first pitch:
76°F · 5 mph out to RF · 77% humidity
Ball-flight model: +7 ft of carry for RHB vs this park's own normal.
Park factor: +14% HR for RHB (3-yr).
Jase Bowen Home Run off of Carson Whisenhunt
384 feet on an 83.4 mph slider — 104 mph off the bat at a 35° launch angle.
+800 pregame • 9.4% model probability
🎯 Pitch mix behind it: Cole Young vs Zebby Matthews's arsenal 5.6/10 (model graded)
The homer came on the cutter (12% of what Matthews throws) — where Young held a +1.4 edge.
🌬 The air behind Young's homer — T-Mobile Park, at first pitch:
80°F · 3 mph out to RF · 37% humidity
Ball-flight model: +6 ft of carry for LHB vs this park's own normal.
Park factor: -3% HR for LHB (3-yr).
Cole Young Home Run off of Zebby Matthews
373 feet on an 89.9 mph cutter — scalded 110 mph off the bat at a 16° launch angle.
+520 pregame • 11.8% model probability
🎯 Pitch mix behind it: Brice Turang vs Ryan Johnson's arsenal 7.2/10 (model graded)
The homer came on the cutter (29% of what Johnson throws) — where Turang held a +5.4 edge.
🌬 The air behind Turang's homer — Angel Stadium, at first pitch:
82°F · 8 mph out to CF · 57% humidity
Ball-flight model: +8 ft of carry for LHB vs this park's own normal.
Park factor: -5% HR for LHB (3-yr).
Brice Turang Home Run off of Ryan Johnson
398 feet on an 87.5 mph cutter — 102 mph off the bat at a 35° launch angle.
+470 pregame • 14.4% model probability
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