When you look at the #Chargers Offensive play call splits for the past 3 seasons & think about @dwainmcfarland's note below, it's hard not to have some volume concerns for Justin Herbert from a fantasy perspective. Given the likelihood for reduced volume, he'll have to improve on his overall efficiency/TD % to justify his current Dynasty value imo. Something much closer to the 2021 % you see below. Justin Herbert QB TD %, Rank (Min. 150 Att/Season) 🔹2021 (5.7%, 10th) 🔹2022 (3.6%, 24th) 🔹2023 (4.4%, 18th) Justin Herbert FP/G 🔹2021: 23.3 (3rd), Overall QB2 🔹2022: 17.3 (15th), Overall QB11 🔹2023: 18.6 (12th), Overall QB18 Part of me does wonder if he's a better real life QB vs fantasy QB going forward but I'm not there just yet.
When you look at the #Chargers Offensive play call splits for the past 3 seasons & think about @dwainmcfarland's note below, it's hard not to have some volume concerns for Justin Herbert from a fantasy perspective. Given the likelihood for reduced volume, he'll have to improve on his overall efficiency/TD % to justify his current Dynasty value imo. Something much closer to the 2021 % you see below. Justin Herbert QB TD %, Rank (Min. 150 Att/Season) 🔹2021 (5.7%, 10th) 🔹2022 (3.6%, 24th) 🔹2023 (4.4%, 18th) Justin Herbert FP/G 🔹2021: 23.3 (3rd), Overall QB2 🔹2022: 17.3 (15th), Overall QB11 🔹2023: 18.6 (12th), Overall QB18 Part of me does wonder if he's a better real life QB vs fantasy QB going forward but I'm not there just yet.
@DaWiz_FFB @dwainmcfarland @MyFantasyLeague @TheUndroppables I feel attacked.
@DaWiz_FFB @dwainmcfarland @MyFantasyLeague @TheUndroppables 😂 can we look at neutral pass/run rate? I'm trying to think of when Harbaugh has NOT had a dominant defense. Think I saw a tweet that JJ McCarthy had the highest number of passes in the first half of games out of all top QBs in this class.
@DaWiz_FFB @dwainmcfarland @MyFantasyLeague @TheUndroppables He can still be efficient but I’m dropping him behind Love ARich Kyler
@DaWiz_FFB @dwainmcfarland @MyFantasyLeague @TheUndroppables We’ve seen guys like Purdy be successful by making up for it with efficiency. Interesting to see if they can do the same with Herbert. Who they sign/draft at rb will be interesting to watch
@DaWiz_FFB @MyFantasyLeague @dwainmcfarland @TheUndroppables And I would argue the inverse will happen with the Atlanta Falcons From 2016-2019 Raheem Morris was the Asst HC/WRs Coach/Offensive Pass Game Coordinator In 2016 the split was 60/40 in favor of the pass. Matt Ryan had nearly 5k yds Julio Jones had 129rec 1409yds 6tds