Douglas McNeill @DAMcNeill
No.10 and Treasury special adviser since 2016. Stock market analyst before that. Joined May 2010-
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I discussed the government's economic policy options on Radio 4's Today programme yesterday morning. Link below, about 26 mins in. bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0…
Discussed politics & economics with @seanfarrington on Wake Up To Money this morning. Link below, 15 mins in. Got to the studio by taxi from my north London townhouse, but only because it was too early for the tube. bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0…
Fascinating suggestion about Art Laffer (and Jude Wanniski) in 'The Triumph of Politics', David Stockman's book on Reaganism. Stockman was a key figure in the administration and knew Laffer well.
Figures today from BoE show rate of growth in broad money holding fairly steady and on course for 4-5% for 2022 as a whole. Relatively normal by recent standards, but with inflation where it is, likely to be negative in real terms i.e. suggestive of economic contraction.
Next week’s party conference coincides with £5.5bn of scheduled new gilt issuance. Important that conference rhetoric/signalling doesn't dampen investor appetite for these new bonds (and preferably boosts it).
Good to talk to @NickFerrariLBC this morning. We discussed the latest currency market ructions - and whether tax cuts might lead to more immigration, as per weekend speculation.
Remarkable to see the Bank of Japan step into currency market to try and prop up the yen today. Hardly fair to draw a comparison with the Bank of England in 1992, but taking on the markets like this is a tall order for a central bank these days.
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Great to be out on the doorstep in central ward this morning with our brilliant candidate Michael Gray this morning.
I think I've concluded that the fundamental problem with economists trying to model banking is that they don't know what banks are. So they create models with institutions that are almost but not entirely unlike banks, and call them models of banking.
Long-term real interest rates have broadly been on a declining path since 1300! Stunning chart from Rogoff, Rossi & Schmelzing nber.org/papers/w30475 #econtwitter
Honoured and delighted to have been appointed Minister of State in @FCDOGovUK
There may also need to be help for pressurised companies. I suggest a package linked to the number of employee jobs at risk. If the subsidy was £2,000 a job supporting smaller business might cost £20 billion this year.
Today is #YorkshireDay. I couldn’t be prouder to have the support of my Richmond constituency and, in particular, the backing of my friend, mentor and one of Yorkshire’s greatest statesmen. Watch @WilliamJHague below 👇
Altight i am up at the levy summer school. Consolidation vs coordination. Treasury, central bank relations
The UK is unwavering in our support for Ukraine and has committed over $2bn of financial, humanitarian and military assistance. I urge all like minded international colleagues to step up, deliver and go further and faster in their economic and humanitarian assistance.
Sergii Marchenko: The United Kingdom has set an example to the world with its timely and necessary financial support for Ukraine’s fight against Russian aggression. 1/2
The @bankofengland Covid Corporate Financing Facility, which provided a quick, cost-effective way for firms to raise capital during the pandemic, ends today. It gave almost £38bn of support and protected millions of jobs in large UK firms, and all money borrowed has been repaid.
It’s thanks to the smartest scientists👩⚕️the hardest working volunteers🧕 the longest booster queues 👴 and the savviest business owners👨💻 That we were the 𝐟𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐲 in the G7 last year 🇬🇧💪🏽 Proud.
I had a brilliant time at conference (I know this is unfashionable to say). I loved speaking on panels with interesting people, and seeing friends after two years, in a wonderful city.
When we said we’d do whatever it takes, we meant it. This is the story of Furlough👇
This is the 𝙡𝙖𝙧𝙜𝙚𝙨𝙩 𝙞𝙣𝙖𝙪𝙜𝙪𝙧𝙖𝙡 𝙜𝙧𝙚𝙚𝙣 𝙞𝙨𝙨𝙪𝙖𝙣𝙘𝙚 𝙗𝙮 𝙖𝙣𝙮 𝙨𝙤𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙚𝙞𝙜𝙣 with the largest ever order book for a sovereign green transaction. This funding will create jobs and be used to finance vital green government projects across the country.
The sale of the UK’s first-ever Green Gilt has raised £10bn to help finance progress to net zero and support the creation of jobs across the UK. #planforjobs Find out more about the Gilt and how future issuances will fund green government projects: gov.uk/government/new…
Opening up. Superb to welcome Chancellor @RishiSunak to @UKHouseofLords Association of Conservative Peers reception. With our Chair Lord Hunt of Wirral MBE @Conservatives