Funding rates are a hot topic again
I wrote a detailed article about funding, open interest, liquidations, and CVD a few months ago
I think it's a decent piece
medium.com/@cryptocreddy/…
Trading should be boring.
You should know what you're looking for, how to execute the idea, and how to manage it.
The majority of the time is spent waiting - doing nothing when there's no trade, and doing very little whilst letting the trade play out in most cases.
If you have…
Hindsight risk management post
Vacuous trading psychology post
Vague bullpost about surviving before real bull run
Hindsight did you buy the dip post on green day
Queue 'em up
Maybe it’s the fever speaking, but am I an idiot for not doing ‘KOL’ angel rounds?
My reasoning is some combination of:
1. I’m probably not smart or experienced enough to materially add value in any technical way.
2. Projects that have a large or predominantly KOL investor…
How most of us will lose money:
Comfy portfolio ATH
Buy yet another breakout (why not, it has worked every time)
Breakout fails, you’re down 10%
Whatever, buy the higher low
No higher low, range breaks down
Down 40%, Europeans are posting Tetris charts again
Good breakout trades:
1. Trade the breakout as early as possible. Add most/all of your size as close to the breakout as you can. Maximises proximity to invalidation and you’ll know if you’re wrong quickly.
2. Trade the mini/LTF consolidation after the breakout. Add most/all…
Volatility. Your open positions disappear before your very eyes.
You avoid looking at your fill prices.
Checking your new, reduced account balance is a non-starter.
You feel like you should trade, but can’t bring yourself to risk another loss. The defeat is all too recent.…
The silent trading ‘losses’
Undersizing winners
Oversizing losers
Partial fills
Missed trades
Pulling orders
Closing early
Closing break even
Closing before the move
Rotating from strong to weak
Trading isn’t always sexy
GM
Remember to get bored & complacent during low volatility
Only to complain about how the market is moving too quickly during high volatility & that you're waiting for a pullback
As a result, you'll be consistently frustrated in all market conditions at your inaction
🌞
You will not make serious money only ever betting 0.5%-2% per trade
Most trades are equity curve noise
If you want to make a dent, you need to swing for the fences when there's a great opportunity
Risk management isn't what makes money - it keeps you alive between big winners
The opportunity cost of learning to trade (vs deploying) in a bull market is too high.
Bear markets teach bad lessons & give you 'PTSD' (low risk appetite, inability to hold, distrust of breakouts/trends).
That's why it usually takes at least 1 full cycle to gain competence.
Narratives are mostly made up.
They're usually some combination of:
1. Groups of speculators buying something early and talking their book
2. Outlier price performance in an asset/group, narrative gets attached after the fact to 'explain' price action
Don't drown in fake FA.
A few common mistakes in these conditions:
1. Excessive leverage. Specifically, introducing liquidation risk in assets that are regularly moving 10%-20%+ in a day. Let the volatility do the heavy lifting, not the leverage (or specifically, massively inflated position sizes…
On Adjusting to Trending Conditions
Some qualifiers before the main content:
1. There's never a good time to post this stuff. People love to infer that any post is some form of market commentary or hidden directional 'signal'. It is not, just take it for what it is.
2. There…
First cycle participants make money because they're open-minded, optimistic, and think "What if I'm right?" instead of "What if I'm wrong?"
They lose most of their gains for the same reasons
Navigating cycles requires switching between childlike idealism and sagely cynicism
Avoid the extremes: being all-in or having 0 crypto
If you're all-in and the market dips, you can't take advantage of great entries
If you have 0 crypto and the market rips, it'll start messing with your mind and you might become European
Even 1-5% cash/crypto (from 0%) helps
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214K Followers 3K FollowingTrader. BJJ. Lifter. Dad to a perfect daughter, awesome wife, some horses, a dog, and a shy cat. @Rebirthdao • @Synquote • Burn the ships.
785K Followers 879 Following#Bitcoin, Not a financial advisor, No paid group, DM's are scams + instagram = scam. team at @meritcircle_io building @sophon
285K Followers 4K Followingprofessional it/that and lil/shid @wassieverse & @wassie UwU
NOT A FROK D:
mite be a multiagency fed (unproven)
banner by @silo_uwu
#2_weeks_lifespan_gang
214K Followers 3K FollowingTrader. BJJ. Lifter. Dad to a perfect daughter, awesome wife, some horses, a dog, and a shy cat. @Rebirthdao • @Synquote • Burn the ships.
15K Followers 1K Followingi must not fomo. fomo is the mind-killer.
@standardcrypto
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35K Followers 9K FollowingCEO of @lumidawealth. prev: Founded PeerIQ (exit). ex-Merrill. Equities, Alts & Digital Assets. Non-Consensus Investing. Disproving the EMH one day at a time.
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I shoot people with light-speed electrons for a living
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