Armands Astukevičs @Armands_A
Researcher at Centre for East European Policy Studies, Riga. Tweets in 🇱🇻 & 🇬🇧. Views my own. Riga, Latvia Joined June 2009-
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We were happy to join @AndisKudors on March 19 at @IERES_GWU to hear a discussion about his new book "Russia and #Latvia: A Case of Sharp Power." Thanks @Walker_CT, @AKendallTaylor & @ElliottSchoolGW host Robert W. Orttung. Congrats to Prof. Kudors for his important research!
Silti iesaku! Latvijas okupācijas muzejā notiks Stenforda Universitātes vēstures profesora Amira Veinera publiskā lekcija par padomju drošības dienesta jauno vēsturi okupacijasmuzejs.lv/index.php/lv/a…
🧵 Let me explain to you why "Putin will annex #Transnistria" is one of the elements of hybrid warfare, and annexation is unlikely to happen. First of all, because ALL (!) the news that are based on the opinion of some opposition politician. Opinion. That's all.
I keep on being asked if the so-called parliamentary elections in Belarus on 25 February can lead to political turmoil, be used by the opposition to mobilize the society, or somehow else challenge the ruling regime. No. Here is why -->
Latvia will nationalize real estate belonging to the Moscow government. The Moscow House in Riga, which has been funded by the Moscow Mayor’s Office, will be taken into the ownership of the Republic of Latvia. The corresponding law was adopted with the aim of "timely prevention…
Latvia. I held meaningful talks with President @edgarsrinkevics. I am grateful to Latvia for the latest military aid package for Ukraine and a clear understanding that the strength of Ukrainian warriors, positions, and future is the strength that secures Latvia’s independence as…
"The push to seize Russian sovereign assets reflects a shared desire to show Moscow that it would not be able to outlast western resolve to aid Ukraine, both economically and militarily" Yes - and this is why Russians are struggling so hard against it ft.com/content/d206ba…
Finland opened 2 border crossing points to Russia, less than 24hrs later about to decide on closure again. Organized, guided migration resumed immediately. mtvuutiset.fi/artikkeli/ensi… mtvuutiset.fi/artikkeli/hakk…
Putin announced he will run for president, to "hero" of the "DPR" Artem Zhoga. "At the front, all the military were worried and wondered if Putin would run for president, he said he would." I've added the reaction of everyone to Putin's announcement at the end of this video.
Viltnieki. 😉 Krievijā izvietoti baneri ar ieslēptu pret Putina vēstījumu. Gatavojamies aktīvam priekšvēlēšanu laikam.
Viltnieki. 😉 Krievijā izvietoti baneri ar ieslēptu pret Putina vēstījumu. Gatavojamies aktīvam priekšvēlēšanu laikam.
Putina cūcene jeb kā nepārvērtēt Krievijas amatpersonu retoriku tvnet.lv/7913043/putina…
“Putina cūcene jeb kā nepārvērtēt Krievijas amatpersonu retoriku” - jaunākajā APPC viedokļrakstā par nesenajiem V. Putina izteikumiem pret Latviju un to plašāko nozīmi. appc.lv/blog/putina-cu…
My latest together with @Olari_Victoria on how pro-Kremlin actors targeting Moldova attempt to portray the West as an initiator of the war and deepen divisions among Moldovan society as a means of undermining support for Ukraine. dfrlab.org/2023/11/28/pro… via @AtlanticCouncil
Krievijas īstenotas brutālas cilvēku nolaupīšanas tās tuvējā pierobežā kļūst par aizvien aktīvāku ikdienas praksi. Iemesls katram divreiz pārdomāt savus ceļošanas paradumus ārpus ES/NATO valstīm.
Krievijas īstenotas brutālas cilvēku nolaupīšanas tās tuvējā pierobežā kļūst par aizvien aktīvāku ikdienas praksi. Iemesls katram divreiz pārdomāt savus ceļošanas paradumus ārpus ES/NATO valstīm.
Nevar nepiekrist. Izraēlas – Gazas konflikta dezinformācijas un feiku apjoms, kas vērojams X platformā, ir nesalīdzināms ar laiku pirms Maska. Ja Krievijas iebrukuma Ukrainā pirmajās dienās varēja reāli sekot notikumiem “uz zemes”, tad tagad tas viss ir palicis pagātnē.
Nevar nepiekrist. Izraēlas – Gazas konflikta dezinformācijas un feiku apjoms, kas vērojams X platformā, ir nesalīdzināms ar laiku pirms Maska. Ja Krievijas iebrukuma Ukrainā pirmajās dienās varēja reāli sekot notikumiem “uz zemes”, tad tagad tas viss ir palicis pagātnē.
Valerii Zaluzhnyi,Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, has written a sober assessment of the state of play and the requirements for Ukraine to move out of positional warfare to maneuver warfare: infographics.economist.com/2023/ExternalC…
“If Putin is successful, he will not stop at Ukraine. And if you're a Baltic state, you're thinking, ‘I'm next.’ And, you know, there's no question in my mind that sooner or later…he will challenge NATO and we'll find ourselves in a shooting match.” - @SecDef in the US Senate.
A woman from Robotyne, Zaporizhzhia region (where Ukrainian Armed Forces recently entered) shares about celebrating her birthday in occupation. She received some pies, bread and bagels - the most special gifts when there is a shortage of food.
So the Russian officer (Girkin) who started the Donbas war in 2014 is in jail, the only Russian general to carry out a successful maneuver in 2022 (Surovikin) has been relieved of duty, and the only Russian commander to take a city in 2023 (Prigozhin) has been murdered.
JoanToynbee @htP3qyX6wXQLf
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11K Followers 438 Following 🇺🇦 Foreign policy analyst. Senior Fellow @MTSCarleton & @AtlanticCouncil IN TURKEY. Focus on #Türkiye, #Ukraine, #BlackSea #security. Views are my own.I think it's quite wrong to frame this as bluff/not bluff. Nuclear weapons were meant to impress, but talk is (very) far from intent or even actual threat to use. Actual factors are the utility (clear lack thereof) and very clear opposition from all corners (TPNW, G20, CN, IN)
I disagree. We do know Ru withdrew after battlefield losses, even fr territory it claimed as « Ru forever ». Ru didn’t go nuclear even after attacks on Ru proper. Uncertainty exists as in anything, but evidence points to Pu bluffing rather than seriously considering nuclear use.
Why Russia’s Secret Foreign Policy Annex Matters: There is no longer a question of whether there will once again be a line between Russia and the West—only where that line will be drawn and how formidable a barrier it will present. nationalinterest.org/feature/why-ru… @TheNatlInterest
Did Lithuania attack Belarus with drones? Today, the head of the KGB, Ivan Tsertsel, said that the security services of Belarus had prevented drone strikes from the territory of Lithuania against objects in Minsk and its vicinity. Tertel didn’t provide any details and didn’t…
Savulaik, ja kāds draudēja sūdzēt tiesā, tas bija baiss un rets notikums. Tagad tā ir ikdiena - katru reizi, kad ir sižets par krievu oligarhu darbību/īpašumiem LV, ierodas viņu britu vai smalkākie Latvijas advokāti, kas publiski ir baigie vārda brīvības aizstāvji. 1/2
Labvakar, mani sauc Ivo. Esmu žurnālists. Nejūtos ierobežots, nospiests vai apdraudēts. Jā, mani mēdz kritizēt, un tad es vērtēju, vai esmu izdarījis visu tik labi, cik varu. Un no visas sirds cenšos izdarīt labāko Latvijai. Šis, protams, nesaistīts ar pilnīgi un galīgi neko. :)
Šis ir arī mūsu karš. Ekonomisko saišu saraušana ar 🇷🇺 ekonomiski nav nepanesama, un ilgtermiņā pat uzlabotu 🇱🇻 ekonomikas noturību, novirzot resursus produktīvākām aktivitātēm. Labākais risinājums ir reģionāls, t.i., līdzīgus principus piemēro visas robežvalstis un ES:
Vērts noklausīties! @rutkaste komentē, ko 🇱🇻 tautsaimniecībai nozīmētu ekonomisko saišu saraušana ar agresorvalsti. Izvērtējām to neilgi pēc 🇷🇺 pilna apmēra iebrukuma 🇺🇦, un kopš tā laika mūsu viedoklis nav mainījies – ilgtermiņā tam uz ekonomiku būtu pat pozitīva ietekme.
The chaplain giving this service is my grandfather, Claude Lapsley.
Easter Sunday on the Anzio Bridgehead – a congregation of soldiers of the Royal Army Service Corps attend an outdoor service, 1944. AYY 702/5-6
Prepare for Putin pivot to invade us, say Baltic states telegraph.co.uk/world-news/202… @Telegraph
We were happy to join @AndisKudors on March 19 at @IERES_GWU to hear a discussion about his new book "Russia and #Latvia: A Case of Sharp Power." Thanks @Walker_CT, @AKendallTaylor & @ElliottSchoolGW host Robert W. Orttung. Congrats to Prof. Kudors for his important research!
Protest at #Cadbury World denounces Mondelez’s financial contribution to Russiaʼs wartime budget euromaidanpress.com/2024/03/18/pro… @EuromaidanPress @MDLZ @UkrCongComAm #russiaIsATerroristState #putinIsaWarCriminal
Lecturer @AndisKudors from @universitatelv presents his book “Russia and #Latvia: A Case of Sharp Power” at the @ElliottSchoolGW in discussion with @AKendallTaylor and @Walker_CT. The Embassy is proud to support his visit to the 🇺🇸. Thank you to Prof. Robert Orttung for hosting!
Silti iesaku! Latvijas okupācijas muzejā notiks Stenforda Universitātes vēstures profesora Amira Veinera publiskā lekcija par padomju drošības dienesta jauno vēsturi okupacijasmuzejs.lv/index.php/lv/a…
Reidu laikā februāra beigās visā Baltkrievijā aizturēti vismaz 12 advokāti, kuri palīdzējuši politieslodzītajiem. Cilvēktiesību aizstāvjiem nav zināms, cik no viņiem joprojām ir aiz restēm. Kopš 2020. gada ir zināmi vismaz 23 advokātu aizturēšanas gadījumi politisku iemeslu dēļ.
Coming back to @ConStelz exceptional piece in @FT with a few thoughts on French side. @EmmanuelMacron NATO comments were intended as a warning to Russia & an “electro-shock” to Western countries before they stumble into a slow-motion defeat in Ukraine 1/ ft.com/content/54b1d9…
I am absolutely stoked to share with you my first single-author scientific paper, which just got published in @JCMS_EU! 🥳 doi.org/10.1111/jcms.1…
The first @RitualDeter article out today in International Affairs.🥳 'NATO's New Front', part of the special section dedicated to NATO's 75th anniversary (eds Tracey German and Andrew Dorman): doi.org/10.1093/ia/iia… @ERC_Research @UCPH_Research Open Access kudos to @PolsciCph
In this video I discuss RU nuclear doctrine and the use of nuclear weapons for deterrence and coercion, after Putin again mentioned using them in the annual state of the nation speech. youtu.be/HVnfXjAHoBA
🧵 Let me explain to you why "Putin will annex #Transnistria" is one of the elements of hybrid warfare, and annexation is unlikely to happen. First of all, because ALL (!) the news that are based on the opinion of some opposition politician. Opinion. That's all.
I keep on being asked if the so-called parliamentary elections in Belarus on 25 February can lead to political turmoil, be used by the opposition to mobilize the society, or somehow else challenge the ruling regime. No. Here is why -->