Alex Bristow 史德礼 @AlexBristowASPI
Senior Analyst @ASPI_org aspi.org.au/bio/dr-alex-br… Canberra Joined May 2022-
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Dibb and Brabin-Smith: "China's allegedly survivable second-strike capability is at high risk". Q1. What are the implications for crisis management? Q2. Does this explain 🇨🇳's expanding numbers of ICBMs? Expert views welcome, eg @ASPI_org @rdyn51 @oneil_ak @DrBeeZee @WillLeben2
Dibb and Brabin-Smith: "China's allegedly survivable second-strike capability is at high risk". Q1. What are the implications for crisis management? Q2. Does this explain 🇨🇳's expanding numbers of ICBMs? Expert views welcome, eg @ASPI_org @rdyn51 @oneil_ak @DrBeeZee @WillLeben2
ASPI is looking forward to hearing key insights from @PatConroy1 at our annual defence conference, ‘JoiningFORCES’, in June! This year's event will explore ways to bridge national and international boundaries to deliver more joint, collective and effective defence. ⏰ Early…
Anzac Day holds a very special place in the bond between 🇦🇺 & 🇳🇿. Each year we gather before dawn to remember those who have served in defence of our freedom - Lest we forget
📢 SPEAKER ANNOUNCEMENT 📢 We are delighted to announce @RichardMarlesMP, @PatConroy1, MAJGEN Anthony Rawlins, @VAdmNickHine, Richard Cho, Amanda Holt and Curie Maharani will speak at our 'JoiningForces' conference on 4-5 June! Topics for discussion include the regional…
Analysis of 🇨🇳 PLA shake-up by Masaaki Yatsuzuka argues that the new information, space & cyber 'forces' give Xi more control & address corruption; doctrine of information dominance unchanged. Great example of long-running @ASPI_org & @Nids1952 exchange. aspistrategist.org.au/new-chinese-re…
As we mull the significance of 🇨🇳 PLA's new Information Support Force (信息支援部队), here is a handy reference from the annuls of @ASPI_org's The Strategist about what the now disbanded Strategic Support Force was supposed to have achieved: aspistrategist.org.au/the-pla-strate…
I'm glad that @RichardMarlesMP referenced 🇨🇳's coercion in his @PressClubAust speech launching the National Defence Strategy. As I told @ChloeBouras, the Govt needs to be candid that China is the main threat to 🇦🇺. Beijing's response through the MFA & state media was predictable.
I'm glad that @RichardMarlesMP referenced 🇨🇳's coercion in his @PressClubAust speech launching the National Defence Strategy. As I told @ChloeBouras, the Govt needs to be candid that China is the main threat to 🇦🇺. Beijing's response through the MFA & state media was predictable.
The 2024 Independent Intelligence Review's findings are expected within months. At @ASPI_org we've set out to convene a range of perspectives on Australian intelligence's future to inform the review. A selection has been published today. aspi.org.au/report/austral…
We've had @alessionaval visit this week. From Sydney to Canberra & Melbourne. I enjoyed doing a #podcast with him & @AlexBristowASPI @ASPI_org. We talked #AUKUS, the UK's #IndoPacific tilt & 🇬🇧 🇦🇺 strategic partnership against the backdrop of current geo-politics & contest.
🚨 CONFERENCE ANNOUNCEMENT 🚨 Early bird tickets have been extended to 30 April for our upcoming defence conference! 'JoiningFORCES' will explore new ways to align strategy and capability between those who plan our defence, those who deliver the kit and those who achieve the…
Stephen Dziedzic @stephendziedzic
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2K Followers 5K Following Socially Conservative Left-Liberal Neoconservative ProgressiveStabilise. Now where else have I heard that framing? 🤔
FM Wang Yi and @SecBlinken agreed their meeting was candid, substantive and constructive. Both sides agreed to continue working to to stabilize and grow China-US ties under the two presidents’ guidance.
@DrBeeZee @AlexBristowASPI @ASPI_org @oneil_ak @WillLeben2 I beg to differ from Ben on this point. Lack of depth in survivable warheads surely does not precipitate early use of nuclear weapons—and I don’t see it as any form of convincing counsel for launching a first strike,
@AlexBristowASPI @Dr_M_Davis @ASPI_org @oneil_ak @DrBeeZee @WillLeben2 Nope, my concern is the dedicated arms controller who earnestly believes that mutual vulnerability is a good thing, and merely needs an arms control agreement to achieve secure second strike stability.
🎙️ NEW PODCAST 🎙️ Another episode of Stop the World has landed! This week is all about intelligence, with Professor of Intelligence and Security at @KingsCollegeLon, @GioeINT, joining the head of ASPI’s Statecraft and Intelligence Program, @StatecraftINT, to discuss the history…
Why the US will stay dominant in undersea warfare | Paul Dibb and Richard Brabin-Smith | bit.ly/3Uip2eQ
ASPI is looking forward to hearing key insights from @PatConroy1 at our annual defence conference, ‘JoiningFORCES’, in June! This year's event will explore ways to bridge national and international boundaries to deliver more joint, collective and effective defence. ⏰ Early…
“The United States has the world’s largest and most potent nuclear-powered submarine fleet and intends to keep it that way. No wonder that China is so worried about the prospect of Australia acquiring such a vastly superior capability.”
Why the US will stay dominant in undersea warfare | Paul Dibb and Richard Brabin-Smith | bit.ly/3Uip2eQ
Anzac Day holds a very special place in the bond between 🇦🇺 & 🇳🇿. Each year we gather before dawn to remember those who have served in defence of our freedom - Lest we forget
Very good news... but these should have been sent much earlier.
The Biden Administration has informed Congress that US 🇺🇸 will be sending 300km ATACMS to Ukraine 🇺🇦 after the US Senate passes the Ukraine aid bill, reports CNN Previously, only 165km ATACMS were sent, with 300km ATACMS Ukraine can reach the entire Crimean Peninsula
'The reorganisation probably reflects organisational and systemic problems facing the CCP and the PLA. Over the past few years, it has become clear that corruption continues within the PLA, despite repeated exposure', writes Masaaki Yatsuzuka. aspistrategist.org.au/new-chinese-re…
📢 SPEAKER ANNOUNCEMENT 📢 We are delighted to announce @RichardMarlesMP, @PatConroy1, MAJGEN Anthony Rawlins, @VAdmNickHine, Richard Cho, Amanda Holt and Curie Maharani will speak at our 'JoiningForces' conference on 4-5 June! Topics for discussion include the regional…
I look forward to moderating @careersincolour's panel on elevating racial & cultural diversity in Australian workplaces! @TharaniJega, @RBAInfo's Michelle Lim & @DivPillay1 will be sharing their expert insights. Grab a ticket via the QR code (equity tickets also available)⬇️
“Security with, not from, Asia” was a neat trope in the 1990s. But it sets up a false binary and needs to be retired. Australia seeks security from China, with other countries in Asia, Europe and North America. The “Angloshere” is a bit of a dig in this context.
‘It is in the context of strengthening ASEAN centrality—in expanding the radius—that both our countries have an important role to play in paving the way for regional geostrategic resilience’, writes Nushirwan Zainal Abidin. aspistrategist.org.au/different-ways…
The studio is pretty much complete! It’s sharing the same room as my study so not as much room as I’d like but quite pleased with how it’s come together.
Huge thanks to @johncoyne14, @BassiJustin and @ASPI_org team for the 2024 Darwin Dialogue on critical minerals. Great discussions on financing, market manipulation, and regional solutions
Its finally here! Congrats again @becstrating and @JoanneEWallis!🍾🥂 Thanks also for the completely unexpected and really lovely mention!☺️ @BlackIncBooks #GirtbySea
I'm finishing up reading @DefenceAust National Defence Strategy (NDS) and Integrated Investment Program (IIP) today - have finished the NDS, and now deep into the IIP. A more fulsome assessment of #NDS2024 and #IIP2024 in a number of @ASPI_org Strategist pieces will follow, but…
The 2024 Independent Intelligence Review's findings are expected within months. At @ASPI_org we've set out to convene a range of perspectives on Australian intelligence's future to inform the review. A selection has been published today. aspi.org.au/report/austral…
Great initial takes by @ASPI_org's @AlexBristowASPI on the release today of @DefenceAust 's National Defence Strategy (NDS) and Integrated Investment Program (IIP). I'm reading the documents through now, and so far... trying to see something new. Yes - more funding - new…
🧵1/8 Some first blush reflections on @RichardMarlesMP's speech @PressClubAust launching 🇦🇺's first National Defence Strategy (NDS), and a new @DefenceAust Integrated Investment Plan (IIP). More @ASPI_org analysis to follow soon. Marles' NPC speech here: minister.defence.gov.au/speeches/2024-…