Marist poll has Biden +3 head to head on Trump. Also +5 with third-party candidates, including +7 with those who say they’re definitely voting.
"Among those who have an unfavorable opinion of both candidates, Biden (50%) and Trump (48%) are now competitive. Trump previously had a 15-percentage point advantage over Biden (54% for Trump to 39% for Biden) among these voters."
@AaronBlake The Biden economy is about to nosedive. x.com/mitchellvii/st…
@AaronBlake The Biden economy is about to nosedive. x.com/mitchellvii/st…
@AaronBlake @JohnJHarwood I’m concerned about cheating. The GOP has been putting people willing to cheat for Trump in election positions in the swing states & he’s happy to take foreign help too. You thought the 2020 election was crazy…
@AaronBlake It's a D+4 sample with a 4.1% MOE on definitely voting. Yawn.
Yes everyone believes an NOR state poll. Trump is beating Biden in the top six concerns of Americans by double digits, but Biden is +7. Ok🙄. Also Biden won NY by +23 in 2020, he’s currently +10. Your numbers don’t add up. How much federal money did NPR get to run this State poll?
@AaronBlake Not relevant. We don’t have a national election. Popular vote does NOT count. Look at the 7 swing states. Biden is behind. Big problem.
@AaronBlake Yeah, it's an insane D+4 sample with a crazy 43/57 no degree/degree split and an insane 53/47 split on their weirdo "definitely certain to vote" screen. 🗑️ Even Siena's D+7 sample produced better education splits, thus why Trump leads with LVs in the PV
@AaronBlake National poll vs Swing-State polls - I’m taking the Swing-State poll 10 times out of 10