Owen Deeton @68doc

Rancher Cowboy Trader and part time poet Alberta Canada Joined May 2011

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Tokyo @otokyo

2 months ago

Without Googling

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Ludwig Van Mises famously introduced the historical theory of what is called a "CRACK UP BOOM". The theory littered throughout history is that when the rate of change in the world order exceeds the human capability to adjust, then society experiences an epiphany moment where there is a unison "LOSS OF CONFIDENCE IN THAT PREVAILING SYSTEM". When society no longer trusts the system, then emotions start to control the pricing of assets which by there very nature means increased volatility as emotional traders and investors are easily swayed by headlines and momentum then by underlying fundamental factors. Von Mises historical context is that this volatile and disjointed period precedes regime changes in the world order. The attempt to contain such distrust and maintain the current systems leads to unsustainable debt creation, attempts to paper over such leverage with unsustainable money printing and government fiscal stimulus as corruption runs wild. Authoritarianism rises, civil unrest grows and capital looks for safety and hoards what is real and can be verified in hard assets/private stock assets. While the end result of this type of crack up boom whether you look at the 1970's, 1930's or the rise and fall of the Roman Empire is a permanent higher revaluation of hard and private assets... the path to get their is anything but stable and can see vicious crashes on the way getting there. The price pattern identified for such times is called a Wolfe Wave where there is expanding volatility in both directions as the system becomes more and more unstable. We believe that we are in the middle stages of this Wolfe Wave pricing structure of a Crack Up Boom. Those assets that crash will be temporary and assets that surge parabolically will also be temporary within a longer term uptrend. Those involved in the production and consumption of commodity assets need to be very mindful of this and take full advantage of hedging during the periodic spikes higher as well as when prices enter a crash. Failure to do so could render your business unmanageable. The chart below of the GSCI commodity index appears to be tracing a Wolfe Wave Pattern with a bullish phase about to begin. This index is heavily weighted towards energy and grains. This argues that SOFT Ag markets like #coffee, #cocoa and #OJ which are in the crash portion of their Wolfe Waves and precious metals which appear nearing a top completion may lead to a rotation towards the undervalued #energy and $grain complexes and one might expect the stocks in those respective sectors to outperform the Mag 7 AI darlings. Time will tell. #oatt @kannbwx @BionEnviro @SpillingTheBean @Judy_Ganes @sizov_andre @ClimatePredict @abaxx_exchange @abaxx_tech @MarketToMarket @agritalk @PeterLBrandt @ChipFlory @JoshCrumb @aaronvalue @michellerookag @firefighter89 @DamianPMason @maxarmstrong @PearsonCattle @delaneyhowell07 @MovingIronLLC @USFarmReport @AoA_TalkShow @SusanNOBULL @DarinNewsom @BarchartAg @FarmFutures @FarmsNews @NewsomAnalysis

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Alex (Sasha) Krainer @NakedHedgie

2 years ago

Soon, they will all regret having been so brazenly audacious about their criminal conspiracies.

Ignorance, the root and stem of all evil @ivan_8848

2 years ago

How Soros Brainwashed Ukrainians There where I have passed no grass will ever grow again ...

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Owen Deeton @68doc

2 years ago

How an Obsession with SAFETY Leads to Mental Illness & Tyranny - Academy... youtu.be/tKo8oC0LHMU?si… via @YouTube

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Owen Deeton @68doc

2 years ago

BRICS Pays $4,000,000,000 in Local Currency, Sidelines US Dollar watcher.guru/news/brics-pay… via @WatcherGuru

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Owen Deeton @68doc

2 years ago

Ex CIA Agent: Why Israel and Ukraine Can’t Win - Andrew Bustamante youtu.be/G0fFNX8qVLY?si… via @YouTube

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Owen Deeton @68doc

2 years ago

A new word for Trudeau youtu.be/ZWdjooT8GLk?si… via @YouTube

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Warren Kinsella @kinsellawarren

2 years ago

CSIS knew China interfered in federal elections, and told PM thestar.com/politics/canad…

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National Post @nationalpost

2 years ago

PM's six-day Indo-Pacific trip cost $2M, including $200K in catering nationalpost.com/news/trudeau-s…

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Owen Deeton @68doc

2 years ago

@ice_gurl77 No different than Trudeau. He'll he evan wanted to talk to kids without there parents being around . 2020 covid lock down

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Eddie @Eddies_X

2 years ago

@TuckerCarlson They want to destroy Russell Brand because he speaks truth to power.

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Tucker Carlson @TuckerCarlson

2 years ago

Ep. 70 Governments colluded to shut down and destroy Russell Brand. This is his first interview since that happened. Watch it when you get a minute. It's one of the most brilliant explanations of the modern world you'll ever hear.

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Owen Deeton @68doc

2 years ago

Davos, Trust, and the End of "Comfortable Wolves" - Gold Goats 'n Guns tomluongo.me/2024/01/19/dav… via @TFL1728

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Owen Deeton @68doc

2 years ago

The Great Reset is Dead, Long Live the Great Reset - Gold Goats 'n Guns tomluongo.me/2024/02/05/the… via @TFL1728

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Owen Deeton @68doc

2 years ago

THIS IS A REVOLT! YOU NEED TO STAND WITH THEM! #farmersprotest youtu.be/vwUe_coyDo4?si… via @YouTube

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Owen Deeton @68doc

3 years ago

@cafreeland @MelissaLantsman Christa wouldn't know what the inside of a subway looks like

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Owen Deeton @68doc

3 years ago

@JayIsPainting Dude I love your art work. We will disagree on politics. If your going to do research you wouldn't be looking for confirmational bias. You would be looking to see why they are right.so if you take that out u will realize Canada is in trouble

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Owen Deeton @68doc

3 years ago

@drdagly It was not private health care that we voted for. Personally I think we need to bring back health care premiums. If you can afford it pay it if ya can't don't pay it. So what is the answer to premiums existing conditions?