Investor/Operator 12 @12_operator
Investor in public and private markets. Build quality, create value. Trying to beat Buffett Joined November 2021-
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Met a waiter at a steakhouse who probably adds $20k/mo to the restaurant. Made me feel stupid because I thought he was just taking orders. Legit assassin. No pressure in his voice ever. No fake smile. No hard sell. Controls the table like he’s done it 10,000 times. He taught me something that changed everything about how I sell premium offers. We sat down and my friend said he wasn’t going crazy tonight. Just wanted something simple. The waiter looked at the menu, pointed at 3 steaks, and said: “If you want a normal dinner, the sirloin is solid. If you care more about flavor, the ribeye makes sense. But if you came here for the full experience, that’s the tomahawk.” Then he shut up as if nothing had happened. No explanation. No recommendation. No “this is our best one.” That hit me different. People are trying way too hard to sell. You’re “explaining” your deliverables. You’re “proving” your value. You’re “justifying” why your premium offer costs what it costs. Meanwhile killers don’t explain. They frame. They position. They let the buyer feel the gap. My friend ordered the $280 tomahawk 60 seconds later. Old me would’ve thought the waiter upsold him. The new me saw what actually happened. He made the cheap steak feel basic, the middle steak feel safe, and the expensive steak feel like the only serious choice. That is The Menu Frame. Your prospect doesn’t need another 30-minute pitch about your process. He needs to see the difference between the small fix, the partial solution, and the full outcome. Because once the cheap option feels like a compromise, the premium option stops feeling expensive. It starts feeling obvious. Your pricing isn’t the problem. Your frame is weak.
NEW YORK KNICKS FOREVER 🔥
My conversation with @bgurley on thinking, making decisions, and the future 0:00 Systems Thinking & Mental Models 05:21 The Power of Knowing Industry Bedrock 08:50 Traits in Founders 11:44 Surprising AI Use 13:13 The Future of AI 23:04 Is Tesla Self-driving THAT good? 24:15 Non-Consensus Opinions 24:53 The AI Buildout (Bubble?) 29:40 The Role of Retail Investors 34:26 Stablecoin 39:55 AI and Debt Analysis 45:05 Storytelling as a Superpower 50:12 Lessons from Uber 52:10 Inside the Benchmark Structure 59:42 Success Listen and Learn! (Includes paid partnerships.)
in march 2020 Bill Ackman pulled off the greatest trade in history: he turned $27 million into $2.6 billion in exactly 3 week and he did it by playing a completely different game than normal traders: "normal guys risk $10,000 hoping to make a safe 8% a year - we only look for setups where we can risk $1 to make $100" "when the virus hit, wall street told everyone to stay calm - we looked at the math, knew the market was going to crash, and bet $27 million against it" "when everything collapsed regular guys lost half their savings - our bet paid us $2.6 billion in cash while everyone else was panicking" he didn't make billions by buying safe stocks and praying they go up. he made it by risking a tiny amount of money on a massive crash everyone else ignored bookmark and watch his new interview where he explains how he actually invests
Ron Baron thinks saving your money is the stupidest thing you can do "regular guys keep their cash in a bank hoping to make 4% - but the government prints money so fast that your savings lose half their value every 10 years" "normal people trade every single day trying to make
This is a great list of traits shared among many high performers. What’s missing? Or what do you find most important? In my experience the ultimate indicator is drive.
#FF @PeterMallouk, a great follow!
Charlie Munger understood the real payoff of wealth isn’t luxury - it’s freedom. Freedom to say no. Freedom to walk away. Freedom to live life on your own terms.
I can't believe this 1-hour talk is free Ray Dalio, Jamie Dimon, and Larry Fink on one stage Between them - more capital under management than most countries have GDP They laid out exactly where the money is going for the next decade Watch it Then read the article on how quant funds use AI
"When JPMorgan was buying Bear Stearns, the best modeler in the company was 24 years old. They set up a desk for him side-by-side with Jamie. Jamie would say, "Change that, change this." He didn't ask for that guy's boss. He said, 'This guy is the best, I want to work with him.'"
It's not a coincidence Jamie Dimon, Elon, Jensen, and Barry Diller all share the same management philosophy: getting the truth from the source Dara on what he learned from Barry Diller in his 20+ years working with him: "I was an analyst at Allen & Company working on the LBO
Ron Baron drove an ice cream truck as a kid Started with $100M in 1992. Made his clients $61 billion in profit. Put $1.7 billion into SpaceX while it was private. It became $15 billion. "I pushed all the chips to the center of the table to be tied to the most successful man on the planet. Clearly risky. But that's my game." Bookmark to watch it later Then read the article on how quant funds use AI to find the same asymmetric setups
JPMorgan CEO rejected Goldman Sachs offer after Harvard, chose a tiny company with Sandy Weill instead - and was fired from it - but now JPMorgan is bigger than Goldman and Citi combined, with $700B cap 23-min with David Rubenstein - you'll understand the most important steps in finance from the world's best banker bookmark & watch - this is the smartest conversation between a top investor and the world's best banker
Paul Tudor made $100M in one day, Stan Druckenmiller made 1 trade that broke the Bank of England on one RobinHood stage two $10B+ hedge fund CEOs gave a 30-minute trading masterclass completely free - two of the greatest traders in history will show you the most important rules
I think about this video daily. In private aviation, you're afforded incredible access. If you work in the services biz and follow Jim's 12 rules, I doubt you'll go hungry. My top three: 1. Never use jargon 2. Look for opportunities to give the client advice that is not in your interest 3. Be available
Goldman Sachs MDs make $1-3M/year doing one thing: keeping CEOs of Fortune 500 firms on speed dial. This 23-min UVA Law lecture by Goldman's Vice Chairman of Global Client Coverage teaches you the exact 18 rules he uses to do it. worth more than any $5K business school elective
Jamie Dimon turned $16B into $700B Now he moves $10 trillion a day 150,000 JPMorgan workers use AI daily and he just explained exactly how 30 minutes that worth more than any paid course on AI in finance Watch it Then read the article below on how top quant funds run the same AI pipeline
JPMorgan CEO rejected Jeff Bezos offer to be Amazon CEO, to invest $60M of his own money into a bank - now that same bank - JPMorgan - is worth $700B and moves $10 trillion a day a young 32-min Jamie - all his personal rules that led him to become the world's best banker this is the first lecture from the moment Jamie Dimon was hired as JPMorgan CEO save this - it's the best biography of one of the greatest on Wall Street
Oracle CEO started company with his last $1,200 - now he is building the world's largest AI cluster as the second richest person on Earth - he said Claude and ChatGPT are already the same and revealed which model you should use in 50-min he shows exactly how private data beats
Apollo CEO Marc Rowan on their play to win culture: “How do you keep a company that's been really successful hungry and playing to win?” “Even for me, I'm right 60% of the time max. I fail quickly and fix it quickly. You do not get fired here for making a bad decision. You get fired for not recognizing it or not owning it and not fixing it.” “Every senior professional here has lost money for the firm. If you haven't, you're just not doing enough. You're not taking enough risk. You're not taking enough risk or you haven't done as much for the firm.” “We've normalized the notion of winning as a team and losing as a team.”
Financing the Global Industrial Renaissance with Apollo CEO Marc Rowan Marc Rowan is CEO of Apollo Global Management, one of the most important financial institutions and the largest provider of retirement income in the world. In this conversation, he joins a16z's David Haber to
Goldman Sachs CIO - ex-VP of Technology at AWS, now running tech at the most powerful bank on Wall Street - explained how GS builds its own AI tools in-house. - they don't rely on off-the-shelf software. they build it. 20-min and you'll understand how a tier-1 bank deploys AI across tens of thousands of employees. bookmark & watch - the best interview on AI inside a major bank.
Goldman Sachs Managing Director with 30 years on the desk just gave a free 19-min lecture to law students on how he actually closes deals at Goldman. - the same playbook he uses on Goldman's biggest corporate clients 19-min and you'll learn what a real Goldman Sachs mentorship
Why the Model Works INEOS retains businesses indefinitely, finances acquisitions entirely with debt, and never sells equity. 1) Permanent capital without equity dilution All acquisitions funded through leveraged debt preserves 100% ownership indefinitely. The company has never sold a single share of equity in 27 years. 2) Arbitrage on corporate strategic myopia: Large public companies systematically undervalue cyclical industrial assets because analysts cannot model quarterly earnings predictability. INEOS can hold assets through the cycle and capture the full economic value. 3) Speed as competitive advantage The federated structure eliminates committee approvals; the private ownership eliminates board governance latency. INEOS regularly makes decisions in hours or days that take competitors weeks or months. 4) The 30-40 cents on the Dollar IINEOS systematically targets assets from corporates undergoing strategic pivots. Buying at 30–40 cents on the dollar effectively triples return on capital relative to building an equivalent asset from scratch. 4) 80/20 Rule in M&A Jim claims an extraordinary 80% success rate on acquisitions. He attributes this to two disciplines: A) Willingness to Walk Away. "The main reason for failure in M&A is that the buyer wants it too much" B) Integration Playbook From day one of any acquisition, INEOS deploys a standard toolkit: Corporate credit cards cancelled Spending delegations returned to board level Financial reporting standardised Management structure federated The "INEOS-ing" of an acquisition is rapid, disorienting for the incoming management.
Investing Playbook "Our success is based on buying assets at thirty or forty cents on the dollar. It basically triples your return on capital" Jim distilled the strategy into six interconnected principles, all beginning with the letter F:
A Few Notes from Jim Ratcliffe’s Book: 1. The more deals you look at, the better deals you do. 2. Build companies and live an epic life. 3. One should try to maximise the number of days that are unforgettable. 4. I’m not interested in whether it’s a commodity or not. Just as long as I think it’s going to make loads of cash over the business cycle. 5. The main reason for failure is that the buyer wants it too much. Having the strength to walk away is helped by having choices. 6. We mopped up unfashionable, unsexy, commodity and bulk chemical businesses for attractive, or at the very least fair, prices. 7. We don’t worry about top of cycle, because if you are profitable at the bottom, you sure as hell profit at the top. 8. When people ask me what difference being private makes, I tell them that January 1st is the day after December 31st. 9. It is all about money, and the numbers. Money and generating equity return. 10. You must have the courage of your convictions… put your head above the parapet, and be prepared to be shot at once in a while. 11. One of the things I love about debt is that you can always pay it back or exchange it… Once equity has been sold, you should consider it gone for ever. 12. People often ask me whether we plan to take INEOS public. I can think of no place I would rather not go, including the South Pole.
How to Build a $60 Billion Chemical Empire Jim Ratcliffe became one of Britain’s richest men by buying the industrial assets giants wanted off their books. The Dealmaking Playbook Thread
“I just didn't want to lose. Losing was death.”
I read Shoe Dog for the third or fourth time. This episode will make you want to run through walls. My favorite quotes from the new episode: 1. Somebody may beat me, but they’re going to have to bleed to do it. 2. It was us against the world, and we felt damn sorry for the
May not be a better example of driving a clown car into a gold mine than former $EVC management buying Smadex for $3m and it’s now generating $150m EBITDA run rate and growing revenue 204%. But it trades in a Spanish radio shell so you can buy it for 5x
This is my mental model for how $EVC gets to a $100 share price, which on 96.4 million shares outstanding is a $10 billion market capitalization, against the $760 million market cap it trades at today, which is a 13x move from here, which I am aware sounds insane, which I am
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