Every halving period (210,000 blocks, ~4y) there is a bull market in which bitcoin price pumps. Now listen carefully: these price pumps are NOT bubbles, but fundamental jumps, structural events, phase changes. You can see it in the realized price, which flattens, until the next jump. Halvings are critically important bitcoin events. S2F model tries to model these jumps as elegant as possible, with only 1 variable and a linear function.
@100trillionUSD #Bitcoin pump is coming 🚀
@100trillionUSD It's crazy how @100trillionUSD been here for many years, showing exactly the same models with some small deviations, and people judge it based on the market sentiment. But S2F been tracking pretty accurately, it's pretty much all you need for the long run
@100trillionUSD Why does it seems based on the picture that every halving the pump is smaller.
@100trillionUSD Keep up the great work PlanB. Thanks for all your due-dilligence, research, and for sharing with whomever wants to listen. 👍
@100trillionUSD I agree with structural change.
@100trillionUSD I’m actually feeling demoralised and defeated. I’ve been holding my bitcoins and crypto for so long and it goes up and pulls back. I just want to give up. I’m so exhausted.