Subu Trade @subotrade
Trading large trends/key themes and smaller opportunities in between. subutrade.com Free Markets Report Joined April 2014-
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Tomorrow could be the 3rd straight day where the S&P 500 falls more than -4% This only happened during the Great Depression ⬇️
At this rate, the S&P 500 will be down more than -14% in just 3 days by tomorrow. That's only happened during the 1987 crash & Great Depression before:
New Markets Report (free): 50+ must-see charts & my trading plan during this crash subutrade.com/p/markets-repo…
71% of S&P 500 stocks have crashed below their lower Bollinger Band. Here's every time this happened—and what the S&P 500 did next:
45% of S&P 500 stocks are now oversold (RSI < 30) This is uncommon. Here's what the S&P did next ⬇️
S&P 500 Daily Sentiment just collapsed to 10 This is the bottom 2% of all historic readings
VIX term structure is inverted: 1-month/3-month VIX spiked above 1.2 Rare ⬇️
Today could be the 2nd day in a row where the S&P 500 fell more than -4.5% This has only happened during some of the worst crashes before. Here's what the S&P 500 did next:
VIX reached 45 today. Here's every time this happened in the past, and what the S&P 500 did over the next few days ⬇️
S&P 500 Daily Sentiment just plunged to 22. It fell -25 today. This is the 2nd largest 1-day drop in over 20 years!
AAII Bears is now at 61.9% This is the highest since the March 2009 bear market bottom!
Also, 6 straight weeks with Bears above 50% now.
The S&P 500 hit an all-time high in February, then fell over -5% in March. Rare for stocks to fall this much from a 1-year high. Historically, the S&P was up 87% of the time 3 months later and 100% of the time 6-12 months later.
RECORD Short Interest in silver $SLV — just as gold breaks above $3100 for the first time ever. Pressure’s building.
Sentiment collapsed: The % of Consumers Expecting Stocks to Decline jumped +11% this month In the past, such pessimism was bullish for stocks.
AAII Bears is now at 58.1% Bears’ 4 week average is at 58.7% This only happened 3 times before – each marking the bottom of a bear market.
This is 4 straight weeks with AAII Bears above 55%. This has never happened before.
Sentiment remains depressed: Investors Intelligence Bulls is now at 28.3% This is the 2nd week in a row Bulls have been below 30%
Strong breadth! We've just seen 2 consecutive days where over 90% of S&P 500 stocks advanced. Historically, the S&P was Up 100% of the time 2 months later
AAII Bears now at 59.2% Bears have been above 55% for 3 weeks in a row. This has only happened 1 other time in history: March 4, 2009 Today
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