Orbitect @orbitectgg

Dusting off this tweet from April because this gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is *widening*. It's now less "two groups of people speaking past each other" and more a sharp funnel. - Napkin math somewhere around 6B people (~75% of the population) have barely come in contact with LLMs at all. - Around 1-2B (~20%) are casual and infrequent users of free-tier ChatGPT-like products. This group sees derpy chatbots and treats them a bit like a better Google search, a writing aid, or etc. Maybe an agent tries to book you a flight. I have non-tech friends who (reasonably, imo) say they have not much use for it at all. Even many professionals outside of math&code are in this tier. For example, execs and many other functions spend a lot of their time talking to other people, so while they understand what is happening intellectually, it is still second-hand and a bit abstract. - Now we get to professional use of frontier-grade LLMs in math&code. Somewhere around 20M people (0.2%) see first-hand that large, complex projects that used to take them weeks/months can now be completed by agents with a prompt. Building apps, copying apps, translating apps, decompiling apps from binaries... This has all happened very quickly and recently - less than 1 year ago, I was writing code manually by hand, typing memorized computer code commands into a code editor character by character, occasionally pressing Tab to autocomplete a little chunk of code. - And finally we get to the ~5,000 people (~0.00006%) with access to frontier-grade systems internally. The external world has seen the preview. It looks like swarms of thousands of agents collaborating over weeks on software mega projects: minting zero days, running cyber attacks and defenses at machine speeds, discovering new science, advancing the frontier of mathematics. Things that would have taken top professionals in the industry years of work. Meanwhile, human review and comprehension are starting to fall behind. For example, people are still involved in the "archeology" of the OpenAI-HF incident from many months ago. Mathematicians may be poring over the 722 manuscripts on frontier mathematics for a while. The funnel is driven by a combination of factors: 1. The impact scales with ambition, problem size, and horizon. A question with a paragraph answer barely stresses the system. You need a reservoir of big, difficult problems that you really care about. This aspect drives the consumer / professional dimension of the funnel. 2. The jaggedness of the system (which I have written about a lot separately). Capability peaks in domains that are digital, verifiable and economically valuable. This is because LLM capability emerges from reinforcement learning on verifiable rewards on a curated environment mixture driven by revenue potential. This aspect primarily drives the area (e.g. math&code) dimension of the funnel. 3. Access. Free-tier, paid-tier, internal. So this is the weirdness of the moment. The general public has mostly not interacted with these systems. When they have, it looks like a derpy chatbot. The majority of professionals still see only a modest uplift. And a small sliver of professionals are experiencing the vertigo of the curve going vertical. And it is all happening at the same time.

Andrej Karpathy @karpathy

6 months ago

Judging by my tl there is a growing gap in understanding of AI capability. The first issue I think is around recency and tier of use. I think a lot of people tried the free tier of ChatGPT somewhere last year and allowed it to inform their views on AI a little too much. This is

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The wait is finally over! Caramel is out and free-to-play! 🥳 After a year of development we get to share this little world with you. Thank you for believing in us, we hope you enjoy it! Log in for fireworks + a party hat at Mable's shop 🎆 roblox.com/games/12091933…

Claude make me roblox in gta 5 Claude:

This is the doom I predicted a few days ago, coming for Photoshop. A clean-room open-source reimplementation. No prizes for guessing that they decompiled Photoshop to source code, processed that to some kind of non-code specification language, then fed the spec to an LLM with an instruction to generate Rust. Adobe just got nuked. And closed source is dead, dead, dead. github.com/storytold/phot…

F.02 Decommission

Modern renaissance painting

2006-2026

This would be terrible for the next generation of humanity. The apps and games of today are the paintbrushes and tree forts of yesterday. Fortnite has Creative Mode, Roblox has Roblox studio, and being a digital creator is in everyone’s reach, till politicians take it away.

Dexerto @Dexerto

4 weeks ago

The EU is reportedly preparing to ban kids under 15 from social media, AI chatbots and online games

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As we celebrate our 20th anniversary (and build The Hunt: R20), we've been re-living some early moments like dynablocks.com. In this first experiment at building Roblox, we took shortcuts - no cloud, no avatars, and no multiplayer. We had to go back to the drawing board and finish what we started...

20 years of roblox. THANK YOU. ⭐

This is the future of Roblox terrain, coming soon.

No Man's Sky Cosmos 📋Own A Space Station 🤝Alliances 🛰️Orbital Bases 📡Space Hulks 🚀Anniversary Expedition 🗺️Star Map 💎Deep-Space Looting 🪨Asteroid Belts 🦠Infested Outposts ☀️The Sun 🧙‍♀️Dev Commentary 🧲Tractor Beam ❄️Ice Fields 🪐Outposts ⛰️Improved Terrain 🔫Shipbreaking

i rarely ever build in color so this is like my first time doing something like this #robloxstudio #roblox #robloxdev #stubuild

Looking straight out of an instruction book

Made some more updates to my Material Painter plugin, including sticker uploading, stamping/erasing/vertex manipulation, as well as some adjustments to the interface. Looking to release publicly soon! Let me know what else you'd like to see in this plugin #RobloxDev

We are pleased to announce The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered is launching on September 29, 2026. 🗓️ Remastered will be available on PC, PlayStation 5, and Xbox Series X|S — plus, for the first time, a native version of the game will be released on Nintendo Switch 2 🔥

Valve was founded 30 years ago today by Gabe Newell and Mike Harrington. Congratulations to @valvesoftware -- and thank you for letting me be a part of the journey from the beginning. (And no, this is not a gamescom ONL teaser post).

Teaser trailer of our next 2D game on Roblox. Sky Pixel - Roblox Incubator 2026 discord.gg/SkyPixel || #ROBLOX || #ROBLOXDev || #ROBLOXDevs

My greatest work yet has finally been completed - The Chapel of Rol roblox.com/games/10904412… This build has so much content I want to share that for the next week I will be posting different parts of it in detail with some cool info about it :) #robloxdev #roblox #robloxdevs