Lisa Abramowicz Private @lisaabramowiczj
I'll discuss mainly about the Price Action analyses of the Stock Market. Exclusively for Elite Traders, Just for a Selected Few. MAIN PAGE: @lisaabramowicz1 Joined August 2013-
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This is the message being heard across Wall Street over the past few weeks: the base case for the US economy next year is now soft landing or no landing, but still with immaculate disinflation. Happy holidays. bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
This is the message being heard across Wall Street over the past few weeks: the base case for the US economy next year is now soft landing or no landing, but still with immaculate disinflation. Happy holidays. bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
Banks are pocketing real money by borrowing money from the Fed's newest backstop facility, which charges a lower rate, and then parking it at another unit of the Fed, which pays higher interest. Banks are borrowing record amounts from this new facility. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
If everyone buys the dip, will there even be a dip?bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
“We’ve been overweight in equities all year. We are starting to think about reducing that and moving towards neutral…Everything we thought about in late October, November has actually already come through.” bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
Longer-term US inflation expectations have fallen dramatically over the past two months, to close to the Fed's 2% target.
“Where did all the bears go? I think we know. The Fed shot them.” bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
Global fund manager sentiment is the most upbeat since Jan. 2022: BofA survey. Investors were the most overweight stocks since before the Fed started to hike rates. Cash was cut to a 2-year low of 4.5% & investors are the most overweight bonds in 15 yrs. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Fed officials are trying to push back against market exuberance unleashed by Powell. It isn’t working. bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
Since Dec. 15, four of the world’s five largest container-shipping companies have paused or suspended their services in the Red Sea due to Houthi attacks. About 12% of global trade normally flows through this particular route. economist.com/international/…
Collectively, the “magnificent 7” - Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Tesla and Meta - have jumped 75% in 2023. These stocks now represent about 30% of the S&P 500’s market value, approaching the highest-ever share for any seven stocks. wsj.com/finance/stocks…
US investment-grade bond yields have just had the biggest two-day drop since April 2020.
The Fed essentially has revived the "transitory" idea without saying the much-maligned T-word. bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
Citi's Andrew Hollenhorst: The Fed's "bringing-forward of rate cuts is an indication of the difficulty in attempting to fine-tune policy to achieve a soft-landing, not an indication that one has already been achieved (as markets are pricing)."
Yields on 10-year Treasuries have dropped by more than a percentage point in less than a month, to below 4%.
Instead of pushing back against the rosy nature of the market’s 2024 forecast, Powell embraced it. Based on the market’s reaction, he might as well have screamed, “We did it!” bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
Traders are now pricing in 130bp of Fed rate cuts by the end of 2024.
Bonds rip on a dovish Fed statement.
We could see a 10-year yield below 4% by the end of the trading session, the way things are going.
Janet Yellen: "As inflation moves down, it’s in a way natural that interest rates should come down somewhat because real interest rates would otherwise increase, which can tend to tighten financial conditions." cnb.cx/41jshpo
This week's CPI & PPI data suggest that core inflation in November likely was 1.9% at a 6-month annualized rate: UBS analysis. Inflation is now on track to have fallen slightly below the Fed's target over the last 6 months, according to this analysis. wsj.com/livecoverage/f…
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41 Followers 393 Following Heart Belongs To 🇮🇳 Soul Belongs To 👸Life Belongs To🕉 #PoliticallyRightWing #🪙Smiths #📈📉LoverSome aspects of the economic data have been mixed, but for the most part, there is one clear message: inflation is staying stubbornly high, at least for now. Citi: "The disinflation in goods prices over much of last year has largely come to an end." bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
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