Foolish Dev9 @foolishdev9

there was an issue with my last trade placed on Onsight, & the team immediately got me right and fixed it! Knicks in 4. shoutout to @TradeOnsight (polymarket trading platform like fomo) therefore i wanted to share my ref link onsight.trade/ref/orangievip

@Marko_Poly @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Insider trading rules for a casino, because that's exactly what it is

@RevistaSemana Interesting. Polymarket is starting to get used for political predictions outside the US. I wonder what the trading volume is like there. 🤔

@CryptoMavka @PythNetwork @Polymarket absolutely agree , wanna trade seriously use pyth or just forget about trading

@GutsPoly @PythNetwork @Polymarket As I like to say, trading is not for the faint of heart, you need good, proven services here.

@N3YYZ0N6 yeah polymarket paid drake to promote insider trading

Rumor isn’t another prediction market. it’s an agentic trading terminal that sits on top of Polymarket (for now). you describe your thesis in plain English → their AI turns it into a smart, rules-based agent that executes, manages, and adapts while you sleep.

$BASE happening before june 30 is trading at 1% odds on @polymarket 🤣

Caneleo @Caneleo55

a month ago

$BASE dropping or nah? dont want to get excited for nothing tbh 🧐

14 0 73 25K 1

@Caneleo55 @Polymarket but are there any reasons to believe it should be trading at higher odds?

Market making the @FIFAWorldCup prediction markets is probably going to be one of the juicier trading activities in the next few months on @Polymarket @Kalshi etc. Which shops are best positioned? Who has the most experience on these games? (Real question)

Liquidity utilization efficiency on @Polymarket becomes particularly pronounced as events approach. Over time, spreads tend to compress, trading intensity increases, and liquidity is consumed more aggressively. This process effectively reflects the speed at which information asymmetry is resolved within the market. However, the critical point is this: if a significant portion of liquidity is concentrated in only a few markets, the platform may appear efficient at a surface level, yet structurally remain imbalanced. In such a case, liquidity does not diffuse across the system but instead flows into “narrative-dense” areas. Ultimately, liquidity utilization efficiency on Polymarket is less about the presence of capital and more about the speed at which information is priced in. True efficiency emerges not where liquidity sits idle, but where uncertainty is actively resolved.

Trading 99.9% is free money. 365 days without a loss on Polymarket only trading sure outcomes. Until its NOT. Dont get fooled by SoMe posts on X with absolutely no merit. Casper Ruud v Roman Safiullin is the perfect example, 1.001 odds, 30k USD bought, Ruud later traded 10x before getting his hydration and nutrition back on point.

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$BASE launching before june 30 is trading at 1% odds on @polymarket. I'm tempted to open a position on it.

🎯 POLYMARKET ALPHA — May 25 📊 TOP MARKETS BREAKDOWN: **Marco Rubio 2028 Presidential Election | $9.9M Volume** Currently trading at 12¢ YES (88% NO implied). Market pricing in Trump dynasty continuation or DeSantis dominance in GOP. My read: Rubio's foreign policy credentials + Hispanic appeal create path if Trump endorses establishment pivot. Volume spike suggests smart money accumulating at these levels. Edge: Market undervaluing his Senate Armed Services position during geopolitical volatility. **Trump Criminal Conviction Impact | $3.2M Volume** YES trading 67¢ (conviction before election). Legal timeline suggests June verdict likely. Market correctly pricing high probability but missing appellate delays. Smart money fading conviction affecting election outcome - historically criminal charges boost Trump support. Edge: Betting NO on "conviction hurts election chances" at current 78¢. **Fed Rate Cut 2024 | $2.1M Volume** December cut priced 41¢ YES. Powell's Jackson Hole speech + sticky core CPI creating uncertainty. Market flip-flopping on data dependency. Volume concentrated in institutional wallets suggesting insider information flow. Edge: Fading cut expectations - labor market still too tight, wage growth elevated. 💡 MY BEST BETS TODAY: **TOP YES: Rubio 2028 at 12¢** — Risk/reward exceptional. GOP needs Hispanic outreach post-2024 regardless of outcome. Rubio positions perfectly for post-Trump transition. Foreign policy experience crucial with China tensions. Betting 2% portfolio allocation targeting 40¢+ exit. **TOP FADE: "AI Achieves AGI by 2025" at 31¢** — Classic retail hype bet. Technical experts pricing this 5-10% max. Current LLM limitations massive, hardware constraints binding. Betting NO heavy, expecting fade to 15¢ as reality sets in. 🔗 CRYPTO CONNECTION: Rubio presidency bullish for crypto regulation clarity - his pro-innovation Senate record suggests industry-friendly approach. Trump conviction could trigger flight-to-Bitcoin narrative if dollar confidence wavers. Fed staying hawkish crushes risk assets including crypto - rate cut fade directly bearish for altcoins. Key catalyst: If Rubio gains 2028 momentum, expect crypto lobbying investments to surge. His Florida base aligns with Miami crypto hub development. Potential regulatory framework announcements could move $BTC 10%+. ⚡ CONTRARIAN PLAY: **"Twitter/X Loses 50%+ Users by 2025" — Fading at 29¢** Crowd betting on Musk platform destruction but missing network effects. Despite policy changes, engagement metrics stabilizing. Alternative platforms failing to achieve critical mass. Institutional usage (governments, media) creates switching costs. Expecting resolution NO - user decline plateaus around 25-30%, not 50%+. ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT: Position sizing: Max 3% portfolio per market, 1% on speculative political bets. Set stop-losses at 50% position value - prediction markets can move violently on news. Diversify across uncorrelated events (politics/tech/sports). Exit strategy: Take profits at 2x on longshot bets, hold consensus plays for smaller gains. Monitor whale wallet movements - 90% of alpha comes from following smart money flows before news breaks. @noplanbworld #Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #Crypto

TOP 3 Polymarket markets with a high win rate and fat profits (May 25) - Iran Uranium / Nuclear Deal by May 31 — NO "Yes" is trading at just 10-15%. Iran will not make nuclear concessions before the end of May.→ Win rate: 85-90%+ polymarket.com/event/iran-agr… - Trump publicly insult someone (May 26-30) — YES Trump almost never stays silent.→ Win rate: 85-95%, a mechanical bet polymarket.com/event/will-tru… - Knicks vs Cavaliers The Knicks lead the series 3-0.→ Win rate: 75-85% for the next game polymarket.com/sports/nba/nba… A simple strategy for consistent gains: Just copy these high-edge setups to easily maintain an 80-90% win rate.

From 26 dollars trading istanbul weather on @Polymarket to 370+ , and now -350 PNL . After the weather markets got taken down for a while , unpleased with the current liquidity on Istanbul i went with trading London . Was such a big mistake . Yesyerday judging the metar data and scaling of degrees and sea preasure i went 250 bucks on Highest temperature 30 degrees NO . Turns our , i was fucking right , temperature reached 31 degrees on the sensors , but for some reason the Metar data has been tempered with ( i belive ) . It makes 0 sense , b3en watching today as well , temperure ilogically stuck at 30 degrees when all data indicated it should jump really fast . Anyways , going back to Istanbul trading to recover my losses and get ready for the $Poly airdrop . One suggestion from my size , portion your trades as i painfully discovered lately the data is sometimes manipulated. For today in the green , and ill run the sum up to 4 figs for sure.

@rcom1337 if this guy deadass used Amplifi, he’ll probably make over $588,721. why? we brought leveraged trading to polymarket bets and we’re starting with BTC markets. ofc we have perks for users who crossed $1K volume!🤭 link is in bio :)

@Cointelegraph polymarket slowly replacing geopolitical analysts with dudes named quantbear420 trading from a bean bag

backed by real money. The market itself becomes the signal. Right now, some major trends are pushing Polymarket into the spotlight: • massive growth in crypto prediction trading volume • increasing use during elections, macro events, and Bitcoin price speculation.

Trading on Polymarket? The new Taker Rebate Program is a way to get paid back for what you already do. @Polymarket rewards you for trading as a taker. Every taker trade earns Weighted Volume, and your 30-day volume sets your tier. The idea is simple, but too strong — the more you trade, the higher you climb, the bigger the rebate you earn back on every trade going forward. Seven tiers, from Bronze to Obsidian. Rebates go from 3% all the way up to 50%, paid every day at midnight UTC straight to your account in pUSD. You can watch them add up live as you trade. Also, the first time you hit a new tier you get a one-time level-up bonus — from $10 at Bronze up to $25,000 at Obsidian. Free money for climbing. Goes live Thursday, May 28, 2026. Learn more — polymarket.com/r/taker-tier